Another CAD event and heavy precip potential
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- Stormsfury
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- HurricaneGirl
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- Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
- Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
- Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
My thoughts tonight about the upcoming system have not changed much ..
However, something of note is the potential for some light wintery precip/snow to overspread NC by Tuesday night/Wednesday morning timeframe ...
The 12z ETA indicated some frz rain maybe as far south as the NC/SC border ... 00z ETA indicating a nice quick snow for Western NC ...
QPF at 48 to 54 hrs
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 2_054m.gif
Otherwise, the evolution of the storm system seems to continue to trend southward just a bit ... as some of the models being the Canadian/UKMET/ETA have picked up on CAD (AG - Ageostrophic Gradient) ...
Forecast Discussion
However, something of note is the potential for some light wintery precip/snow to overspread NC by Tuesday night/Wednesday morning timeframe ...
The 12z ETA indicated some frz rain maybe as far south as the NC/SC border ... 00z ETA indicating a nice quick snow for Western NC ...
QPF at 48 to 54 hrs
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 2_054m.gif
Otherwise, the evolution of the storm system seems to continue to trend southward just a bit ... as some of the models being the Canadian/UKMET/ETA have picked up on CAD (AG - Ageostrophic Gradient) ...
Forecast Discussion
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- Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
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- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
Quick update ...
00z ETA indicating a couple of small hits for NC some light snows/mixed precip then the big dog at the end of 84hr timeframe - setting up a nasty icestorm in Western NC and maybe Central NC as well ...
More Details Tomorrow Morning as I am looking for model support
(EC/ETA seem to support each other to some degree ...)
00z GFS does not respect CAD events at all ...
00z ETA indicating a couple of small hits for NC some light snows/mixed precip then the big dog at the end of 84hr timeframe - setting up a nasty icestorm in Western NC and maybe Central NC as well ...
More Details Tomorrow Morning as I am looking for model support
(EC/ETA seem to support each other to some degree ...)
00z GFS does not respect CAD events at all ...
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GA gets the shaft again!
Not sure I even want to track another storm that misses us again in GA!
The whole winter has been full of disappointments, and I sure hope things can change soon! Maybe the cold air in TX is a sign of things to come.

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- Stormsfury
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- mf_dolphin
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Many different forcasts for tonight/tomorrow night. Most say no accumulation tonight, but then say a messy drive to work tomorrow - huh?
Then tomorrow night supposed to be worse. Temps to be in the 40's today and only in the low 30's tomorrow.
They always say here, if you don't like the weather, just wait...

Then tomorrow night supposed to be worse. Temps to be in the 40's today and only in the low 30's tomorrow.
They always say here, if you don't like the weather, just wait...












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- mf_dolphin
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