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What Happened to My Cold Weather?? :(

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 8:31 am
by southerngale
It's warmer right now than what my high for today is and it's not even 7:30am!! The cold front was supposed to pass through here a little after midnight. :roll:

Today's forecast: 60% Rain/Cold
It's 66° outside!!!
:NO:

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 9:56 am
by breeze
It certainly made it here, Kelly - we're sitting
on our high for the day, right now - 50°!
The rain has moved out, but, it's quite foggy.

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 10:26 am
by wx247
It bottomed out here around 35º this morning, but I did notice that the front moved through here later than forecasted. Maybe it isn't there yet?

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 2:28 pm
by southerngale
Ok, it's 55° now so I guess it was just slower than expected. I spoke too soon. :roll:

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 2:43 pm
by PTrackerLA
Down to 60 degrees here in Lafayette and starting to feel chilly. I woke up this morning expecting cool and blustery conditions but it was still in the 70's! The cool weather won't last long and won't be as strong as first forecasted and we'll be back to the muggies for Halloween :cry:

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 2:47 pm
by Guest
Same thing happened to me this morning SG- went to church in it was in the 60's one hour later and going home it was already in the 50's.

Can we say brrr.....

Patricia

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 3:17 pm
by Stormsfury
Yep, just took a little longer than expected. The actual cooler wasn't directly behind the front itself.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif

12 hours ago.
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/previ ... emp-12.gif

Current
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con_temp.gif

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 4:43 pm
by wx247
Yep. It was just a pokin' along. Kind of like me in a marathon. ;)

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 4:52 pm
by Rainband
Enjoy it..It won't make it here :cry: :cry: :cry:

LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SUN)...
WELL..."R.I.P" TO THE EARLIER ADVERTISED FRONT. ALL MODELS DELIVER
ONLY A REMNANT SHEAR AXIS WITH A LESS IMPRESSIVE (THAN PREVIOUS
RUNS) TAIL OF 250 MB SPEED MAX...SO EXPECT A PERIOD OF CLOUDS AND
SOME SHWR/TSTMS TUE NIGHT AND WED BEFORE ENERGY MOVES BY. THE ETA
ACTUALLY CUTS OFF A LOW IN THE FAR W GULF...WHICH LOOKS OVERDONE
BUT WILL BEAR WATCHING. THE GFS IS OVERBLOWN WITH CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK IN SHEAR AXIS TUE NIGHT...SO HAVE BACKED PCPN CHANCES AND
QPFS DOWN QUITE A BIT FROM MODEL VALUES. EVEN IF THE ETA IS
CORRECT...500 MB RIDGE WILL LEAVE THE CUTOFF IN THE W GULF FOR
AWHILE.

RESIDUAL DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THURS MAY PRODUCE ISOLD SHWRS SO
HAVE LEFT SLGT CHANCES IN. MOISTURE WILL THEN RECEDE N...ACTING
LIKE A WEAK OVERRUNNING BOUNDARY...THEN DEEP LAYER RIDGING BUILDS
OVER THE SE U.S. THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN SHORT...EXPECT PLENTY OF
WARM AND HUMID (FOR THE SEASON) WX WITH MEAN TEMPS RUNNING 3-5 DEG
ABOVE NORMAL. NE-E WINDS COULD PICK UP NICELY BY FRI/SAT...PERHAPS
TAKING AN EDGE OFF THE HEAT.


.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT BRINGING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. THEN A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF ON MONDAY AND STALL OVER
THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE GENERALLY
WESTERLY WINDS WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT SHIFTING WINDS TO THE EAST FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 071/084 069/080 2434
FMY 070/086 070/085 2334
GIF 069/084 067/081 2434
SRQ 068/084 068/081 2434

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:19 pm
by ColdFront77
Stormsfury wrote:Yep, just took a little longer than expected. The actual cooler wasn't directly behind the front itself.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif

12 hours ago.
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/previ ... emp-12.gif

Current
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con_temp.gif

Nice, Mike. I was going to post the above "U.S. Current Temperature" and the "12 Hour Temperature Change" map is a nice idea, too; which I was thinking about as well. :)

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:27 pm
by StormCrazyIowan
Surely is colder than crap here! LOL, mind you I was in the 80's earlier this week! Currently 41° with a chill!!!

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 6:11 pm
by Stormsfury
Rainband wrote:Enjoy it..It won't make it here :cry: :cry: :cry:

LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SUN)...
WELL..."R.I.P" TO THE EARLIER ADVERTISED FRONT. ALL MODELS DELIVER
ONLY A REMNANT SHEAR AXIS WITH A LESS IMPRESSIVE (THAN PREVIOUS
RUNS) TAIL OF 250 MB SPEED MAX...SO EXPECT A PERIOD OF CLOUDS AND
SOME SHWR/TSTMS TUE NIGHT AND WED BEFORE ENERGY MOVES BY. THE ETA
ACTUALLY CUTS OFF A LOW IN THE FAR W GULF...WHICH LOOKS OVERDONE
BUT WILL BEAR WATCHING. THE GFS IS OVERBLOWN WITH CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK IN SHEAR AXIS TUE NIGHT...SO HAVE BACKED PCPN CHANCES AND
QPFS DOWN QUITE A BIT FROM MODEL VALUES. EVEN IF THE ETA IS
CORRECT...500 MB RIDGE WILL LEAVE THE CUTOFF IN THE W GULF FOR
AWHILE.

RESIDUAL DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THURS MAY PRODUCE ISOLD SHWRS SO
HAVE LEFT SLGT CHANCES IN. MOISTURE WILL THEN RECEDE N...ACTING
LIKE A WEAK OVERRUNNING BOUNDARY...THEN DEEP LAYER RIDGING BUILDS
OVER THE SE U.S. THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN SHORT...EXPECT PLENTY OF
WARM AND HUMID (FOR THE SEASON) WX WITH MEAN TEMPS RUNNING 3-5 DEG
ABOVE NORMAL. NE-E WINDS COULD PICK UP NICELY BY FRI/SAT...PERHAPS
TAKING AN EDGE OFF THE HEAT.


.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT BRINGING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. THEN A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF ON MONDAY AND STALL OVER
THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE GENERALLY
WESTERLY WINDS WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT SHIFTING WINDS TO THE EAST FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 071/084 069/080 2434
FMY 070/086 070/085 2334
GIF 069/084 067/081 2434
SRQ 068/084 068/081 2434


Yep, no closed 500mb low, no NEG TILT, Pac Jet, no means to force the colder air THAT far southward ... sorry. January's only a couple of months away ... :P

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 6:32 pm
by StormCrazyIowan
LOL, we have the cold, but we'll probably be waiting a while for the first flakes!

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 8:38 pm
by breeze
LOL, I finally turned the HEAT on, in the house...
...BRING ON THE SNOW!!! :ggreen:

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 8:43 pm
by Stormsfury
breeze wrote:LOL, I finally turned the HEAT on, in the house...
...BRING ON THE SNOW!!! :ggreen:


And here, I turned on the A/C today! LOL

Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2003 8:47 pm
by breeze
LOL, Storm - Winter is coming - enjoy! :D

Re: What Happened to My Cold Weather?? :(

Posted: Mon Oct 27, 2003 12:44 am
by ColdFront77
southerngale wrote:It's warmer right now than what my high for today is and it's not even 7:30am!! The cold front was supposed to pass through here a little after midnight. :roll:

Today's forecast: 60% Rain/Cold
It's 66° outside!!!
:NO:

The days when the warmest temperatures are between midnight and 8:00 am are one of our interesting facets of meteorology.

Warm fronts moving toward and into an area can rise the temperature from the mid to upper teens to the low to mid 40s in 6 to 12 hours, during an overnight. I have experienced those situations in southern New England in the wintertime.

Posted: Mon Oct 27, 2003 9:43 am
by Amanzi
Stormsfury wrote:
breeze wrote:LOL, I finally turned the HEAT on, in the house...
...BRING ON THE SNOW!!! :ggreen:


And here, I turned on the A/C today! LOL



I havent turned my AC off yet :( :roll:

Posted: Mon Oct 27, 2003 9:07 pm
by breeze
LOL, Bron, I'll see what I can do about tossin'
some of this southward to you and SF! ;)

Posted: Mon Oct 27, 2003 10:09 pm
by StormCrazyIowan
LOL, yeah, you can have mine, I dont wanna freeze no more!! :lol: Funny I say this before November!!