STORM2K

May it be a cool and wet one.

Ah, summer, the best season ever! Lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s with an occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Doesn't get any better than that. My take on what the summer will bring is temps near normal or a little below normal with near-normal precipitation across Texas.

2nd year El Nino summer

I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.

somethingfunny wrote:I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.

May get it. Heck go for 1905. Wet up and down the plains, going to be a summer to remember (cooler). Relative to average, Texas may be the bullseye for below normal JJA across the states with trof remaining in place.

somethingfunny wrote:I'm hoping for something like 2004 this year.

Could see that as 2004 had a developing El Nino.

Ntxw wrote:
May get it. Heck go for 1905. Wet up and down the plains, going to be a summer to remember (cooler). Relative to average, Texas may be the bullseye for below normal JJA across the states with trof remaining in place.

1904 to 1906 was a multi year El Nino.

MEI Prior To 1950 (1871 to 2005)
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei.e ... e.ext.html

I would be okay with a repeat of last summer. We never went over 95 degrees and most of our 90s days were right at 90 or 91.

I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.

Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.

Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though

ravyrn wrote:

Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.

Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though

If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.

vbhoutex wrote:

ravyrn wrote:

Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.

Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though

If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.

I did some research on it last week... at least at DFW, these are just recent years that I checked:

1991 and 1992 had none

2002 and 2004 had only 1

1983 2

One common theme in years with a few more seemed to be all they came in a streak or very short period of time(mostly August)

56 degrees on June 1st.

I'll take it

and countdown to fall in the process

Below normal at 95-96 with 70% humidity will make DFW feel like we live on the Gulf Coast.

Well its been months since my last post but I'm still here. What a crazy and wet May! I'm glad we are having a dry start to June as it is desperately needed for much of the state.

DFW has only failed to hit 100 twice going back to 1900, 1906 and 1973. Both on the heels of powerful El Nino's. There are several occurances of 1 also most likely to occur during El Nino.

Statistically speaking DFW is more likely to see a below 0 reading than no 100s in a given year.

vbhoutex wrote:

ravyrn wrote:

Brent wrote:I wanna fail to reach 100 this summer. I see it is possible during el nino summers.

Good luck, Brent! I have a bit more wooded areas around me that helped this past summer w/ moisture to keep the high temps at bay along w/ the prolonged cloud cover! It'd be really neat if Dallas could make it w/o a 100 degree day this summer! I'm only 120 miles ESE of DFW so it has to be possible! All that concrete around DFW won't help though

If Houston can do it Dallas can do it. We didn't have an official 100 degree temperature last summer even though I had 3 at my house.

Dallas goes over a 100 a lot more than Houston, unless we're talking heat index.......I lived in southeast texas growing up. The weather between the two is quite different, rarely seabreeze showers here in the summer, but much less humidity. I'll take Dallas heat any day over over Houston's 90's except this year. This is the most humid year I've experienced since I moved here 14 years ago, for obvious reasons.

Same goes for East Texas, those trees do a lot of good for tempering the heat and raising humidity just not quite as bad as Houston. The heat island effect is definitely pretty strong especially between George Bush Turnpike and downtown, I haven't paid attention, but I imagine the same heat island effect takes places inside 610 in Houston.

Happy summer solstice! Tis the summer of the big El Nino, DFW is going June without hitting 100.


Per latest ECMWF, weak 'front' next week

wxman57 wrote:Ah, summer, the best season ever! Lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s with an occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Doesn't get any better than that. My take on what the summer will bring is temps near normal or a little below normal with near-normal precipitation across Texas.

You got the first part right (so far...LOL) . Good job sir. The second part umm...no...although Summer has just begun...

My part of Rockwell county got almost 4" of rain so far today.