Texas Spring 2026

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DallasAg
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#961 Postby DallasAg » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:10 pm

Quarter size hail and some intense lightning in North Dallas near NorthPark center.
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CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#962 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:17 pm

Storms are firing basically right over my house, no rain whatsoever but the air has cooled and you can hear thunder. Watching radar returns and it's raining about 2-3 miles east of me
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#963 Postby cstrunk » Mon Apr 27, 2026 8:20 pm

Supercell near Rockwall warned for tennis ball sized hail. Same for the Commerce cell.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#964 Postby Texoz » Mon Apr 27, 2026 9:38 pm

cstrunk wrote:Supercell near Rockwall warned for tennis ball sized hail. Same for the Commerce cell.


Oct 20, 2019 la Quinta hotel parking lot off I-30 just southwest of Rockwall was the only time I "saw" a tornado. Didn't actually see it until I looked at my phone camera video and saw it in the lightning flashes. It was a few miles northeast heading across the lake. We were driving east on the highway when our cell phones went nuts with tornado warning alerts. Screenshot below.


Image
Last edited by Texoz on Mon Apr 27, 2026 9:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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DukeMu
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#965 Postby DukeMu » Mon Apr 27, 2026 9:40 pm

Picture from our plane shortly before landing at DFW on Saturday, looking toward the supercell.

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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#966 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 12:59 am

00z Euro is very wet and starting may 1–12th, its well below average temperatures as that front has staying power, no complaints at all!
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#967 Postby Brent » Tue Apr 28, 2026 5:03 am

I'm trying to tell people to enjoy this coming pattern because it's gonna be summer before you know it

Today may be the first of several days this week we stay in the 60s
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#968 Postby TomballEd » Tue Apr 28, 2026 5:50 am

I'm not expecting that much rain with the front. Cool weather for yard work will be nice. I mowed the lawn in a steam bath last weekend.

6Z Hi-Res NAM has a pretty decent cap which would be hard to break but if it does (Dallas County forecast sounding) late afternoon, over 4500 J/Kg MLCAPE, 50 knots deep shear and about 8*C/km lapse rates scream hail potential. SPC has DFW in CIG 2 hail. Mom, 2 sisters and a brother in law live in Bedford. (Tarrant County).

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#969 Postby wxman22 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 7:33 am

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Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Valid 281300Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
MID-SOUTH...

...SUMMARY...
Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms will occur across parts of
the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and
Southeast through this evening. Very large to giant hail (2-4+
inches), swaths of severe/damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are
all possible.

...Southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley/Southeast...
With large-scale upper troughing anchored over the Plains and
central Canada, an embedded mid-level shortwave trough will eject
eastward across the southern/central Plains to the lower/mid MS
Valleys by this evening. Rich low-level moisture continues to spread
northward from TX into southern OK this morning in tandem with a
low-level jet, and this trend should continue downstream into the
lower MS Valley through the day as a warm front lifts northward to a
weak surface low across the Ozarks. Another surface low will remain
over northwest TX, with a dryline extending southwestward to the Big
Bend region.

A strongly unstable airmass exists across the southern Plains to the
ArkLaTex, along and near a slowly retreating/northward-returning
warm front. Elevated supercells are ongoing across western north TX.
This activity is being aided by lift and strong deep-layer shear
associated with the ejecting mid-level shortwave trough, and
low-level warm/moist advection. Current expectations are for these
supercells to continue posing a threat for mainly large to very
large hail through the rest of the morning as they spread
east-northeastward across north TX/southern OK. But, eventual
clustering and a greater damaging wind threat may materialize into
the afternoon as this convection crosses the front and accesses
greater instability across AR and the Ozarks.

Additional surface-based convective development is forecast near the
triple point in north-central TX towards the ArkLaTex this
afternoon, where extreme instability (4000+ J/kg MLCAPE) and very
strong deep-layer shear (50-60+ kt) will support the potential for
multiple intense supercells. Very large to giant hail (2-4+ inches)
may occur with the strongest supercells given the overall very
favorable environment and presence of steep mid-level lapse rates.
Some tornado threat may also exist with these supercells, even
though low-level shear is not forecast to be overly strong.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#970 Postby wxman22 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 7:39 am

Was not expecting to wake up to a rouge supercell nearby this morning.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#971 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 8:09 am

Stratton23 wrote:00z Euro is very wet and starting may 1–12th, its well below average temperatures as that front has staying power, no complaints at all!


At least we’ll have some cooler temps and lower humidity for a few days, but I’m not expecting much rain for areas in SETX S of I-10. I think maybe half an inch to an inch on average. It’s frustrating that the Coastal Plains keep missing out on the bigger totals. I’m curious to see what the drought monitor will look like on Thursday.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#972 Postby cstrunk » Tue Apr 28, 2026 8:20 am

wxman22 wrote:Was not expecting to wake up to a rouge supercell nearby this morning.

https://i.postimg.cc/Dw0V3nJb/IMG-0813.png


I don't care what anyone else says, I think Wichita Falls has the most interesting weather in all of Texas. More winter weather than most (besides the panhandle) and more extremes (temperature, drought, severe weather, floods, you name it).
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#973 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Apr 28, 2026 8:38 am

Interesting gust front trailing the supercell from its sw tip. I wonder if this will either serve as a focal point for development/rotation of later storms, dampen the environment, or neither.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#974 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 8:45 am

Yeah well I'm not taking my chances I went ahead and parked under the garage at UNT because if those things hit around lunch time I don't want to be making a mad rush for it. I'll roll the dice for $20 and not have to get the car repaired after I just got it painted.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#975 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Apr 28, 2026 9:52 am

Wish I had a garage at my school lol

Getting a bit nervous as SPC moved back the enhanced risk west for hail and tornadoes across all of DFW today. It looks more linear, so I expect the tornado risk is pretty small really.

If it's after 5, I can be home. But, 4, I will be stuck at school with kids, so I hope it holds off...

Regarding the NAM, it basically has showed nothing many of the days with big storms happening.

I just wouldn't rely much upon that. It does show storms today, for what it's worth.
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Tue Apr 28, 2026 10:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#976 Postby Quixotic » Tue Apr 28, 2026 10:09 am

That cell along the river is perfectly round and enormous.
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TomballEd
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#977 Postby TomballEd » Tue Apr 28, 2026 10:46 am

3600 J/Kg MLCAPE at 7 am is impressive. Not much of a cap, either.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#978 Postby wxman22 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 11:23 am

Stay weather aware today in DFW and points east into the ArkLaTex. Supercells are going to probably be very intense today.

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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#979 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 11:27 am

Mentioned it yesterday that today was more than likely DFW's day to be on guard.

Only aspect to consider or watch is whether storms from this morning have any impact in working over the atmosphere enough to effect timing or location of afternoon development.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#980 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Apr 28, 2026 11:58 am

Moderate risk added by SPC for the DFW metro (big hail threat upgrade)
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