STORM2K

Looks like DFW airport is jack-potting and now a flood advisory for that area!

First time being back in Dallas after moving up to Norman—blessed with a little bit of storms. Woot woot!

bubba hotep wrote:Looks like DFW airport is jack-potting and now a flood advisory for that area!

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/GIS/sbw-history.php?vtec=2020.KFWD.FA.Y.0135

Guess that sort of makes up for the relative lack of rain a few days ago lol

Had a brief downpour here a couple hours ago

So hyped for this front on Wednesday

Got another 0.6" yesterday. 1.25" since Wednesday. ;-) Greening up!

FYI DFW's record lows before the 10th all hover around mid 50s which is easily in the forecast. Any lower and new records could be set this week. Low maximums are upper 60s to low 70s also could be in jeopardy.

Cerlin wrote:First time being back in Dallas after moving up to Norman—blessed with a little bit of storms. Woot woot!

Norman=College?

Congrats you should have more snow luck up there in theory...

The end of the NAM at 7am predawn Wednesday fropa for DFW

So I wake up this morning and the W-Underground forecast has back off the cool temps for Wed-Thu by 5-10 degrees. What gives?

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:So I wake up this morning and the W-Underground forecast has back off the cool temps for Wed-Thu by 5-10 degrees. What gives?

Models are trending back to holding the trough to our west. This will keep us in a warmer and wetter pattern. While the front still may move through, it's looks to be weaker.

bubba hotep wrote:

Is that the GFS? Hope not. I still can’t trust the GFS from last year.

Brent wrote:

Cerlin wrote:First time being back in Dallas after moving up to Norman—blessed with a little bit of storms. Woot woot!

Norman=College?

Congrats you should have more snow luck up there in theory...

The end of the NAM at 7am predawn Wednesday fropa for DFW

https://i.ibb.co/N2DPm1p/namconus-T2m-scus-53.png

Yes it does! I’m studying Meteorology at OU now! Purely up there because wxman57’s wall doesn’t keep the canadian air away from there as well as it does in Texas.

As for this front, the NAM seems to be running colder than the GFS (GFS actually backed way off with the progressive nature of the front on the 12z by the looks of it)

Cerlin wrote:

Brent wrote:

Cerlin wrote:First time being back in Dallas after moving up to Norman—blessed with a little bit of storms. Woot woot!

Norman=College?

Congrats you should have more snow luck up there in theory...

The end of the NAM at 7am predawn Wednesday fropa for DFW

https://i.ibb.co/N2DPm1p/namconus-T2m-scus-53.png

Yes it does! I’m studying Meteorology at OU now! Purely up there because wxman57’s wall doesn’t keep the canadian air away from there as well as it does in Texas.

As for this front, the NAM seems to be running colder than the GFS (GFS actually backed way off with the progressive nature of the front on the 12z by the looks of it)

Awesome, good luck with your studies!

And yes, 12z models continue to trend towards the 0z Euro in slowing down the front considerably and much weaker. I'm beginning to think that we won't be seeing much cool air with this one. Hoping for some more good rainfall though.

South Texas Storms wrote:

Cerlin wrote:

Brent wrote:
Norman=College?

Congrats you should have more snow luck up there in theory...

The end of the NAM at 7am predawn Wednesday fropa for DFW

https://i.ibb.co/N2DPm1p/namconus-T2m-scus-53.png

Yes it does! I’m studying Meteorology at OU now! Purely up there because wxman57’s wall doesn’t keep the canadian air away from there as well as it does in Texas.

As for this front, the NAM seems to be running colder than the GFS (GFS actually backed way off with the progressive nature of the front on the 12z by the looks of it)

Awesome, good luck with your studies!

And yes, 12z models continue to trend towards the 0z Euro in slowing down the front considerably and much weaker. I'm beginning to think that we won't be seeing much cool air with this one. Hoping for some more good rainfall though.

I’m all for more rain! In the past 5 weeks here in Wharton we’ve only had .50”.

The 12z GFS barely has any front at all for southeast Texas.

Big difference in rainfall on the Euro vs GFS. GFS has some good rains for most of Texas. The Euro has it only for west central Texas.

What happened to the front even the NAM now has Dallas well into the 80s on Wednesday

Just west of Fort Worth is in the 60s

Well...what? I thought this was a sure thing. Darn.

rwfromkansas wrote:Well...what? I thought this was a sure thing. Darn.

Seriously I was gonna compare the NAM to the Euro but it looks like it caved

Brent wrote:

rwfromkansas wrote:Well...what? I thought this was a sure thing. Darn.

Seriously I was gonna compare the NAM to the Euro but it looks like it caved

Yeah that trough out west isn’t ejecting over Texas so we’ll just get a glancing blow of the cold.

Over 4” in the bee cave area W of Austin over the last few days. Official totals at the airport and city are over 3” for the month. While the front looks to no longer push through, hopefully it can stall nearby so we have some good rains !