STORM2K

This lower humidity has been nice, but gosh these north winds have dried everything out. Grass is withering up here quickly.

Cpv17 wrote:This lower humidity has been nice, but gosh these north winds have dried everything out. Grass is withering up here quickly.

Yeah, I've noticed that too. Been nice, cooler mornings and low humidity days. But my grass and plants are drying out. Been watering some over the past week or so. The local weather met brought up "flash drought" the other day, and how we'll have to keep an eye on the drought monitor over the next week or so if we don't get rain.

Slowly but surely the Euro EPS has been shifting back to a less dry pattern.

Hearing about a cool front on Fathers Day with storm potential. Timing could be better but I say bring it on baby!!!!!

Well it doesn't look good long term as La Niña sure does look to be forming. Booo

iWeatherNet/ Chris Robbins unpublished his weather page on FB today. He was great, though he only posted for big events. But, I knew if he said something, I would trust him. Oh, and whoever suggested not getting a pool, after the quotes we are leaning toward no at this point. Hefty compared to even a few years ago.

rwfromkansas wrote:iWeatherNet/ Chris Robbins unpublished his weather page on FB today. He was great, though he only posted for big events. But, I knew if he said something, I would trust him. Oh, and whoever suggested not getting a pool, after the quotes we are leaning toward no at this point. Hefty compared to even a few years ago.

Interesting, I don't have FB but his post on Twitter were always money, esp. when it came to winter weather.

Euro EPS continues the slow steady march towards wetter conditions for parts of the state.

I was able to use one of my new inventions to pull in a nice downpour over the Rain Cave and picked up about a quarter of an inch. Also got to see a lovely rainbow too.

I also saw a rainbow yesterday afternoon looking East toward Austin from Dripping Springs.

The past 5 days didn’t feel so bad with lower dew points and large diurnal temp swings. Actually felt cool in the mornings. The humidity is back on the rise so a pattern change can’t come quickly enough.

GFS has a cool front without much in the way of rain Friday night and the Euro has a longer lasting cool down next Monday with decent rains next Wednesday and Thursday. GFS also has the rain in the middle of next week. Any change would be nice.

Man, what in the world is the Euro seeing down in STX? 15” near the border lol

Cpv17 wrote:Man, what in the world is the Euro seeing down in STX? 15” near the border lol

Yep that's what a cut off low interacting with deep tropical moisture will do!

JDawg512 wrote:I was able to use one of my new inventions to pull in a nice downpour over the Rain Cave and picked up about a quarter of an inch. Also got to see a lovely rainbow too.

https://s12.directupload.net/images/200616/c7rfiwc5.jpg

Oh wow! That's awesome JDawg512! Congrats! Nice rainbow. I think I got the outflow boundary from your rainstorm. Felt nice afterwards, and I could even smell rain, but dry here.

The CPC forecast looks pretty good but I really don’t know what they’re seeing. Anyone have the latest EPS totals? Cuz the op Euro/GFS doesn’t really look that great and neither does the GEFS really.

Widespread rain finally returning but for what part of the state lol

Euro



GFS

bubba hotep wrote:Widespread rain finally returning but for what part of the state lol

Euro

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1592395200/1593259200-dhWjUPoREck.png

GFS

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1592416800/1593259200-Ow6O8mRK3b8.png

Yeah that’s a pretty big difference.

bubba hotep wrote:Widespread rain finally returning but for what part of the state lol

Euro

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1592395200/1593259200-dhWjUPoREck.png

GFS

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1592416800/1593259200-Ow6O8mRK3b8.png

when is this supposed to happen I only see 20-30% pops

For Dallas, the GFS operational says heavy rain next Tuesday (23rd) morning and Saturday (27th) morning. The Canadian and Euro operational are much less aggressive.

What an interesting Euro run that band east of Dallas and west of Houston is well over a foot of rain