TX / South Severe Threat (Sun PM through Tuesday)

#41 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:55 pm

rain is letting up but hail continues

Yankeegirl · #42 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:57 pm

and is all of that going to be moving into the Houston area later on tonight? I have school tonight, I wanna know what to expect later on.. Thx! also, are these storms going to be making a line or the pop up variety with no form? I want to know what to look for...

Lisa

#43 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:57 pm

rain has picked up again and hail has stopped, skies are becoming lighter as Cell moves more to the East. This Cell should produce even lager hail as it moves in to Dallas County.

#44 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:59 pm

Sun is out and Shinning bright!! round one is ending now waiting on round two later this afternoon.

JenBayles · #45 Postby **JenBayles** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:05 pm

Well Capn - looks like you had one helluva 10 minutes! :lol:

#46 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:10 pm

Yea it was a AWESOME 15 min, very little Lighting or Thunder with this Cell, Clouds continue to build to the West with the dry line still out to the W. of Tarrant Co. Will be a crappy drive home later with low line flooding being reported.

#47 Postby **wlfpack81** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:13 pm

Tornado warning out for s-ern Tarrant Ct. Doesn't surprise me they put this out as that cell had a TVS sig before and has another one now (I'm using GRLevel 3 Radar Program). Nice hook becoming apparant from Base Ref as well. This cell is heading right towards Dallas!!! If you have family/friends there may want to call them and let them know it could be a rough hour or so.

#48 Postby **wlfpack81** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:29 pm

Tornado warning for Dallas and Ellis county and a tornado has been confirmed by spotters. Storms look very impressive on radar and base vel shows the rotation well.

#49 Postby **jeff** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:43 pm

Tornado on the ground in SW Dallas Co.

Yankeegirl · #50 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 5:20 pm

One of the local mets thinks all of the "good" storms are going to be to the north of the Houston area... I guess we will have to wait and see... Jeff, you think that any storms are going to make it into the Houston area later tonight?

PTrackerLA · #51 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 7:12 pm

Well we haven't gotten anything heavy yet as the warm front has stayed offshore all day (currently 58 but winds out of SE now). We've picked up .35" today so I'm hoping for alot more.

#52 Postby **gboudx** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 7:19 pm

We got a couple small showers from this round of t-storms. But the NWS is reporting the dryline has stalled just east of Mineral Wells. I wonder if that means more t-storms could develop?

JenBayles · #53 Postby **JenBayles** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 7:55 pm

I've got a leaf and oak pollen trash in my rain gauge. Feel like Charlie Brown on Halloween....

#54 Postby **jeff** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:25 pm

Despite strong heating and decent low level moisture over C TX thunderstorms and convection along dryline has remained weak and mainly confined to N TX at best.

Low level moisture continues to increase over E TX, however best forcing will be across N TX into S AR and LA overnight.

Chance of convection may increase as surface front plows into the moist air mass over the region, but lack of good instability due to rainfall today should limit the severe threat.

Although a few isolated locations across N TX had severe weather, the overall event has been less active than expected. In addition across SE TX there has been no severe weather, although some locations have picked up 1-2 inches of rain especially over Galveston County.

JenBayles · #55 Postby **JenBayles** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 8:42 pm

jeff wrote:Although a few isolated locations across N TX had severe weather, the overall event has been less active than expected.

PTrackerLA · #56 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 9:07 pm

Once again looks to be another non-event around here. Rainfall totals might not make it much over .50" and then that's it until Saturday unless we get some convection going tomorrow morning.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
832 PM CDT MON APR 25 2005

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE LOW NEAR RED RIVER VALLEY. MOIST AXIS UP THE
I-35 CORRIDOR IN TEXAS WITH AN UPSTREAM DRY LINE. HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE AT THE SURFACE FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WESTWARD INTO THE
TEXAS COASTAL PLAINS. POLAR JET FROM WEST TEXAS TO THE ARKLATEX AND
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...HOWEVER EARLIER COASTAL WARM FRONT SUPPORTED
BY THIS JET IS WASHING OUT AND IS ONLY SHOWING UP ON MSAS WIND FIELDS.

&&

.UPDATE...EVENING LCH SOUNDING WAS SATURATED BUT WITH ONLY A CAPE OF 7J...
NOT ENOUGH LIFT TO PRODUCE THUNDER. UPPER FORCING POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH
CLOSER TO THE POLAR JET. MESO NAM HINTING AT CAPPING LATER TONIGHT. WILL
LOWER POPS TO 50% AND TAKE OUT MENTION OF THUNDER/HAIL. MIN TEMPS ARE ABOUT
NOW WITH RISING TEMPS EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES WITH SWLY FLOW.
TEMPS FOR NRN ZONES LOOKING CLOSE.

&&

Yankeegirl · #57 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon Apr 25, 2005 10:12 pm

Local met just said there should be a redevelopment of storms just in time for morning rush hour.... any comments?

.

#58 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Tue Apr 26, 2005 8:36 am

Well it was a most AWESOME ride yesterday, I took off work to storm chase just as the Tornado warning for Tarrant Co was issued. That Storm Cell passed right over my house with a very large rotating wall cloud, but no funnel, I did get into some larger hail quarter size and a little bigger as I drove E SE down hwy 287. The Tornadic Cell never did put down a twister, some spotters claim that a brife touchdown in Cedar Hill but that has not been comfirmed by local officals or the NWS. Spotters also claim a Tornado touchdown just outside of Maypearl Tx, but that has not been confirmed by the NWS either. Storm Cell continued east with a large amount of rotation and continued to produce hail nickel to quarter size. Looking at radar you could clearly see the hook echo in two different Cells moving E over Southern Tarrant and Dallas Counties and over Northern Johnson and Ellis Co. Storm Cells futher to the north produced dime size hail and 60mph winds as they moved to the E SE. Hail covered the ground and roof tops like snow in Cedar Hill, and some reports from Alverado and Godley TX of quarter sizr hail covering the ground 2 inches deep.

#59 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Apr 26, 2005 8:49 am

YankeeGirl wrote:Local met just said there should be a redevelopment of storms just in time for morning rush hour.... any comments?

.

Didn't happen. We got 0.17" from this system.

JenBayles · #60 Postby **JenBayles** » Tue Apr 26, 2005 9:07 am

vbhoutex wrote:Didn't happen. We got 0.17" from this system.

I got a rock....

TX / South Severe Threat (Sun PM through Tuesday)

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