SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NEC005-101-172145-
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
220 PM MST MON MAR 17 2003
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...
IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...
EASTERN ARTHUR AND EASTERN KEITH COUNTIES...
* AT 220 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTH OF
KEYSTONE...OR ABOUT 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ARTHUR...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 35 MPH.
* DAMAGING HAIL AND...OR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED...
3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARTHUR AROUND 240 PM MST
IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER IN A SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A BASEMENT OFFERS THE BEST
PROTECTION.
***CURRENT WATCHES/WARNINGS/STORMS/REPORTS IN THE US***
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Rob-TheStormChaser
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NEC005-069-172230-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
238 PM MST MON MAR 17 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN GARDEN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA
WESTERN ARTHUR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA
* UNTIL 330 PM MST
* AT 232 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 26 MILES EAST OF
CRESCENT LAKE NWR...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARTHUR...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
15 MILES NORTHEAST OF CRESCENT LAKE NWR AROUND 255 PM MST
NEC005-069-172230-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
238 PM MST MON MAR 17 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN GARDEN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA
WESTERN ARTHUR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA
* UNTIL 330 PM MST
* AT 232 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 26 MILES EAST OF
CRESCENT LAKE NWR...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARTHUR...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
15 MILES NORTHEAST OF CRESCENT LAKE NWR AROUND 255 PM MST
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Rob-TheStormChaser
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 PM CST MON MAR 17 2003
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 550 PM UNTIL 1100
PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 45
MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT WORTH TEXAS.
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 47. WATCH NUMBER 47 WILL NOT BE IN
EFFECT AFTER 550 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 48...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN OK
AND NORTH TX. LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS BACKED LOW LEVEL
WINDS...INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG DRYLINE AND INCREASING
VERTICAL SHEAR. SEVERAL WEAK BOUNDARIES ALSO EXIST ACROSS SOUTHERN
OK...INDICATING LOCALLY FAVORABLE AREAS FOR TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 PM CST MON MAR 17 2003
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 550 PM UNTIL 1100
PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 45
MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT WORTH TEXAS.
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 47. WATCH NUMBER 47 WILL NOT BE IN
EFFECT AFTER 550 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 48...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN OK
AND NORTH TX. LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS BACKED LOW LEVEL
WINDS...INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG DRYLINE AND INCREASING
VERTICAL SHEAR. SEVERAL WEAK BOUNDARIES ALSO EXIST ACROSS SOUTHERN
OK...INDICATING LOCALLY FAVORABLE AREAS FOR TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
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Rob-TheStormChaser
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0272
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 AM CST TUE MAR 18 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN MT AND NCENTRAL/NERN WY
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 181151Z - 181745Z
HEAVY SNOW WITH HOURLY ACCUMULATION RATES AROUND 1 INCH WILL
DEVELOP FROM PORTIONS OF ECENTRAL MT SEWD INTO NCENTRAL/NERN WY
THROUGH 18/15Z. HEAVY SNOW WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH 18/21Z.
REGIONAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATES A WELL DEFINED 0-4 KM DEEP
CONVERGENCE AXIS/FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM ERN MT SWD INTO
ERN WY. STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT ABOVE THIS BOUNDARY WITH ELY FLOW
UP THROUGH 500 MB WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN MAINTAINING THIS
BAROCLINIC ZONE THROUGH THE DAY. RECENT TRENDS IN WV IMAGERY AND
VWP/S FROM BLX...RIW AND GGW SUGGEST THAT THE 600-500 MB
DEFORMATION FIELD WAS INTENSIFYING. THIS WAS LIKELY A RESULT OF
WWD MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL CO. UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE WILL CONTINUE TO AID STRONG FRONTOGENESIS IN THE
500-600 MB LAYER...WHERE THE MOST RECENT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST A FAVORABLE THERMAL PROFILE FOR HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPMENT.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION THAT DEVELOPED IN THE STRONG WAA ZONE
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WILL MOVE WWD INTO NERN WY AND ERN MT
THROUGH 18/15Z. IN ADDITION DIABATIC EFFECTS DUE TO LATENT HEAT
RELEASE SHOULD AID IN FURTHER STRENGTHENING THE FRONTOGENETIC
CIRCULATION FROM ECENTRAL MT SWD INTO NCENTRAL/NERN WY. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES...GREATER THAN 1 INCH/HR THROUGH 18/16Z
SHOULD EXTEND ALONG AN AXIS FROM 20 W OF JDN TO 20 W OF GCC.
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 AM CST TUE MAR 18 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN MT AND NCENTRAL/NERN WY
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 181151Z - 181745Z
HEAVY SNOW WITH HOURLY ACCUMULATION RATES AROUND 1 INCH WILL
DEVELOP FROM PORTIONS OF ECENTRAL MT SEWD INTO NCENTRAL/NERN WY
THROUGH 18/15Z. HEAVY SNOW WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH 18/21Z.
REGIONAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATES A WELL DEFINED 0-4 KM DEEP
CONVERGENCE AXIS/FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM ERN MT SWD INTO
ERN WY. STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT ABOVE THIS BOUNDARY WITH ELY FLOW
UP THROUGH 500 MB WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN MAINTAINING THIS
BAROCLINIC ZONE THROUGH THE DAY. RECENT TRENDS IN WV IMAGERY AND
VWP/S FROM BLX...RIW AND GGW SUGGEST THAT THE 600-500 MB
DEFORMATION FIELD WAS INTENSIFYING. THIS WAS LIKELY A RESULT OF
WWD MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL CO. UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE WILL CONTINUE TO AID STRONG FRONTOGENESIS IN THE
500-600 MB LAYER...WHERE THE MOST RECENT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST A FAVORABLE THERMAL PROFILE FOR HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPMENT.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION THAT DEVELOPED IN THE STRONG WAA ZONE
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WILL MOVE WWD INTO NERN WY AND ERN MT
THROUGH 18/15Z. IN ADDITION DIABATIC EFFECTS DUE TO LATENT HEAT
RELEASE SHOULD AID IN FURTHER STRENGTHENING THE FRONTOGENETIC
CIRCULATION FROM ECENTRAL MT SWD INTO NCENTRAL/NERN WY. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES...GREATER THAN 1 INCH/HR THROUGH 18/16Z
SHOULD EXTEND ALONG AN AXIS FROM 20 W OF JDN TO 20 W OF GCC.
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Rob-TheStormChaser
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
VALID 181300Z - 191200Z
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN LA...
EXTREME SERN AR AND CENTRAL/NRN MS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15
NNE MCB 25 NNW BTR 30 S ESF 35 NW ESF 35 WSW MLU 25 NNW MLU 45 WSW
GLH 30 NNE GLH 35 WSW UOX 25 SW TUP 10 WSW CBM 20 NW MEI
35 WNW LUL 15 NNE MCB.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 ENE PSX 20 E CLL 45 WSW TYR 45 NW MLC 35 NNE OKC 35 WNW END
30 SSE DDC 50 N DDC 20 ESE HLC 45 NW CNK FLV 30 ENE MDH 25 NE BWG
CSV 20 W RMG SEM 15 E GPT.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE SAV 20 NW SAV
45 ESE ATL 30 S ATL AUO 15 WNW TOI 25 SSE MOB ...CONT... 45 SW PSX
25 WNW NIR 35 W HDO 25 WSW JCT 25 N BWD 30 SSW SPS 20 WSW FSI
25 NW CSM PVW 45 ENE 4CR 20 WNW LVS 35 SE ALS COS AKO 25 SW RAP
10 NW REJ 25 W Y22 60 NW ABR 40 W BRD 40 ENE BRD 60 S DLH
30 SW EAU 25 SE FRM 45 WNW DSM 20 S DSM BMI 15 NW BMG 30 NNW TRI
40 E HKY 20 NE CRE.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EYW 30 S FMY
15 NNW MLB.
...SYNOPSIS...
AN INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 110 KT MID LEVEL JET
MAX...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN FAR SRN TX...IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD
INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY REGION TONIGHT. THIS JET MAX IS
ROUNDING THE BASE OF A LARGE OCCLUDED CYCLONE LOCATED IN THE SRN
ROCKIES AND WILL AID IN DEVELOPING THE CYCLONE SEWD INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE. AT THE SURFACE...A DRYLINE FROM CENTRAL OK SWD INTO SRN
TX WILL ACCELERATE EWD WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE
LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE DRYLINE IN SRN TX AND WILL MOVE NEWD
INTO NWRN MS TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NWD INTO
SRN LA THIS AFTERNOON AND MS TONIGHT...RESULTING IN A TRIPLE POINT
AT THE DRYLINE/WARM FRONT/SURFACE LOW LOCATION.
...SERN TX NEWD INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
A BAND OF CONVECTION THIS MORNING EXTENDS FROM ERN OK SWD INTO SRN
TX AND DEPICTS THE LEADING EDGE OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE/LARGE
SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE UPPER JET.
THIS LARGE SCALE VERTICAL MOTION WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS ERN TX/LA
TODAY AND AR/MS/TN/AL TONIGHT. THE TROPOSPHERIC WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN CONSIDERABLY AS THE JET MAX APPROACHES. THE STRONGER
WINDS COMBINED WITH BACKING WINDS IN THE LOWER 3 KM SHOULD RESULT
IN SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MS.
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND FOG CURRENTLY COVER MUCH OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...BUT AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT
...MID/UPPER 60 DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST IN THE WARM SECTOR. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN MLCAPE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG. THERE APPEARS TO BE A
NARROW WINDOW...LOCATED NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT...WHERE THE
INSTABILITY/SHEAR/DYNAMICAL LIFT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES. THIS AREA ROUGHLY EXTENDS
FROM ERN LA NEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NRN MS BETWEEN
ROUGHLY 23Z-08Z. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NRN
MS/WRN TN AND NWRN AL LATER TONIGHT...BUT THIS DEPENDS ON HOW FAR
NORTH THE WARM SECTOR CAN SPREAD.
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...THE SHEAR WILL ALSO SUPPORT SMALL EMBEDDED
BOWS WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT. THE INSTABILITY AND SUSTAINED
STRONG UPDRAFTS WILL ALSO RESULT IN SEVERE HAIL.
...ERN KS/ERN OK/NERN TX/AR/SRN MO...
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON...AS STRONGER LIFT SHIFTS EWD INTO THE AREA. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE 50S AND TEMPERATURES MAY NOT
WARM MUCH DUE TO CLOUDS...BUT COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT/ 500 MB
TEMPERATURES FROM -16 TO -18C/ WILL RESULT IN MUCAPES UP TO 1000
J/KG. THE RELATIVELY LOW WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS SUGGEST THAT SEVERE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...THOUGH ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
POSSIBLE GIVEN THE STRONG DYNAMICAL FORCING.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
VALID 181300Z - 191200Z
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN LA...
EXTREME SERN AR AND CENTRAL/NRN MS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15
NNE MCB 25 NNW BTR 30 S ESF 35 NW ESF 35 WSW MLU 25 NNW MLU 45 WSW
GLH 30 NNE GLH 35 WSW UOX 25 SW TUP 10 WSW CBM 20 NW MEI
35 WNW LUL 15 NNE MCB.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 ENE PSX 20 E CLL 45 WSW TYR 45 NW MLC 35 NNE OKC 35 WNW END
30 SSE DDC 50 N DDC 20 ESE HLC 45 NW CNK FLV 30 ENE MDH 25 NE BWG
CSV 20 W RMG SEM 15 E GPT.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE SAV 20 NW SAV
45 ESE ATL 30 S ATL AUO 15 WNW TOI 25 SSE MOB ...CONT... 45 SW PSX
25 WNW NIR 35 W HDO 25 WSW JCT 25 N BWD 30 SSW SPS 20 WSW FSI
25 NW CSM PVW 45 ENE 4CR 20 WNW LVS 35 SE ALS COS AKO 25 SW RAP
10 NW REJ 25 W Y22 60 NW ABR 40 W BRD 40 ENE BRD 60 S DLH
30 SW EAU 25 SE FRM 45 WNW DSM 20 S DSM BMI 15 NW BMG 30 NNW TRI
40 E HKY 20 NE CRE.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EYW 30 S FMY
15 NNW MLB.
...SYNOPSIS...
AN INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 110 KT MID LEVEL JET
MAX...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN FAR SRN TX...IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD
INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY REGION TONIGHT. THIS JET MAX IS
ROUNDING THE BASE OF A LARGE OCCLUDED CYCLONE LOCATED IN THE SRN
ROCKIES AND WILL AID IN DEVELOPING THE CYCLONE SEWD INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE. AT THE SURFACE...A DRYLINE FROM CENTRAL OK SWD INTO SRN
TX WILL ACCELERATE EWD WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE
LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE DRYLINE IN SRN TX AND WILL MOVE NEWD
INTO NWRN MS TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NWD INTO
SRN LA THIS AFTERNOON AND MS TONIGHT...RESULTING IN A TRIPLE POINT
AT THE DRYLINE/WARM FRONT/SURFACE LOW LOCATION.
...SERN TX NEWD INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
A BAND OF CONVECTION THIS MORNING EXTENDS FROM ERN OK SWD INTO SRN
TX AND DEPICTS THE LEADING EDGE OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE/LARGE
SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE UPPER JET.
THIS LARGE SCALE VERTICAL MOTION WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS ERN TX/LA
TODAY AND AR/MS/TN/AL TONIGHT. THE TROPOSPHERIC WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN CONSIDERABLY AS THE JET MAX APPROACHES. THE STRONGER
WINDS COMBINED WITH BACKING WINDS IN THE LOWER 3 KM SHOULD RESULT
IN SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MS.
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND FOG CURRENTLY COVER MUCH OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...BUT AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT
...MID/UPPER 60 DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST IN THE WARM SECTOR. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN MLCAPE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG. THERE APPEARS TO BE A
NARROW WINDOW...LOCATED NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT...WHERE THE
INSTABILITY/SHEAR/DYNAMICAL LIFT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES. THIS AREA ROUGHLY EXTENDS
FROM ERN LA NEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NRN MS BETWEEN
ROUGHLY 23Z-08Z. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NRN
MS/WRN TN AND NWRN AL LATER TONIGHT...BUT THIS DEPENDS ON HOW FAR
NORTH THE WARM SECTOR CAN SPREAD.
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...THE SHEAR WILL ALSO SUPPORT SMALL EMBEDDED
BOWS WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT. THE INSTABILITY AND SUSTAINED
STRONG UPDRAFTS WILL ALSO RESULT IN SEVERE HAIL.
...ERN KS/ERN OK/NERN TX/AR/SRN MO...
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON...AS STRONGER LIFT SHIFTS EWD INTO THE AREA. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE 50S AND TEMPERATURES MAY NOT
WARM MUCH DUE TO CLOUDS...BUT COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT/ 500 MB
TEMPERATURES FROM -16 TO -18C/ WILL RESULT IN MUCAPES UP TO 1000
J/KG. THE RELATIVELY LOW WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS SUGGEST THAT SEVERE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...THOUGH ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
POSSIBLE GIVEN THE STRONG DYNAMICAL FORCING.
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Rob-TheStormChaser
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 SSE HUM 35 S LUL MEI CBM 20 WSW MKL 20 S POF 35 SSW UNO
10 N ADM 20 SE LTS 30 NW LTS 30 NNW CSM END 50 ENE CNU 25 W IRK
25 SSE BRL 15 SSW BMI 20 SE IND 20 NNE LOZ 30 W HKY 40 SE CLT
15 SW CRE ...CONT... 20 S SSI 20 W CTY.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW HUM
35 ENE MCB 35 WNW MEI 40 SSE UOX 40 WSW UOX 35 NE PBF 35 SSE HOT
20 NNW TXK 35 SW PRX MWL 30 N BGS 35 E ROW 55 NNW ROW LVS LAA MCK
OFK RHI HTL CLE 35 WSW EKN DAN ILM.
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD OCCLUDED AND STRONGLY CYCLONIC LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THROUGH THE PERIOD...THOUGH
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NW SHOULD BEGIN EJECTING
THE SYSTEM EWD BY 20/12Z. COMPLICATED SURFACE PATTERN WITH
TROUGH/DRYLINE EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AND EXTEND FROM
A WEAK SURFACE LOW IN MO SEWD INTO WRN AL. A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL
SWWD FROM THE MO LOW AND MOVE SEWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE AND OK
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
...SERN STATES...
STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD ACROSS PORTIONS OF AL/TN. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SPEED MAX SHIFT CONVECTION NWD
INTO WEAKER INSTABILITY. SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS CONVECTION...THE
AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S AND STRENGTHENING SLY WINDS
SPREAD MID/UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS NWD. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE VERY
STRONG WITH 30 KT SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEERING TO SWLY AND
INCREASING TO 70 KT AT 6 KM. SOME UNCERTAINTY ATTM TO FORCING AND
TIMING OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH THE MODELS SUGGEST
LEFT EXIT REGION OF A SPEED MAX WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. IF THE AREA CAN STAY CONVECTIVE FREE
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...THE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
POSSIBLY A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT...INCLUDING TORNADOES
...ACROSS SRN AL...FL PANHANDLE...AND SRN GA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE TIMING OF FORCING
AND CONVECTIVE INITIATION PRECLUDES AN ISSUANCE OF A MODERATE RISK
ATTM. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS SRN AL/SRN GA ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
OVERNIGHT.
...MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY SWWD INTO OK....
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNUSUALLY COLD FROM IL SWWD INTO OK
WHERE 500 MB TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM -22 TO -24C.
DESPITE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 40S...HEATING INTO THE 60S COMBINED
WITH THE COLD AIR ALOFT RESULTS IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE
AROUND 1000 J/KG. LIFT WILL BE ACCENTUATED BY SEWD MOVING COLD
FRONT AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THIS SYSTEM AROUND MID DAY. THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD BE SEVERE HAIL.
THE STORMS WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN WITH THE STORMS WEAKENING
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 SSE HUM 35 S LUL MEI CBM 20 WSW MKL 20 S POF 35 SSW UNO
10 N ADM 20 SE LTS 30 NW LTS 30 NNW CSM END 50 ENE CNU 25 W IRK
25 SSE BRL 15 SSW BMI 20 SE IND 20 NNE LOZ 30 W HKY 40 SE CLT
15 SW CRE ...CONT... 20 S SSI 20 W CTY.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW HUM
35 ENE MCB 35 WNW MEI 40 SSE UOX 40 WSW UOX 35 NE PBF 35 SSE HOT
20 NNW TXK 35 SW PRX MWL 30 N BGS 35 E ROW 55 NNW ROW LVS LAA MCK
OFK RHI HTL CLE 35 WSW EKN DAN ILM.
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD OCCLUDED AND STRONGLY CYCLONIC LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THROUGH THE PERIOD...THOUGH
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NW SHOULD BEGIN EJECTING
THE SYSTEM EWD BY 20/12Z. COMPLICATED SURFACE PATTERN WITH
TROUGH/DRYLINE EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AND EXTEND FROM
A WEAK SURFACE LOW IN MO SEWD INTO WRN AL. A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL
SWWD FROM THE MO LOW AND MOVE SEWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE AND OK
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
...SERN STATES...
STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD ACROSS PORTIONS OF AL/TN. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SPEED MAX SHIFT CONVECTION NWD
INTO WEAKER INSTABILITY. SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS CONVECTION...THE
AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S AND STRENGTHENING SLY WINDS
SPREAD MID/UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS NWD. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE VERY
STRONG WITH 30 KT SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEERING TO SWLY AND
INCREASING TO 70 KT AT 6 KM. SOME UNCERTAINTY ATTM TO FORCING AND
TIMING OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH THE MODELS SUGGEST
LEFT EXIT REGION OF A SPEED MAX WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. IF THE AREA CAN STAY CONVECTIVE FREE
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...THE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
POSSIBLY A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT...INCLUDING TORNADOES
...ACROSS SRN AL...FL PANHANDLE...AND SRN GA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE TIMING OF FORCING
AND CONVECTIVE INITIATION PRECLUDES AN ISSUANCE OF A MODERATE RISK
ATTM. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS SRN AL/SRN GA ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
OVERNIGHT.
...MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY SWWD INTO OK....
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNUSUALLY COLD FROM IL SWWD INTO OK
WHERE 500 MB TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM -22 TO -24C.
DESPITE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 40S...HEATING INTO THE 60S COMBINED
WITH THE COLD AIR ALOFT RESULTS IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE
AROUND 1000 J/KG. LIFT WILL BE ACCENTUATED BY SEWD MOVING COLD
FRONT AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THIS SYSTEM AROUND MID DAY. THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD BE SEVERE HAIL.
THE STORMS WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN WITH THE STORMS WEAKENING
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
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Rob-TheStormChaser
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
VALID 201200-211200
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FROM THE ERN MIDDLE MS
VALLEY RIVER REGION EWD INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND SEWD ACROSS
THE SERN UNITED STATES.
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE EWD INTO MIDDLE
MS RIVER VALLEY...IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SWD ACROSS
THE PACIFIC COAST STATES. DEEP SWLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
THE SURFACE TROUGH/DRYLINE ONLY SLOWLY EWD ACROSS AL/ERN TN ON
THURSDAY. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE SITUATED EAST OF
THE DRYLINE AND SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT...THAT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND
FROM ERN KY SEWD INTO NC.
...SERN UNITED STATES...
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO THE DAY 3 PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
STRENGTHENS. BOTH THE ETA AND GFS MODELS SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
OVERALL ENVIRONMENTAL WIND PATTERN...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TRAINING NEWD ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
DAY. ALTHOUGH THIS MAY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...THE DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.
SEVERE STORM COVERAGE WILL BE DEPENDENT ON AIR MASS RECOVERY...BUT
THIS CAN NOT BE DETERMINED 3 DAYS OUT. THUS...A BROAD SLIGHT RISK
AREA COVERS THE REGION WHERE THE AIR MASS SHOULD REMAIN WARM AND
MOIST.
...MIDDLE MS VALLEY AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY...
MODELS SUGGEST THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE NEWD AROUND
THE UPPER LOW INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE QUITE COLD
WITH 500 MB TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO RANGE FROM -20C TO -22C.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE IN THE 40S AND LOWER 50S...THE
COLD AIR ALOFT AND DIURNAL HEATING WILL RESULT IN MUCAPES BETWEEN
1000 AND 2000 J/KG. THE WINDS ALOFT WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...BUT THE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION. THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW/SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN STORMS WITH HAIL AND
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS.
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
VALID 201200-211200
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FROM THE ERN MIDDLE MS
VALLEY RIVER REGION EWD INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND SEWD ACROSS
THE SERN UNITED STATES.
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE EWD INTO MIDDLE
MS RIVER VALLEY...IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SWD ACROSS
THE PACIFIC COAST STATES. DEEP SWLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
THE SURFACE TROUGH/DRYLINE ONLY SLOWLY EWD ACROSS AL/ERN TN ON
THURSDAY. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE SITUATED EAST OF
THE DRYLINE AND SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT...THAT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND
FROM ERN KY SEWD INTO NC.
...SERN UNITED STATES...
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO THE DAY 3 PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
STRENGTHENS. BOTH THE ETA AND GFS MODELS SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
OVERALL ENVIRONMENTAL WIND PATTERN...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TRAINING NEWD ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
DAY. ALTHOUGH THIS MAY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...THE DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.
SEVERE STORM COVERAGE WILL BE DEPENDENT ON AIR MASS RECOVERY...BUT
THIS CAN NOT BE DETERMINED 3 DAYS OUT. THUS...A BROAD SLIGHT RISK
AREA COVERS THE REGION WHERE THE AIR MASS SHOULD REMAIN WARM AND
MOIST.
...MIDDLE MS VALLEY AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY...
MODELS SUGGEST THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE NEWD AROUND
THE UPPER LOW INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE QUITE COLD
WITH 500 MB TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO RANGE FROM -20C TO -22C.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE IN THE 40S AND LOWER 50S...THE
COLD AIR ALOFT AND DIURNAL HEATING WILL RESULT IN MUCAPES BETWEEN
1000 AND 2000 J/KG. THE WINDS ALOFT WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...BUT THE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION. THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW/SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN STORMS WITH HAIL AND
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS.
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-
wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
Looks like an active day in store for the south. The sun just came out here... destablilization in progress. :o
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Rob-TheStormChaser
Tornado Reports
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2055 UNK 5 SW GOTEBO KIOWA OK 3500 9895 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2345 UNK 2 E SANTO PALO PINTO TX 3259 9817 TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED BRIEF TOUCHDOWN (FTW)
0003 UNK PUMPKIN CENTER COMANCHE OK 3568 9578 TORNADO REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1945 88 4 NW ELMORE CITY GARVIN OK 3466 9744 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
1956 100 3 W SOUTH BEND YOUNG TX 3299 9872 (FTW)
1958 75 5 N SWEETWATER ROGER MILLS OK 3549 9991 REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE (OKC)
2000 100 PEMBROKE BROWARD FL 2613 8050 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (MIA)
2000 175 8 S LONE WOLF KIOWA OK 3484 9925 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR (OKC)
2001 75 4 N HOMINY OSAGE OK 3648 9639 (TUL)
2005 175 HOLLYWOOD BROWARD FL 2601 8014 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (MIA)
2015 75 2 N DEMPSEY ROGER MILLS OK 3554 9981 HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2020 75 KENDALL DADE FL 2568 8031 REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NHC EMPLOYEE (MIA)
2020 88 OSBORNE OSBORNE KS 3943 9870 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT. (GRI)
2025 75 WANETTE POTTAWATOMIE OK 3495 9703 REPORTED BY WANETTE CITY HALL (OKC)
2030 75 DADE COUNTY DADE FL 2568 8051 SW 117 AVE AND 17 ST NWSFO-MIA OFFICE (MIA)
2035 75 MIRAMAR BROWARD FL 2613 8050 FLAMINGO AND PEMBROKE RD REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE. (MIA)
2035 75 HOBART KIOWA OK 3501 9910 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2037 75 1 E BURBANK OSAGE OK 3669 9669 (TUL)
2040 100 PALM BEACH GARDENS BROWARD FL 2680 8006 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER. 1.00 INCH HAIL WIND GUST 30 TO 35 MPH 3100 PGA BLVD REPORTED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE. (MIA)
2045 88 BURKBURNETT WICHITA TX 3409 9856 REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN BY HAM RAIO OPERATOR. (OKC)
2050 175 HOBART KIOWA OK 3501 9910 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR (OKC)
2054 88 DRUMMOND GARFIELD OK 3630 9803 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2058 100 CORAL GABLES DADE FL 2575 8025 BIRD RD AND GRENADA RD REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER. (MIA)
2100 88 2 NW ALMA STEPHENS OK 3444 9762 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2100 88 4 W RUSH SPRINGS GRADY OK 3478 9803 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2102 175 ORLANDO ORANGE FL 2854 8136 GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT HIGHWAY 408 AND KIRKMAN RD. HAM REPORT. (MLB)
2108 75 DIGHTON LANE KS 3848 10046 AGTAP REPORT (DDC)
2115 175 PALM BAY BREVARD FL 2803 8058 QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT SAN FILIPO BLVD AND EL DORADO WAY. SKYWARN REPORT. (MLB)
2115 100 DEVOL COTTON OK 3418 9858 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2120 75 CARNEY LINCOLN OK 3581 9701 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2124 75 WOODWARD WOODWARD OK 3643 9939 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2125 75 2 S BUNGER YOUNG TX 3298 9860 (FTW)
2125 75 2 W ARKANSAS CITY COWLEY KS 3706 9709 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2130 250 LORIDA BREVARD FL 2745 8126 OFF DUTY METEOROLOGIST REPORTED HAIL RANGING FROM GOFL BALL TO TENNIS BALL SIZE. EVENT LASTED 5 MINUTES, RESULTING IN HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. (MLB) 2130 88 5 SE JENNINGS HAMILTON FL 3054 8303 (JAX)
2130 100 3 S LAKE VALLEY WASHITA OK 3511 9886 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2130 88 ARTHUR ARTHUR NE 4156 10170 (LBF)
2144 100 VALKARIA BREVARD FL 2796 8055 DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SKYWARN. FUNNEL CLOUD ALSO REPORTED AT THAT TIME. (MLB)
2145 175 2 E POSSUM KINGDOM LAKE TX 3289 9846 (FTW)
2145 75 ELMORE CITY GARVIN OK 3461 9738 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2145 75 4 W OXFORD SUMNER KS 3728 9725 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2145 88 LOOMIS PHELPS NE 4048 9951 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (GRI)
2148 100 ALTOONA LAKE FL 2896 8163 ONE INCH HAIL AND WIN GUST TO 46 MPH REPORTED BY U.S. FOREST SEVICE OFFICE. (MLB)
2149 88 2 N RIPLEY PAYNE OK 3604 9690 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2158 175 6 W TEMPLE COTTON OK 3426 9835 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2210 75 COLDWATER COMANCHE KS 3726 9933 PUBLIC REPORT (DDC)
2214 175 7 W GRAFORD TX 3293 9838 (FTW)
2214 100 BELLE PLAINE SUMNER KS 3740 9723 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2215 88 LEXINGTON CLEVELAND OK 3501 9733 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2220 175 12 SSE LAKESIDE GARDEN NE 4188 10231 (LBF)
2225 100 4 E EAKLY CADDO OK 3529 9846 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2228 100 MIMS BREVARD FL 2866 8083 QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT U.S. 1 AND HIGHWAY 46. HAM REPORT. (MLB)
2230 88 1 NW WICHITA SEDGWICK KS 3771 9734 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2232 88 COLWICH SEDGWICK KS 3778 9753 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED (ICT)
2235 175 TEMPLE COTTON OK 3426 9823 REPORTED BY OKLAHOMA HIGHWAY PATROL (OKC)
2244 88 2 NW SCOTT CANADIAN OK 3540 9826 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2245 100 2 E CORUM STEPHENS OK 3436 9805 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2245 100 6 W BINGER CADDO OK 3531 9845 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2255 75 PALM BAY BREVARD FL 2803 8058 PUBLIC REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL. (MLB)
2300 75 3 W GARDEN PLAIN SEDGWICK KS 3766 9774 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2300 75 SEDGWICK COUNTY SEDGWICK KS 3773 9748 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2310 175 EMPIRE CITY STEPHENS OK 3441 9803 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2315 75 1 E CHENEY RENO KS 3763 9776 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2316 100 3 NW PERTH SUMNER KS 3720 9754 (ICT)
2325 75 2 W CYRIL CADDO OK 3488 9824 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2328 75 3 W ANTHONY HARPER KS 3714 9809 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (ICT)
2330 75 OKARCHE KINGFISHER OK 3571 9798 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2335 100 LAWTON COMANCHE OK 3461 9839 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2335 175 5 S CALUMET CANADIAN OK 3551 9811 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2335 75 GEUDA SPRINGS COWLEY KS 3711 9714 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2335 75 17 WNW TRYON MCPHERSON NE 4165 10131 (LBF)
2339 75 TECUMSEH POTTAWATOMIE OK 3525 9693 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER' (OKC)
2340 88 3 N SANTO PALO PINTO TX 3264 9821 DPS REPORTED NICKEL HAIL COVERING ROAD (FTW)
2340 225 DUNCAN STEPHENS OK 3451 9795 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2340 100 PRETTY PRAIRIE RENO KS 3778 9801 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2345 75 JACKSONVILLE BEACH DUVAL FL 3028 8138 (JAX)
2345 75 JACKSONVILLE DUVAL FL 3034 8166 REPORTED BY BROADCAST MEDIA (JAX)
2350 125 7 E LAWTON COMANCHE OK 3461 9825 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2350 75 N GEARY BLAINE OK 3588 9831 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2350 75 1 W MAYFIELD SUMNER KS 3726 9757 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (ICT)
2350 75 HUTCHINSON RENO KS 3806 9791 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2355 75 2 N HARPER HARPER KS 3731 9801 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED (ICT)
0005 100 4 S BENNETT PARKER TX 3264 9804 DPS REPORTED QUARTER HAIL I-20 AND GILBERT RD (FTW)
0005 75 2 NE TURON RENO KS 3782 9840 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (ICT)
0020 75 9 SW KINGFISHER KINGFISHER OK 3574 9806 REPORTED BY KINGFISHER COUNTY EM (OKC)
0028 175 4 NE PUMPKIN CENTER STEPHENS OK 3573 9572 GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON STEPHENS/COMANCHE CO. LINE BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0029 75 FORT SUPPLY WOODWARD OK 3658 9956 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO SPOTTER. (OKC)
0030 100 NORMAN CLEVELAND OK 3521 9745 REPORTED AT CLASSEN AND 12 AVE SE BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0033 125 4 W MARLOW STEPHENS OK 3464 9803 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
0040 75 ZENDA KINGMAN KS 3745 9828 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
0046 100 KINGFISHER KINGFISHER OK 3584 9793 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER. (OKC)
0101 100 4 SE RUSH SPRINGS GRADY OK 3473 9789 REPORTED BY GRADY COUNTY EM. (OKC)
0118 88 5 NW COX CITY GRADY OK 3477 9778 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0120 75 HIALEAH DADE FL 2584 8026 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (MIA)
0126 100 OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA OK 3553 9741 REPORTED AT LUTHER AND WILSHIRE BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
0130 100 8 NE DOVER KINGFISHER OK 3607 9779 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0140 100 1 W LINDSAY GARVIN OK 3483 9762 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0142 100 8 NW MIDWAY LINCOLN OK 3557 9719 REPORTED AT MEMORIAL AND COUNTY LINE ROAD BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0204 100 PAYNE MCCLAIN OK 3490 9753 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (OKC)
0210 100 3 E MARSHALL LOGAN OK 3614 9755 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0224 100 CARNEY LINCOLN OK 3581 9701 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
0234 175 PURCELL MCCLAIN OK 3501 9736 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
0235 75 7 S HAYWARD GARFIELD OK 3616 9751 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0240 75 2 S LUCIEN NOBLE OK 3624 9745 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0300 88 2 NW ALMA STEPHENS OK 3444 9762 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0303 88 MAGUIRE CLEVELAND OK 3513 9730 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0333 100 GLENCOE PAYNE OK 3623 9693 REPORTED BY PAYNE COUNTY EM. (OKC)
0339 75 RED ROCK NOBLE OK 3646 9716 REPORTED BY COOP OBSERVER (OKC)
0340 100 PINK POTTAWATOMIE OK 3526 9711 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2043 60 BRADENTON BEACH MANATEE FL 2746 8270 ONE CARPORT RIPPED OFF HOME, SEVERAL SMALL LIMBS DOWNED, LAWN FURNITURE TOSSED. (TBW)
2100 UNK PALMETTO MANATEE FL 2751 8258 PORTION OF ROOF TORN OFF HOME IN PALMETTO. DEBRIS REPORTED NEARBY ON STATE ROUTE 70 EAST. (TBW)
2105 UNK SARASOTA SARASOTA FL 2733 8253 INITIAL REPORTS OF ROOF DAMAGE ALONG FRUITVILLE ROAD. EVENT TIME ESTIMATED...MORE DETAILS TO FOLLOW. (TBW)
2107 UNK VALDOSTA LOWNDES GA 3083 8328 DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. EVENT DURATION 13 MINUTES. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (TLH)
2140 UNK COOK COUNTY COOK GA 3115 8345 SEVERAL REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. EVENT DURATION 5 MINUTES. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. (TLH)
2150 UNK 5 W NASHVILLE BERRIEN GA 3119 8334 FEW DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES NEAR THE BERRIEN/COOK COUNTY LINE. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (TLH)
2159 66 CUSHING PAYNE OK 3598 9676 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2225 UNK 8 SW GRAFORD PALO PINTO TX 3283 9836 CANOE BUILDING DAMAGED HIGHWAY 4 AND BRAZOS RIVER...TREES TOPPED AND LARGE LIMBS ACROSS ROAD...VEHICLE-MOUNTED ANEMOMETER RECORDED 70 MPH WIND (FTW)
0125 UNK CORAL GABLES DADE FL 2575 8025 LARGE AWNING RIPPED DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS (MIA)
0128 80 MIAMI BEACH DADE FL 2580 8011 REPORTED BY OFF-DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE (MIA)
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2055 UNK 5 SW GOTEBO KIOWA OK 3500 9895 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2345 UNK 2 E SANTO PALO PINTO TX 3259 9817 TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED BRIEF TOUCHDOWN (FTW)
0003 UNK PUMPKIN CENTER COMANCHE OK 3568 9578 TORNADO REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1945 88 4 NW ELMORE CITY GARVIN OK 3466 9744 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
1956 100 3 W SOUTH BEND YOUNG TX 3299 9872 (FTW)
1958 75 5 N SWEETWATER ROGER MILLS OK 3549 9991 REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE (OKC)
2000 100 PEMBROKE BROWARD FL 2613 8050 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (MIA)
2000 175 8 S LONE WOLF KIOWA OK 3484 9925 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR (OKC)
2001 75 4 N HOMINY OSAGE OK 3648 9639 (TUL)
2005 175 HOLLYWOOD BROWARD FL 2601 8014 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (MIA)
2015 75 2 N DEMPSEY ROGER MILLS OK 3554 9981 HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2020 75 KENDALL DADE FL 2568 8031 REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NHC EMPLOYEE (MIA)
2020 88 OSBORNE OSBORNE KS 3943 9870 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT. (GRI)
2025 75 WANETTE POTTAWATOMIE OK 3495 9703 REPORTED BY WANETTE CITY HALL (OKC)
2030 75 DADE COUNTY DADE FL 2568 8051 SW 117 AVE AND 17 ST NWSFO-MIA OFFICE (MIA)
2035 75 MIRAMAR BROWARD FL 2613 8050 FLAMINGO AND PEMBROKE RD REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE. (MIA)
2035 75 HOBART KIOWA OK 3501 9910 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2037 75 1 E BURBANK OSAGE OK 3669 9669 (TUL)
2040 100 PALM BEACH GARDENS BROWARD FL 2680 8006 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER. 1.00 INCH HAIL WIND GUST 30 TO 35 MPH 3100 PGA BLVD REPORTED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE. (MIA)
2045 88 BURKBURNETT WICHITA TX 3409 9856 REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN BY HAM RAIO OPERATOR. (OKC)
2050 175 HOBART KIOWA OK 3501 9910 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR (OKC)
2054 88 DRUMMOND GARFIELD OK 3630 9803 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2058 100 CORAL GABLES DADE FL 2575 8025 BIRD RD AND GRENADA RD REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER. (MIA)
2100 88 2 NW ALMA STEPHENS OK 3444 9762 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2100 88 4 W RUSH SPRINGS GRADY OK 3478 9803 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2102 175 ORLANDO ORANGE FL 2854 8136 GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT HIGHWAY 408 AND KIRKMAN RD. HAM REPORT. (MLB)
2108 75 DIGHTON LANE KS 3848 10046 AGTAP REPORT (DDC)
2115 175 PALM BAY BREVARD FL 2803 8058 QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT SAN FILIPO BLVD AND EL DORADO WAY. SKYWARN REPORT. (MLB)
2115 100 DEVOL COTTON OK 3418 9858 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2120 75 CARNEY LINCOLN OK 3581 9701 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2124 75 WOODWARD WOODWARD OK 3643 9939 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2125 75 2 S BUNGER YOUNG TX 3298 9860 (FTW)
2125 75 2 W ARKANSAS CITY COWLEY KS 3706 9709 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2130 250 LORIDA BREVARD FL 2745 8126 OFF DUTY METEOROLOGIST REPORTED HAIL RANGING FROM GOFL BALL TO TENNIS BALL SIZE. EVENT LASTED 5 MINUTES, RESULTING IN HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. (MLB) 2130 88 5 SE JENNINGS HAMILTON FL 3054 8303 (JAX)
2130 100 3 S LAKE VALLEY WASHITA OK 3511 9886 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2130 88 ARTHUR ARTHUR NE 4156 10170 (LBF)
2144 100 VALKARIA BREVARD FL 2796 8055 DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SKYWARN. FUNNEL CLOUD ALSO REPORTED AT THAT TIME. (MLB)
2145 175 2 E POSSUM KINGDOM LAKE TX 3289 9846 (FTW)
2145 75 ELMORE CITY GARVIN OK 3461 9738 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2145 75 4 W OXFORD SUMNER KS 3728 9725 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2145 88 LOOMIS PHELPS NE 4048 9951 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (GRI)
2148 100 ALTOONA LAKE FL 2896 8163 ONE INCH HAIL AND WIN GUST TO 46 MPH REPORTED BY U.S. FOREST SEVICE OFFICE. (MLB)
2149 88 2 N RIPLEY PAYNE OK 3604 9690 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2158 175 6 W TEMPLE COTTON OK 3426 9835 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2210 75 COLDWATER COMANCHE KS 3726 9933 PUBLIC REPORT (DDC)
2214 175 7 W GRAFORD TX 3293 9838 (FTW)
2214 100 BELLE PLAINE SUMNER KS 3740 9723 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2215 88 LEXINGTON CLEVELAND OK 3501 9733 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2220 175 12 SSE LAKESIDE GARDEN NE 4188 10231 (LBF)
2225 100 4 E EAKLY CADDO OK 3529 9846 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2228 100 MIMS BREVARD FL 2866 8083 QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT U.S. 1 AND HIGHWAY 46. HAM REPORT. (MLB)
2230 88 1 NW WICHITA SEDGWICK KS 3771 9734 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2232 88 COLWICH SEDGWICK KS 3778 9753 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED (ICT)
2235 175 TEMPLE COTTON OK 3426 9823 REPORTED BY OKLAHOMA HIGHWAY PATROL (OKC)
2244 88 2 NW SCOTT CANADIAN OK 3540 9826 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
2245 100 2 E CORUM STEPHENS OK 3436 9805 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2245 100 6 W BINGER CADDO OK 3531 9845 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2255 75 PALM BAY BREVARD FL 2803 8058 PUBLIC REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL. (MLB)
2300 75 3 W GARDEN PLAIN SEDGWICK KS 3766 9774 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2300 75 SEDGWICK COUNTY SEDGWICK KS 3773 9748 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2310 175 EMPIRE CITY STEPHENS OK 3441 9803 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2315 75 1 E CHENEY RENO KS 3763 9776 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2316 100 3 NW PERTH SUMNER KS 3720 9754 (ICT)
2325 75 2 W CYRIL CADDO OK 3488 9824 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2328 75 3 W ANTHONY HARPER KS 3714 9809 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (ICT)
2330 75 OKARCHE KINGFISHER OK 3571 9798 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2335 100 LAWTON COMANCHE OK 3461 9839 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2335 175 5 S CALUMET CANADIAN OK 3551 9811 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2335 75 GEUDA SPRINGS COWLEY KS 3711 9714 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2335 75 17 WNW TRYON MCPHERSON NE 4165 10131 (LBF)
2339 75 TECUMSEH POTTAWATOMIE OK 3525 9693 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER' (OKC)
2340 88 3 N SANTO PALO PINTO TX 3264 9821 DPS REPORTED NICKEL HAIL COVERING ROAD (FTW)
2340 225 DUNCAN STEPHENS OK 3451 9795 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
2340 100 PRETTY PRAIRIE RENO KS 3778 9801 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2345 75 JACKSONVILLE BEACH DUVAL FL 3028 8138 (JAX)
2345 75 JACKSONVILLE DUVAL FL 3034 8166 REPORTED BY BROADCAST MEDIA (JAX)
2350 125 7 E LAWTON COMANCHE OK 3461 9825 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2350 75 N GEARY BLAINE OK 3588 9831 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
2350 75 1 W MAYFIELD SUMNER KS 3726 9757 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (ICT)
2350 75 HUTCHINSON RENO KS 3806 9791 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
2355 75 2 N HARPER HARPER KS 3731 9801 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED (ICT)
0005 100 4 S BENNETT PARKER TX 3264 9804 DPS REPORTED QUARTER HAIL I-20 AND GILBERT RD (FTW)
0005 75 2 NE TURON RENO KS 3782 9840 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (ICT)
0020 75 9 SW KINGFISHER KINGFISHER OK 3574 9806 REPORTED BY KINGFISHER COUNTY EM (OKC)
0028 175 4 NE PUMPKIN CENTER STEPHENS OK 3573 9572 GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON STEPHENS/COMANCHE CO. LINE BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0029 75 FORT SUPPLY WOODWARD OK 3658 9956 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO SPOTTER. (OKC)
0030 100 NORMAN CLEVELAND OK 3521 9745 REPORTED AT CLASSEN AND 12 AVE SE BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0033 125 4 W MARLOW STEPHENS OK 3464 9803 REPORTED BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
0040 75 ZENDA KINGMAN KS 3745 9828 REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER (ICT)
0046 100 KINGFISHER KINGFISHER OK 3584 9793 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER. (OKC)
0101 100 4 SE RUSH SPRINGS GRADY OK 3473 9789 REPORTED BY GRADY COUNTY EM. (OKC)
0118 88 5 NW COX CITY GRADY OK 3477 9778 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0120 75 HIALEAH DADE FL 2584 8026 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (MIA)
0126 100 OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA OK 3553 9741 REPORTED AT LUTHER AND WILSHIRE BY HAM SPOTTER (OKC)
0130 100 8 NE DOVER KINGFISHER OK 3607 9779 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0140 100 1 W LINDSAY GARVIN OK 3483 9762 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0142 100 8 NW MIDWAY LINCOLN OK 3557 9719 REPORTED AT MEMORIAL AND COUNTY LINE ROAD BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0204 100 PAYNE MCCLAIN OK 3490 9753 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (OKC)
0210 100 3 E MARSHALL LOGAN OK 3614 9755 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0224 100 CARNEY LINCOLN OK 3581 9701 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
0234 175 PURCELL MCCLAIN OK 3501 9736 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (OKC)
0235 75 7 S HAYWARD GARFIELD OK 3616 9751 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0240 75 2 S LUCIEN NOBLE OK 3624 9745 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0300 88 2 NW ALMA STEPHENS OK 3444 9762 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0303 88 MAGUIRE CLEVELAND OK 3513 9730 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
0333 100 GLENCOE PAYNE OK 3623 9693 REPORTED BY PAYNE COUNTY EM. (OKC)
0339 75 RED ROCK NOBLE OK 3646 9716 REPORTED BY COOP OBSERVER (OKC)
0340 100 PINK POTTAWATOMIE OK 3526 9711 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (OKC)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2043 60 BRADENTON BEACH MANATEE FL 2746 8270 ONE CARPORT RIPPED OFF HOME, SEVERAL SMALL LIMBS DOWNED, LAWN FURNITURE TOSSED. (TBW)
2100 UNK PALMETTO MANATEE FL 2751 8258 PORTION OF ROOF TORN OFF HOME IN PALMETTO. DEBRIS REPORTED NEARBY ON STATE ROUTE 70 EAST. (TBW)
2105 UNK SARASOTA SARASOTA FL 2733 8253 INITIAL REPORTS OF ROOF DAMAGE ALONG FRUITVILLE ROAD. EVENT TIME ESTIMATED...MORE DETAILS TO FOLLOW. (TBW)
2107 UNK VALDOSTA LOWNDES GA 3083 8328 DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. EVENT DURATION 13 MINUTES. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (TLH)
2140 UNK COOK COUNTY COOK GA 3115 8345 SEVERAL REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. EVENT DURATION 5 MINUTES. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. (TLH)
2150 UNK 5 W NASHVILLE BERRIEN GA 3119 8334 FEW DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES NEAR THE BERRIEN/COOK COUNTY LINE. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (TLH)
2159 66 CUSHING PAYNE OK 3598 9676 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
2225 UNK 8 SW GRAFORD PALO PINTO TX 3283 9836 CANOE BUILDING DAMAGED HIGHWAY 4 AND BRAZOS RIVER...TREES TOPPED AND LARGE LIMBS ACROSS ROAD...VEHICLE-MOUNTED ANEMOMETER RECORDED 70 MPH WIND (FTW)
0125 UNK CORAL GABLES DADE FL 2575 8025 LARGE AWNING RIPPED DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS (MIA)
0128 80 MIAMI BEACH DADE FL 2580 8011 REPORTED BY OFF-DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE (MIA)
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wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
Active day yesterday, but will probably be even more active today.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Rob-TheStormChaser
-
chadtm80
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWI47 KWNS.
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 NW TOP 30 ESE OTM 35 W PIA 10 NW SPI 10 ENE STL 20 ESE TBN
35 E SGF 30 S JLN BVO ICT 30 SSE SLN 40 NW TOP 40 NW TOP.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S FMY 20 SE VRB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EAR 25 W DSM
20 NNE MKG 50 ENE MBS 40 NNE MTC MIE 10 SSE MDH 55 SW ARG 20 N LTS
35 SSW TCC 30 SSW SOW 70 NNW GBN 35 W IGM 10 WNW P38 45 NNE U28
SNY EAR.
...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED MID/UPPER-LEVEL JET
STREAK WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES REGIONS
BEFORE LIFTING NEWD INTO ERN CANADA BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. UPSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL RE-
ESTABLISH A TROUGH FROM THE DAKOTAS SWD INTO TX BY TUESDAY MORNING.
AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM PRIMARY SURFACE LOW OVER
NRN ONTARIO SWWD TO SECONDARY LOW OVER SWRN KS ON MONDAY MORNING...
WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY FROM KS EWD INTO
IL.
...KS EWD INTO THE OH VALLEY...
STRENGTHENING SLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT
SHOULD ALLOW INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE TO ADVECT NWD INTO THE
REGION ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ALSO
FORECAST TO STEEPEN ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRANSLATING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPES
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...ETA KF POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT CAPPING SHOULD SUPPRESS SURFACE-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT
ALONG THE FRONT AT THIS TIME.
LATEST ETA/GFS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TSTM INITIATION WILL LIKELY OCCUR
ON MONDAY EVENING FROM NERN KS ACROSS NRN MO AND INTO NRN IL IN
RESPONSE TO ENHANCED WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT OVER FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS
LLJ STRENGTHENS TO 40-45 KTS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...POSSIBLY
EARLIER...COULD ALSO OCCUR ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NERN/ERN CO.
INCREASED MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG LLJ AXIS SHOULD ALLOW ELEVATED
INSTABILITY TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT FROM ERN KS ACROSS NRN/CNTRL MO
WITH MUCAPES OF 1000 J/KG POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT GIVEN THE EXPECTED ELEVATED NATURE OF THE STORMS.
..MEAD.. 03/23/03
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z
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chadtm80
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
VALID 251200-261200
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND ARKLATEX REGION.
UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE ORE/WA COAST WILL ROTATE INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND MIDWEST STATES ON TUESDAY. BY EVENING...THE MAIN
SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER IND WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO AR AND EAST TX. CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES EXIST
BETWEEN THE ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS OF THIS FEATURE...WITH THE GFS FASTER
AND WEAKER THAN THE ETA. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS SUGGEST THAT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF FRONT FROM MO/IL SOUTHWARD INTO
TX/LA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN THIS REGION IS
FORECAST TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND AFTERNOON MUCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL NOT BE
PARTICULARLY STRONG. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS.
..HART.. 03/23/03
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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luke42
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 59
- Age: 43
- Joined: Wed Mar 12, 2003 10:39 am
- Location: Marquette, MI
- Contact:
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1200 PM EST SUN MAR 23 2003
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE STURGEON RIVER IN HOUGHTON AND BARAGA COUNTIES...
MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE STURGEON RIVER IN HOUGHTON AND BARAGA COUNTIES FROM ALSTON TO CHASSELL. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...AND ON MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THIS WILL CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK TO MELT. THE RESULTING RUNOFF WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE STURGEON RIVER. WHILE THE WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOWPACK IS NOT UNUSUALLY HIGH...PORTIONS OF THE SOIL REMAIN FROZEN IN THIS AREA...PREVENTING THE RUNOFF FROM BEING ABSORBED BY THE GROUND. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED ICE JAM FLOODING FROM THE LINGERING ICE COVER ON THE STURGEON RIVER...AND NEAR THE MOUTH AT PORTAGE LAKE.
AT ALSTON THE LATEST STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET AT 11 AM SUNDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET LATE MONDAY MORNING. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE STURGEON RIVER...WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 9.2 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS 1.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AT 8.0 FEET...HOMES AND STRUCTURES ALONG THE LOW LYING AREAS AND NUMEROUS ROADS BECOME IMPACTED BY FLOOD WATERS. IN HOUGHTON COUNTY...STURGEON RIVER ROAD...AHO ROAD...AND RAJALA ROAD ARE IMPACTED. IN BARAGA COUNTY...STURGEON ROAD AND ALONG FROBERG ROAD...TAHTINEN ROAD...IRWIN ROAD...AND PIETI ROAD ARE IMPACTED.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS AND INFORMATION.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1200 PM EST SUN MAR 23 2003
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE STURGEON RIVER IN HOUGHTON AND BARAGA COUNTIES...
MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE STURGEON RIVER IN HOUGHTON AND BARAGA COUNTIES FROM ALSTON TO CHASSELL. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...AND ON MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THIS WILL CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK TO MELT. THE RESULTING RUNOFF WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE STURGEON RIVER. WHILE THE WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOWPACK IS NOT UNUSUALLY HIGH...PORTIONS OF THE SOIL REMAIN FROZEN IN THIS AREA...PREVENTING THE RUNOFF FROM BEING ABSORBED BY THE GROUND. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED ICE JAM FLOODING FROM THE LINGERING ICE COVER ON THE STURGEON RIVER...AND NEAR THE MOUTH AT PORTAGE LAKE.
AT ALSTON THE LATEST STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET AT 11 AM SUNDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET LATE MONDAY MORNING. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE STURGEON RIVER...WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 9.2 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS 1.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AT 8.0 FEET...HOMES AND STRUCTURES ALONG THE LOW LYING AREAS AND NUMEROUS ROADS BECOME IMPACTED BY FLOOD WATERS. IN HOUGHTON COUNTY...STURGEON RIVER ROAD...AHO ROAD...AND RAJALA ROAD ARE IMPACTED. IN BARAGA COUNTY...STURGEON ROAD AND ALONG FROBERG ROAD...TAHTINEN ROAD...IRWIN ROAD...AND PIETI ROAD ARE IMPACTED.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA REMAIN ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS AND INFORMATION.
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wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
The lonely storm report for 3/26/03
2125 UNK HUNTERSVILLE MECKLENBURG NC 3541 8085 SPOTTER REPORTED OUTFLOW FROM DISSIPATING THUNDERSTORM BLEW DOWN A COUPLE OF OAK TREES AND A PINE (GSP)
2125 UNK HUNTERSVILLE MECKLENBURG NC 3541 8085 SPOTTER REPORTED OUTFLOW FROM DISSIPATING THUNDERSTORM BLEW DOWN A COUPLE OF OAK TREES AND A PINE (GSP)
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
TexasStooge
- Category 5
- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
- Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
- Contact:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
358 AM CST TUE APR 1 2003
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS...
.SYNOPSIS...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
AREA EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TODAY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL EXIST ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
TO THE NORTH. WINDS WILL RELAX THIS EVENING INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH
RANGE.
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-012359-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
...WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
DRIVERS OF VANS...CAMPERS...TRAILERS...AND OTHER HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS...ESPECIALLY
WHEN DRIVING ALONG EAST TO WEST ROADS.
A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 21
TO 29 MPH OR HIGHER... OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 36 AND 47 MPH.
MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE CAUTION UNTIL THE
WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.
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TexasStooge
- Category 5
- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
- Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
- Contact:
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