Texas Fall 2025

[Pas_Bon]

Did I miss something, there seems to be some rain showers popping up around the area?

Not in League City. NEVER in League City.
I hate this weather so much.

[Brent]

Did I miss something, there seems to be some rain showers popping up around the area?

Not in League City. NEVER in League City.
I hate this weather so much.

If it helps it didn't rain here either though there is a decent airmass this morning

And there was a grass fire the other day in front of my work

[CaptinCrunch]

NWS FTW Long Term Forecast

Southern plains ridging will prevail into
next week with rain chances remaining below 10% through the entire
extended forecast period. There is no sign of a significant
pattern change in the next ~10 days.

-Stalley

[Yukon Cornelius]

Augtober continues..

[HockeyTx82]

Where is Wxman57? I put this on him. Did he get an influx of money to build his wall sooner and higher this year?

[mmmmsnouts]

Link: https://youtube.com/watch?v=5N1qSl4kdaA

[gpsnowman]

This is some serious bs. Once we get out of this absurd pattern, hopefully we transition to cold quickly. Luckily my daughter and I fly to Boston Tuesday and visit the city then spend a couple days in New Hampshire traveling the forests looking at fall foliage. Weather looks nice and cool. Can't wait

[rwfromkansas]

I have been patient because I knew we would have to pay after the late summer pleasantness. The debt comes due.

But, this is getting a little concerning now. I think we are approaching about 3-4 weeks of this stagnant pattern? We need something to break this.

Basically the eastern 2/3 are warm while the far west is cool.

[rwfromkansas]

The GFS finally shows some fronts getting into KS and OK again, but TX looks screwed.

[Stratton23]

Ensemble guidance is in agreement on the - PNA finally releasing its grip over texas in the medium range, looks like we get a change in that teleconnection such as a + PNA setting up over the west coast of the US, got a strong - NAO block over greenland and canada, we also got a big typoon in the west pacific that should recurve east of japan, hopefully all that is enough to force a large scale change over NA

[Texoz]

The lack of rain in Central Texas is concerning. Just when it seemed like we'd catch up with a wet spring/summer. I think September was 4th driest on record for Austin Mabry (0.08 inches).

We're 8 days into October and no significant rain recorded or forecast for next 7 days. Sept (#4) and Oct (#2) are two of the wettest months with only May/June ranking higher. Sept normally gets 3.45 and Oct 3.91 inches.

https://www.kxan.com/weather/weather-bl ... o-average/

[TomballEd]

First real cold front of Fall. Op beyond 10 days so no guarantees.

[Quixotic]

Real fall cold is highs in the 60s. This is kind of absurd. Normally we’d have some nights in the 50s by now.

[Iceresistance]

It has been stupidly dry in the past few weeks

[Pas_Bon]

I need to speak to the Texas Fall Climate Manager.

[Brent]

Even with the "cold front" we're still above normal

We suck

I keep looking at day 10 for a real front and I swear it's not getting any closer

[bubba hotep]

Augtober

You can say that again.

[bubba hotep]

I do think changes across the Pacific will shake up the pattern across North America out beyond day 10. Light at the end of the tunnel.

[rwfromkansas]

Some hopeful signs on both the GFS and Euro, but the concerning part is we are talking the very end of the run, basically around October 23rd or later. That's a long ways away....

[Stratton23]

We should see a trend toward more high latitude blocking in Alaska and greenland as a strong typoon recurves east of Japan, that should cause a big large scale shift in the pattern over NA, I believe models and ensembles are struggling to resolve this issue, just my opinion though