Texas Spring 2013

[Ntxw]

It's 40 degrees midday at DFW! Is this January?! Where did April go??? Brrr the day time low-max should be shattered

[gboudx]

It's 40 degrees midday at DFW! Is this January?! Where did April go??? Brrr the day time low-max should be shattered

According to NWS update, the max should've already been met, so yeah, looks like another low-max record. I don't mind these kinds of record-breaking temps.

MOST LOCATIONS HAVE LIKELY ALREADY SEEN THEIR HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STEADY OR CONTINUE TO FALL
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR
ALL OF THE REGION AND MOSTLY MATCHED THEM TO THE TEMPERATURE
VALUES AT 8 AM WHICH IS WHEN THE PERIOD BEGAN.

[Tireman4]

Come on front...come on....

[dhweather]

85 yesterday, 45 this morning, 35 tonight.

Thanks to my dear friend the CAP, what should have been a decent rain producer wasn't.

At least I got .36 out of it.


They are expecting 3-5" in the Ark-La-Miss area from this same system. I wish that would happen to us.

[vbhoutex]

This thread is temporarily on hiatus until the weather decides whether or not we are going to have Spring. Currently 49f at my house in W Houston with mist.

[Ntxw]

Now this is more typical of spring in Texas! 80s and low 90s with humidity! Staying for a few days then thunderstorms (north and east parts of the state). Then back to chill for week's end. After that the Euro and CFSv2 does not show any major cold or heat, seems pretty normal and pleasant until the end of the month.

As far as precip goes, looks dry.

[Rgv20]

Getting ready for Summer over here in my neck of the woods, rest of the work week looks pretty warm with highs in the upper 90's and lows in the mid to upper 70's. Friday the NWS has a forecast high of 72!!! That is going to feel rather pleasant! Still waiting on the rain tho.....

[dhweather]

Now this is more typical of spring in Texas! 80s and low 90s with humidity! Staying for a few days then thunderstorms (north and east parts of the state). Then back to chill for week's end. After that the Euro and CFSv2 does not show any major cold or heat, seems pretty normal and pleasant until the end of the month.

As far as precip goes, looks dry.

Sad but true. The FTW AFD a couple of days ago eluded to "next chance for rain might be in May" after Wednesday.

[horselattitudesfarm]

Per NWS DFW area discussion, looks like even another cold front might make it next week:


"ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND A RETURN TO SOUTH WINDS BY SUNDAY SHOULD HELP
TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE 70S. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SURGE SOUTH INTO THE AREA BY EITHER NEXT TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY...BUT TIMING DIFFERS BETWEEN THE EUROPEAN AND THE GFS.
SAME WITH RAIN CHANCES AND FOR NOW HAVE KEPT A WARM AND DRY
FORECAST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK."

[dhweather]

From FTW NWS

12Z FWD SOUNDING CAME IN MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES HOWEVER THE CAPPING INVERSION WAS
GINORMOUS AND MODIFYING IT WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 90S STILL YIELDS
ABOUT 100 J/KG OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. THE CAP WILL BE SLIGHTLY
WEAKER OUT WEST...BUT ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT TEMPS IN
THE MID/UPPER 90S WILL BE REQUIRED TO OVERCOME THE CAP.


curse you CAP.

[Ntxw]

Per NWS DFW area discussion, looks like even another cold front might make it next week:

While the CFSv2 and Euro do not show anything extreme (it is getting to be mid April afterall), they do generally agree the below normal temperatures trend of this Spring will continue for the rest of April.

Meteorological Spring so far


Next 45 days forecast from the CFSv2


Seemingly we have flipped a switch since early February. The above normal days haven't really outnumbered the cooler days that has been persistent the past 2+ years. The Pacific of late has not flooded the eastern CONUS with warm air, even with the +AO regime going on now. Hopefully this is a sign of a cooler summer, but that is a different season! One can hope. I suspect the short term changes in SST's over the western Pacific (cooling +PDO sig over Japan) may be slowing down the raging jet and unusual blocking.

[weatherdude1108]

I guess it shouldn't be a shocker that Austin's rain forecast for Thursday went from 60% yesterday to 30% today.

Austin and Vicinity as of 3:35 p.m. CDT
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 86. South southeast wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

[Ntxw]

Cold, wet, windy morning here in DFW after a warm first half of the week, needed a light jacket in mid April! What an amazing spring it has been if one can even consider it spring at all

Side note I wanted to give thoughts and prayers to everyone down in West, Texas for the events that happened yesterday evening.

[gboudx]

Cold, wet, windy morning here in DFW after a warm first half of the week, needed a light jacket in mid April! What an amazing spring it has been if one can even consider it spring at all

Side note I wanted to give thoughts and prayers to everyone down in West, Texas for the events that happened yesterday evening.

In addition to the amazing cool temps, the regular rainfall is amazing too. Pollen got out of it's mind last Spring due to lack of rain washing it out every few days. This season hasn't been too bad so far.

And yeah, I'd like to echo your sentiments on West, Tx.

[dhweather]

1.56 inches of rain this morning - very nice!!

Thoughts and prayers to those in West, Texas - that is a terrible situation down there.

[Rgv20]

Rain!!! Looks that a quarter to half an inch of rain is looking likely, hopefully rain amounts start trending up!

Wednesday A chance of rain and thunderstorms, then rain likely after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

THE MID WEEK PORTION OF THE
FORECAST IS A BIT CHALLENGING IN VIEW OF THE FACT THAT IT`S BEEN
VERY DRY FOR A LONG PERIOD AND THE PROMISE OF RAIN MUST BE MET
WITH WARY EYES. CONFIDENCE SHOULD BE CONSIDERED AVERAGE.

[vbhoutex]

BEAUTIFUL!!!!! Too bad it won't stay this way. Another cool down mid week.

[Ntxw]

BEAUTIFUL!!!!! Too bad it won't stay this way. Another cool down mid week.

The front is arriving here tomorrow morning and will feel like fall/winter than spring. Expect it down that way by the evening/night hours. Now we just need a big volcano to erupt somewhere and we can extend this makeshift cold season right through summer!

[weatherdude1108]

Agreed Ntxw!

[Tireman4]

BEAUTIFUL!!!!! Too bad it won't stay this way. Another cool down mid week.

The front is arriving here tomorrow morning and will feel like fall/winter than spring. Expect it down that way by the evening/night hours. Now we just need a big volcano to erupt somewhere and we can extend this makeshift cold season right through summer!

With all that snowpack up north, May could be cool too.....hummm. It "aint" going anywhere anytime soon....LOL