2013 U.S Severe Weather: Videos / Photos / Stats / Forecasts

[EF-5bigj]

So it's the EF-5 that the NWS does not want. To be a EF-5 that is a EF-5?

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

I surely hope the NWS plans to downgrade all other tornadoes they rated using radar so far this year using their logic with the El Reno tornado.

[EF-5bigj]

Well it's a disputed rating now I think it's a EF-5 then again it was a beast on radar like the Moore,OK 2013 EF-5. I hope the rating system is changed for wind speeds though just because it did not obliterate everything in sight does not mean its not a EF-5. The other El Reno tornado was rated EF-5 partly due to wind speed measurements.

[cycloneye]

Interesting information at link below about El Reno Tornado by met chaser Gabriel Garfield.

http://gabrielgarfield.wordpress.com/20 ... o-tornado/

[cycloneye]

A possible outbreak for Midwest.

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0232 AM CDT TUE OCT 01 2013

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...FRIDAY D4: NEB...IA...MN...WI...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR A
SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE ON FRI/D4 ANYWHERE FROM FAR ERN NEB INTO
IA...SRN MN...AND SWRN WI.

THE WRN TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE PLAINS ON
FRIDAY/D4...WITH A RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NEAR THE NEB/IA
BORDER FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON...CONTINUING NEWD INTO MN OVERNIGHT.

BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS ON THE ORDER OF 65-68 F WILL ALREADY BE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...E OF THE DEVELOPING COLD FRONT
TRAILING S FROM THE SURFACE LOW...AND S OF A WARM/STATIONARY FRONT
WHICH WILL BE ACROSS SRN MN INTO CNTRL WI.

DUE TO COOLING ALOFT WITH THIS STRONG SYSTEM...MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL BE STEEP FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...PERHAPS NEAR 8.0 C/KM...ATOP A
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER RESULTING IN CLASSIC LOADED GUN PROFILES.
HODOGRAPHS WILL BE VERY LARGE NEAR THE SURFACE LOW TRACK...AND WILL
FAVOR SUPERCELLS PRODUCING TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG...AND
VERY LARGE HAIL. A FASTER MOVING FRONT OR EARLIER INITIATION COULD
LEAD TO MORE OF A LINEAR MODE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...BUT DETAILS SUCH
AS THESE HAVE LOW PREDICTABILITY THIS FAR OUT.

...FRIDAY D4: ERN KS...OK...WRN MO...
THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY SURGE SEWD ACROSS THE REGION
WITH THE MORE FAVORABLE FORCING FARTHER N. STILL...SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS STORMS IN THE FORM OF A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
COLD FRONT. INTERROGATION OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST CAPPING WILL
BE A FACTOR AWAY FROM THE FRONT. AS A RESULT...ANY CHANCE OF
SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY BE IN A VERY SHORT TIME WINDOW UNTIL THE
FRONT UNDERCUTS THEM...ACROSS WRN AREAS WHERE HEATING IS STRONGEST.
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL OCCUR
WITH THE SQUALL LINE.

...SATURDAY D5: MI INTO THE LOWER OH/MID MS VALLEY...
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME OCCLUDED INTO SAT/D5 AS THE LOW
ROTATES NWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY. STRONG FLOW NEARLY PARALLEL
TO THE FRONT AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED
STRONG STORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS OR
HAIL...BUT THE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HIGH END.

..JEWELL.. 10/01/2013

[EF-5bigj]

So we could see strong tornadoes with this?

[TwisterFanatic]

Very large Tornado in progress near Wayne, Nebraska.

[EF-5bigj]

That is one big tornado...

[cycloneye]

Any photos from Midwest outbreak can be posted here.

Here is damage in Wayne,Nebraska.

[cycloneye]

Image of Sioux City Iowa Tornado.

[cycloneye]

Video of Wayne Tornado

[cycloneye]

Another Video of Wayne Nebraska Tornado

[cycloneye]

Here is a long video of the Wayne Nebeaska Tornado

[Ntxw]

We are still on pace for the lowest tornado count year since tracking has begun. With only two months left we may get that honor if we end up with less than 944 count. We'll need a couple of crazy outbreaks to boost the count up, but that's not as likely to occur this time of year compared to the spring. In tandem with the Hurricane season something is going on in the atmosphere that is shutting off these violent storms in 2013 statistically.



Disclaimer: This is a broad look at the entire year by count. Not individual tornadoes that effect lives and property

Overall tornadoes, hurricanes, exceptional heat, and wildfires have not been abundant in 2013. It's been the year that has lacked the big multi billion dollar disasters for the US compared to the past several.

[cycloneye]

If anyone has videos of the 11/17/13 event, you can post those here.

[Bunkertor]

Here is one.

http://us.cnn.com/2013/11/17/us/irpt-in ... ?hpt=hp_t1

[Cyclenall]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aiBIFDLfWCY[/youtube]

News station getting hit by the tornado or just before where they take a break.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mRIaZlWKvKQ[/youtube]

This one takes me back to March 2, 2012 . Looks violent for sure.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SaibKIu85KU[/youtube]

Link: http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/tornadoes- ... -1.2429906

[cycloneye]

Impressive wedged tornado with small vortexes in central Illinois.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eix9QaLLPLg

[cycloneye]

Extensive damage in parts of Illinois. Look at the third image that matress.

[Cyclenall]

Impressive wedged tornado with small vortexes in central Illinois.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eix9QaLLPLg

I saw that one early on on CBC news. Nice music at the beginning to go with it, should have turned it right up. Unfortunately, this video suffers from vertical syndrome .