STORM2K

TheProfessor wrote:Did they move both the Rangers and the Astros for they're Wednesday and Thursday Games? For the Rangers they were playing the Dodgers at home yesterday and are at home today, but then they go to La for tomorrow and Thursday. I've never seen that before. The Astros are doing the same with the Rockies.

they've been doing this for a couple years now with some of the interleague games.

Latest NWS FWD garphic, it has the heaviest axis right along the 35 corridor.

Around the noon hour, Bill was drifting towards the West. As of the latest loop in the near 3pm hour, it appears it is definitely jogging towards the north.

Weimar is getting high winds and horizontal rain. I can't believe we still have power. My radar shows weather should be breaking in hour.

Rain has stopped in Weimar and wind is decreasing.

Looks like NCTX is getting hammered with rain. Here in northern San Antonio, the sun is out with cool, dry'ish breezes. But from what I see and read, it's supposed to get worse here as the day wears on.

Those high rainfall rates per hour just don't seem to be there with this storm.

DonWrk wrote:Those high rainfall rates per hour just don't seem to be there with this storm.

They haven't been with the main core I agree. The heaviest stuff has been the banding with the inflow on it's eastern side, Houston is seeing much more today than yesterday. As it drifts NNW the hi RES models are showing more banding lines re-firing, we'll see if this comes to fruition.

A little off topic for Texas, anyone been following the death ridge in the southeast? Looks like our little friend has camped over there. Parts of South Carolina, Georgia will be parked around 100 for the next 7-14 days. Something I do not miss while it's 70s/80s here.

Ntxw wrote:A little off topic for Texas, anyone been following the death ridge in the southeast? Looks like our little friend has camped over there. Parts of South Carolina, Georgia will be parked around 100 for the next 7-14 days. Something I do not miss while it's 70s/80s here.

I have definitely noticed that. They are baking over there and the long range continues to show it camped out in the same spot for the following weeks from what I've seen correct?

DonWrk wrote:

Ntxw wrote:A little off topic for Texas, anyone been following the death ridge in the southeast? Looks like our little friend has camped over there. Parts of South Carolina, Georgia will be parked around 100 for the next 7-14 days. Something I do not miss while it's 70s/80s here.

I have definitely noticed that. They are baking over there and the long range continues to show it camped out in the same spot for the following weeks from what I've seen correct?

That seems to be it. The past couple of the weeks the Euro (and other guidance) have tried to build it westward and connect with the sonoran ridge. However it has not materialized as the 500mb weakness has persisted over the southern plains. In addition feedback from wet soils and vegetation has helped, inducing the ridge to retreat and sit over the SE US. As result it helped steered Bill into Texas around the ridge vs north or NE like we have seen the past few years. Hard to fight the background state of things.

If you check out the Euro run, you can see the Sonoran ridge building but slowly hops over around Oklahoma and Texas and then sits over the southeast. While a low feature is spinning in New Mexico/Old Mexico, I think this will be the persistent pattern of the summer. The question is will eventually the two ridges be able to hook up and give us a window of real heat? Or is everything transient.

If they don't hook up, it could put Texas at more risk if future tropical systems develop.

Per Larry over in the ENSO thread (he is very good at interpreting SOI) the second half of June will start seeing severe -SOI drops. We have seen in the past this has a very good correlation with upcoming heavy rain events for Texas. It is quite likely another heavy rain event may occur the final week of June.

WeatherNewbie wrote:

TheProfessor wrote:Did they move both the Rangers and the Astros for they're Wednesday and Thursday Games? For the Rangers they were playing the Dodgers at home yesterday and are at home today, but then they go to La for tomorrow and Thursday. I've never seen that before. The Astros are doing the same with the Rockies.

they've been doing this for a couple years now with some of the interleague games.

The Astros are at home with the Rockies. The final game is tonight...

Ntxw wrote:A little off topic for Texas, anyone been following the death ridge in the southeast? Looks like our little friend has camped over there. Parts of South Carolina, Georgia will be parked around 100 for the next 7-14 days. Something I do not miss while it's 70s/80s here.

Yep, it's supposed to be 101 with a heat index of 113 here today.

But it's good (in some areas) for you all to get rain and erase the drought over there.

SeGaBob wrote:

Ntxw wrote:A little off topic for Texas, anyone been following the death ridge in the southeast? Looks like our little friend has camped over there. Parts of South Carolina, Georgia will be parked around 100 for the next 7-14 days. Something I do not miss while it's 70s/80s here.

Yep, it's supposed to be 101 with a heat index of 113 here today.

But it's good (in some areas) for you all to get rain and erase the drought over there.

Oh Bob, that drought is a memory. You know weather patterns....give and take. We ( Texas and 2011) were so frustrated because the darned High Pressure Ridge of Death would not move ( and it ate a Tropical Storm...Don)....

TheProfessor wrote::uarrow: If they don't hook up, it could put Texas at more risk if future tropical systems develop.

I would be inclined to say yes, that would be the case.

Tireman4 wrote:

SeGaBob wrote:

Ntxw wrote:A little off topic for Texas, anyone been following the death ridge in the southeast? Looks like our little friend has camped over there. Parts of South Carolina, Georgia will be parked around 100 for the next 7-14 days. Something I do not miss while it's 70s/80s here.

Yep, it's supposed to be 101 with a heat index of 113 here today.

But it's good (in some areas) for you all to get rain and erase the drought over there.

Oh Bob, that drought is a memory. You know weather patterns....give and take. We ( Texas and 2011) were so frustrated because the darned High Pressure Ridge of Death would not move ( and it ate a Tropical Storm...Don)....

Yes it literally ate Don. That is one of the memories I will never forget. The drought and the way Don was just shredded as it made landfall.

Interesting to talk about the heat ridge in the east... 2007 was a flood analog here but in Alabama it was the worst heat and drought seen in recent times... Kind of interesting

Brent wrote:Interesting to talk about the heat ridge in the east... 2007 was a flood analog here but in Alabama it was the worst heat and drought seen in recent times... Kind of interesting

I'll have to pull up some analog maps, there is definitely a seesaw correlation. When the southeast is wet, Texas is usually on subsidence side.