Tornado outbreak possible - March 2-4

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Brent
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Re:

#21 Postby Brent » Sun Mar 02, 2008 4:15 pm

MississippiHurricane wrote:A new Special Weather Statement has been issued by the Jackson WFO...........wording now includes STRONG tornadoes :( I am also wondering if this will become a high/PDS.


With 45% probs and a huge hatched area, I think there will be a high risk on the Day 1.

Yikes:

0240 PM HAIL BUFFALO 36.83N 99.63W
03/02/2008 E4.25 INCH HARPER OK AMATEUR RADIO

:eek:
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#22 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Mar 02, 2008 4:17 pm

New Tornado Watch includes western 'burbs of OKC, SPS

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
CLINTON OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...

DISCUSSION...SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT TO E OF DRY LINE IN WRN OK/NWRN TX.
STORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY AND SPREAD EWD DURING EVENING AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT THAT IS MOVING SEWD ACROSS NWRN OK ATTM. TORNADOES ALONG
WITH LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
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RL3AO
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#23 Postby RL3AO » Sun Mar 02, 2008 4:18 pm

Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (20%)
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#24 Postby RL3AO » Sun Mar 02, 2008 4:37 pm

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Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#25 Postby baygirl_1 » Sun Mar 02, 2008 5:30 pm

Another Special Weather Statement... this time from the New Orleans NWS:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
345 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008
...A POWERFUL EARLY MARCH WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES...IS EXPECTED TO DIVE SOUTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY.
WIND PROFILES...INSTABILITY...AND THE DYNAMIC NATURE OF THIS STORM
WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL STORMS WITH A FEW
STRONG TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT MONDAY. MOREOVER...A SQUALL LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED ALONG
THE COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#26 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Mar 02, 2008 5:48 pm

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Re: Re:

#27 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sun Mar 02, 2008 5:54 pm

Brent wrote:
MississippiHurricane wrote:A new Special Weather Statement has been issued by the Jackson WFO...........wording now includes STRONG tornadoes :( I am also wondering if this will become a high/PDS.


With 45% probs and a huge hatched area, I think there will be a high risk on the Day 1.

Yikes:

0240 PM HAIL BUFFALO 36.83N 99.63W
03/02/2008 E4.25 INCH HARPER OK AMATEUR RADIO

:eek:


That is some biiiiig hail.
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wbug1

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#28 Postby wbug1 » Sun Mar 02, 2008 6:02 pm

Those storms are stronger on base/composite reflectivity than the storms that brought the damage to the Atlanta area recently. 3 cells showing 65 dbz echos already.
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Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#29 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Mar 02, 2008 6:06 pm

wbug1 wrote:Those storms are stronger on base/composite reflectivity than the storms that brought the damage to the Atlanta area recently. 3 cells showing 65 dbz echos already.


Yep, but in this case they are more elevated so enormous hail and scattered tornadoes are the main issue, not a derecho...
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#30 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Mar 02, 2008 6:26 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
wbug1 wrote:Those storms are stronger on base/composite reflectivity than the storms that brought the damage to the Atlanta area recently. 3 cells showing 65 dbz echos already.


Yep, but in this case they are more elevated so enormous hail and scattered tornadoes are the main issue, not a derecho...



If I'm not mistaken, intensity/precip loading is only one aspect of wind damage from a linear convective system, as they do help mix down stronger winds aloft. At least as important, is the strength of the winds aloft.

As far as hail goes, I like to look at VILS (vertically integrated liquids) on my AccuWx PPV page, as a measure of hail size, along with base dbZ, but it seems difficult to directly correlate hail size to the VILS, at least in my untrained and amateur experience.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#31 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Mar 02, 2008 6:27 pm

It is my impression, that except very near/just North of the warm front, where the storms are only slightly elevated, tornadoes are uncommon from elevated storms.
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Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#32 Postby RL3AO » Sun Mar 02, 2008 6:35 pm

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0526 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...OK...NRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 022326Z - 030030Z

PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HAS SLOWLY EVOLVED ALONG A NARROW AXIS FROM
SWRN OK...NEWD INTO NCNTRL OK WHILE NEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ALONG POLAR FRONT IN THE WAKE OF THIS ACTIVITY NORTH OF
I-40. IT APPEARS FRONTAL SURGE WILL UNDERCUT NRN STORMS OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS WITH GREATEST THREAT FOR PURE BOUNDARY LAYER BASED
ACTIVITY SOUTH OF I-40 AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. ONE INTERESTING
NOTE IS THE GRADUAL MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS TX WHERE 60F+ DEW POINTS
ARE NOW INTO THE SRN METROPLEX. THIS AIRMASS SHOULD SPREAD INTO SRN
OK OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. AS LLJ INCREASES
LATER THIS EVENING IT APPEARS SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DEEPEN WITHIN
THIS WARM ADVECTION REGIME AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EVOLVE
WELL AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. GIVEN THE EWD MIGRATION OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ACROSS WW84...AND THE EXPECTED INCREASE DOWNSTREAM BENEATH
THE LLJ...A NEW WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

..DARROW.. 03/02/2008
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Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#33 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:07 pm

Tornado watch now officially in effect until 200am tomorrow morning...I havent been able to find the specifics on it yet, since it was just issued 7 minutes ago
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#34 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:10 pm

Tornado Watch #85 has been issued for DFW and the surrounding cities until 2:00AM CST Monday.
Image
Last edited by TexasStooge on Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#35 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:13 pm

SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 605 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF MINERAL
WELLS TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF CHANDLER OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...WW 84...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND SMALL
BOWING SEGMENTS...WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION
OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF STRONG UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD
FRONT. FRONT WILL MOVE PROGRESSIVELY ESEWD ACROSS WW THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND DIMINISH SEVERE THREAT AS IT PASSES. AHEAD OF IT
HOWEVER...VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER
WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. VERY STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND MID LEVEL ROTATION WITH STRONGER CORES WILL ALSO
ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...EVANS


SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 605 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF MINERAL
WELLS TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF CHANDLER OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...WW 84...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND SMALL
BOWING SEGMENTS...WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION
OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF STRONG UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD
FRONT. FRONT WILL MOVE PROGRESSIVELY ESEWD ACROSS WW THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND DIMINISH SEVERE THREAT AS IT PASSES. AHEAD OF IT
HOWEVER...VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER
WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. VERY STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND MID LEVEL ROTATION WITH STRONGER CORES WILL ALSO
ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...EVANS


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 030002
WOU5

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

TORNADO WATCH 85 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

OKC005-013-019-027-029-049-063-069-081-083-085-087-095-099-109-
119-123-125-133-030800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0085.080303T0005Z-080303T0800Z/

OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COAL GARVIN
HUGHES JOHNSTON LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MARSHALL
MCCLAIN MURRAY OKLAHOMA
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE


TXC035-059-085-093-097-113-121-133-139-143-147-181-217-221-231-
237-251-257-337-363-367-397-417-425-429-439-447-497-503-
030800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0085.080303T0005Z-080303T0800Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOSQUE CALLAHAN COLLIN
COMANCHE COOKE DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HILL HOOD HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
ROCKWALL SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT THROCKMORTON
WISE YOUNG


ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW5
WW 85 TORNADO OK TX 030005Z - 030800Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35S MWL/MINERAL WELLS TX/ - 30NNW CQB/CHANDLER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /55NW ACT - 45ESE END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.

LAT...LON 32279926 36119827 36119576 32279687

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.


Watch 85 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#36 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:14 pm

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Mod (50%)


Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Mod (30%)

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#37 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:34 pm

SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 86
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 620 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF CHANUTE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...WW 84...WW 85...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ALONG/AHEAD OF ADVANCING POLAR COLD FRONT AS IT SURGES SOUTHEAST
ACROSS KS AND NORTHERN OK. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS MAY BE
EMBEDDED WITHIN COMPLEX BAND OF FRONTAL CONVECTION...LATEST THINKING
IS DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...DARROW


SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 86
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 620 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF CHANUTE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...WW 84...WW 85...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ALONG/AHEAD OF ADVANCING POLAR COLD FRONT AS IT SURGES SOUTHEAST
ACROSS KS AND NORTHERN OK. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS MAY BE
EMBEDDED WITHIN COMPLEX BAND OF FRONTAL CONVECTION...LATEST THINKING
IS DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...DARROW


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 030015
WOU6

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 86
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 86 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KSC001-011-019-021-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-030800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0086.080303T0020Z-080303T0800Z/

KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON


OKC035-037-041-097-105-107-111-113-115-117-131-143-145-147-
030800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0086.080303T0020Z-080303T0800Z/

OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
MAYES NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE OSAGE OTTAWA
PAWNEE ROGERS TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON


ATTN...WFO...ICT...TSA...SGF...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW6
WW 86 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 030020Z - 030800Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30SSE TUL/TULSA OK/ - 25N CNU/CHANUTE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /25SSE TUL - 49WSW BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.

LAT...LON 35799666 38029648 38029447 35799469

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.


Watch 86 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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RL3AO
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#38 Postby RL3AO » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:37 pm

Looks like we will have a very nasty squall line during the overnight hours.
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Re:

#39 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:38 pm

RL3AO wrote:Looks like we will have a very nasty squall line during the overnight hours.


How will that affect things tomorrow for the main event?
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Severe weather outbreak? March 2-4

#40 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:40 pm

Call me cranky, but can't we just link to the latest severe weather watch, and maybe quote the juicy tidbits, rather than cut and paste 800 words.


Yo digo
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