February 5-6: Super Tuesday Outbreak... 57 dead
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Mention of the first cell, maybe the first warning:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1204 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
OKZ053-051830-
CHOCTAW OK-
1204 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1230 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EASTERN CHOCTAW
AT 1204 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUSKEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FORT
TOWSON...SWINK AND HUSKEY.
THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.
LAT...LON 3416 9527 3415 9515 3394 9515 3394 9519
3395 9520 3395 9523 3392 9524 3387 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 211DEG 50KT 3387 9532
$$
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1204 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
OKZ053-051830-
CHOCTAW OK-
1204 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1230 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EASTERN CHOCTAW
AT 1204 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUSKEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FORT
TOWSON...SWINK AND HUSKEY.
THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.
LAT...LON 3416 9527 3415 9515 3394 9515 3394 9519
3395 9520 3395 9523 3392 9524 3387 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 211DEG 50KT 3387 9532
$$
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
We might be moving into initiation mode - when we start tracking the development of each storms...
The stages of an outbreak thread tend to be:
1) Forecasting (i.e. before the day 1, when we make forecasts)
2) Preparation (after the day 1, when we make plans and chase logs for the chasers)
3) Initiation (after cells begin, when we starting looking at each one)
4) Outbreak (when the cells are rampant and we focus on the most ominous - the strongest and those in populated areas)
5) Aftermath (when all settles down and we start surveys and guesses and hear the good/bad/terrible news)
6) Assessment (when the surveys come in and we assess them)
Sometimes 3 to 6 repeat several times...
The stages of an outbreak thread tend to be:
1) Forecasting (i.e. before the day 1, when we make forecasts)
2) Preparation (after the day 1, when we make plans and chase logs for the chasers)
3) Initiation (after cells begin, when we starting looking at each one)
4) Outbreak (when the cells are rampant and we focus on the most ominous - the strongest and those in populated areas)
5) Aftermath (when all settles down and we start surveys and guesses and hear the good/bad/terrible news)
6) Assessment (when the surveys come in and we assess them)
Sometimes 3 to 6 repeat several times...
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Another tornado watch on the edge of the threat, still awaiting the main watches:
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 35
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...
DISCUSSION...A STRONG MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER W TX WILL EJECT NEWD
OVER N TX AND OK THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS NEWD FROM SRN OK TO SRN MO ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT.
THE LOW LEVELS HAVE BEEN DESTABILIZING ACROSS NW AR/SRN MO IN THE
WAKE OF MORNING CONVECTION...AND IT APPEARS THAT STORMS NOW FORMING
NEAR THE FRONT WILL INTENSIFY AND SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE LOW. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ON THE NRN EDGE OF AN ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER PLUME. STORM INTERACTIONS/MERGERS COULD ALSO LEAD TO BOW ECHO
FORMATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING INVOF THE SURFACE
FRONT...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSON
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 35
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...
DISCUSSION...A STRONG MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER W TX WILL EJECT NEWD
OVER N TX AND OK THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS NEWD FROM SRN OK TO SRN MO ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT.
THE LOW LEVELS HAVE BEEN DESTABILIZING ACROSS NW AR/SRN MO IN THE
WAKE OF MORNING CONVECTION...AND IT APPEARS THAT STORMS NOW FORMING
NEAR THE FRONT WILL INTENSIFY AND SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE LOW. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ON THE NRN EDGE OF AN ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER PLUME. STORM INTERACTIONS/MERGERS COULD ALSO LEAD TO BOW ECHO
FORMATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING INVOF THE SURFACE
FRONT...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSON
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 051836
WOU5
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 35
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
TORNADO WATCH 35 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-049-071-083-087-089-097-101-109-113-
127-129-131-143-149-060200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0035.080205T1840Z-080206T0200Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
FULTON JOHNSON LOGAN
MADISON MARION MONTGOMERY
NEWTON PIKE POLK
SCOTT SEARCY SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON YELL
MOC009-043-065-067-091-149-153-203-209-213-215-225-229-060200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0035.080205T1840Z-080206T0200Z/
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER
WRIGHT
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 35 TORNADO AR MO 051840Z - 060200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35E UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/ - 25WNW FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /41NNW ARG - 23WSW RZC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 35889123 35279458 37009458 37619123
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 35 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 35
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...
DISCUSSION...A STRONG MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER W TX WILL EJECT NEWD
OVER N TX AND OK THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS NEWD FROM SRN OK TO SRN MO ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT.
THE LOW LEVELS HAVE BEEN DESTABILIZING ACROSS NW AR/SRN MO IN THE
WAKE OF MORNING CONVECTION...AND IT APPEARS THAT STORMS NOW FORMING
NEAR THE FRONT WILL INTENSIFY AND SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE LOW. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ON THE NRN EDGE OF AN ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER PLUME. STORM INTERACTIONS/MERGERS COULD ALSO LEAD TO BOW ECHO
FORMATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING INVOF THE SURFACE
FRONT...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSON
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 35
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...
DISCUSSION...A STRONG MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER W TX WILL EJECT NEWD
OVER N TX AND OK THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS NEWD FROM SRN OK TO SRN MO ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT.
THE LOW LEVELS HAVE BEEN DESTABILIZING ACROSS NW AR/SRN MO IN THE
WAKE OF MORNING CONVECTION...AND IT APPEARS THAT STORMS NOW FORMING
NEAR THE FRONT WILL INTENSIFY AND SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE LOW. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ON THE NRN EDGE OF AN ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER PLUME. STORM INTERACTIONS/MERGERS COULD ALSO LEAD TO BOW ECHO
FORMATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING INVOF THE SURFACE
FRONT...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSON
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 051836
WOU5
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 35
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
TORNADO WATCH 35 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-049-071-083-087-089-097-101-109-113-
127-129-131-143-149-060200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0035.080205T1840Z-080206T0200Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
FULTON JOHNSON LOGAN
MADISON MARION MONTGOMERY
NEWTON PIKE POLK
SCOTT SEARCY SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON YELL
MOC009-043-065-067-091-149-153-203-209-213-215-225-229-060200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0035.080205T1840Z-080206T0200Z/
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER
WRIGHT
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 35 TORNADO AR MO 051840Z - 060200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35E UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/ - 25WNW FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /41NNW ARG - 23WSW RZC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 35889123 35279458 37009458 37619123
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 35 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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Weatherfreak14
- Category 5
- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6
Going to be quite an intense day. I got to go to work. so please everyone please try to post every sat. image and radar images of the big ones, i really need them to document.
Stay Safe Everyone.
Stay Safe Everyone.
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JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
-
Weatherfreak14
- Category 5
- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6
Weatherfreak14 wrote:
Lots of shear in place.
That could play a big role late this afternoon and especially this evening...the only thing preventing a major outbreak is if the storms don't initiate. Once they get going, we'll have tornadoes coming out of our ears...
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JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
-
Weatherfreak14
- Category 5
- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6
oh sry forgot to say, it is a 850mb and 500mb shear map. I think when they are farther apart the winds have more vertical rotation. Someone correct me if im wrong.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Look out Dallas!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC113-052030-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0004.080205T1932Z-080205T2030Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
132 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
* UNTIL 230 PM CST
* AT 132 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CEDAR HILL STATE PARK...OR ABOUT NEAR CEDAR HILL...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
DUNCANVILLE BY 140 PM
COCKRELL HILL BY 200 PM
UNIVERSITY PARK...HIGHLAND PARK AND DALLAS BY 215 PM
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND
STAY INSIDE...AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3258 9704 3293 9692 3280 9668 3255 9700
3256 9702
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 214DEG 19KT 3260 9699
$$
13
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC113-052030-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0004.080205T1932Z-080205T2030Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
132 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
* UNTIL 230 PM CST
* AT 132 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CEDAR HILL STATE PARK...OR ABOUT NEAR CEDAR HILL...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
DUNCANVILLE BY 140 PM
COCKRELL HILL BY 200 PM
UNIVERSITY PARK...HIGHLAND PARK AND DALLAS BY 215 PM
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND
STAY INSIDE...AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3258 9704 3293 9692 3280 9668 3255 9700
3256 9702
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 214DEG 19KT 3260 9699
$$
13
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Weatherfreak14
- Category 5
- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Now warnings in Arkansas:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
142 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LOGAN COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 215 PM CST
* AT 137 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF BOONEVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BLUE MOUNTAIN AROUND 150 PM CST...
COVE LAKE...PARIS AROUND 155 PM CST...
SUBIACO AROUND 200 PM CST...
SCRANTON AROUND 205 PM CST...
&&
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.
LAT...LON 3541 9345 3532 9340 3527 9341 3517 9352
3513 9370 3503 9370 3504 9400 3526 9387
3531 9388 3531 9380 3540 9380 3537 9372
3540 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 215DEG 55KT 3506 9381
$$
46
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
142 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LOGAN COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 215 PM CST
* AT 137 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF BOONEVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BLUE MOUNTAIN AROUND 150 PM CST...
COVE LAKE...PARIS AROUND 155 PM CST...
SUBIACO AROUND 200 PM CST...
SCRANTON AROUND 205 PM CST...
&&
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.
LAT...LON 3541 9345 3532 9340 3527 9341 3517 9352
3513 9370 3503 9370 3504 9400 3526 9387
3531 9388 3531 9380 3540 9380 3537 9372
3540 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 215DEG 55KT 3506 9381
$$
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Squarethecircle
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JonathanBelles
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Weatherfreak14
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Re: Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:Squarethecircle wrote::uarrow:
Here we go.
Yep, it is just a matter of them becoming tornadic. Shouldn't be too difficult with the wind shear, especially in Arkansas.
I think we shall see the tornadic storms start around 3pm CST and Continue into 1am CST also. its going to be a long evening. I see Little Rock, Memphis, Paducah, Evensville.. All under the Gun.
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