Texas Spring 2013

[Ntxw]

NOT what I would like to see for Spring.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... php?lead=1

I dug a little deeper into the enso and pdo/amo indexes. Like I've stated before in the tropical thread last year and a couple times in the winter thread, even with El Nino or a hurricane hit it's only going to be relief for a couple of months and maybe a year until the cold PDO/+AMO wins out in the background. I do think 2011 was the peak of the drought/warmth but the steady course still goes on. We are riding the 1950s train for the next 4-8 years until the AMO flips.

[South Texas Storms]

Do you think after the AMO flips in 4-8 years we may go back into a wet period like the 1950s?

[Ntxw]

:uarrow:

Do you think after the AMO flips in 4-8 years we may go back into a wet period like the 1950s?

Not sure, I'm not convinced the AMO has that big an influence on precipitation in Texas. I do think it does regarding heat, which we know can aggravate drought already caused by the cold PDO.

[South Texas Storms]

:uarrow:

Do you think after the AMO flips in 4-8 years we may go back into a wet period like the 1950s?

Not sure, I'm not convinced the AMO has that big an influence on precipitation in Texas. I do think it does regarding heat, which we know can aggravate drought already caused by the cold PDO.

So does the PDO have a greater influence on Texas precipitation than the AMO?

[Ntxw]

So does the PDO have a greater influence on Texas precipitation than the AMO?

I have little doubt it does! Our storms come from the Pacific, Atlantic systems go to Europe! It's not just the cold PDO alone, freak Ninas in the Pacific can bring extreme heat and drought even in the warm PDO (1936, 1988, 2005) so there's a very high correlation of the Pacific and precipitation to Texas compared to the AMO warm or cold. It just seems that when you add the +AMO it gets hotter. I'll have to look more into temperature correlation with the AMO.

[weatherdude1108]

So does the PDO have a greater influence on Texas precipitation than the AMO?

I have little doubt it does! Our storms come from the Pacific, Atlantic systems go to Europe! It's not just the cold PDO alone, freak Ninas in the Pacific can bring extreme heat and drought even in the warm PDO (1936, 1988, 2005) so there's a very high correlation of the Pacific and precipitation to Texas compared to the AMO warm or cold. It just seems that when you add the +AMO it gets hotter. I'll have to look more into temperature correlation with the AMO.

I'll just pray we get tropical storms in the right areas and a few Ninos over the next 4-8 years to get us through this cold PDO that is like a big bully.

[Ptarmigan]

:uarrow:

Do you think after the AMO flips in 4-8 years we may go back into a wet period like the 1950s?

Not sure, I'm not convinced the AMO has that big an influence on precipitation in Texas. I do think it does regarding heat, which we know can aggravate drought already caused by the cold PDO.

AMO has more impact on temperature than precipitation. PDO has more impact on precipitation and temperature. Warm AMO and Cool PDO leads to droughts for Texas, like right now or 1950s. Warm PDO and Cool AMO leads to wetter years in Texas like 1980s to late 1990s.

[weatherdude1108]

I'm trying this imageshack thing for the first time. Hope it works! Trying to upload pics of the hail at the weatherdude center this past Wednesday during the wee hours.

[weatherdude1108]

I have trouble uploading pics onto this site. How do you do use imageshack?

1. Click on preview
2. Click on browse
3. Chose the pic you want to upload
4. Click on Upload
5. Copy and Save Forum Code link

6. Paste that link on the thread reply box.

Thanks you! I think it worked!

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Your very welcome and so good to see some pics from down there , and I'm so glad to see you got some moisture . How I wish I could send you a month or two's worth that is sitting up here. You just taught me something too. I didn't realize videos could be uploaded to imageshack so I'm trying to do that now.

[weatherdude1108]

Found an interesting link about drought:

http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/qadroughts.html

[Ntxw]

It's almost 1pm late March and it's around 48 degrees. Don't see it getting above 50 at this rate. Where is spring?

[jasons2k]

Article on the Houston area drought

http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2013/03/th ... -tomorrow/

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Where is spring?

You HAVE spring! We HAVE The Day after Tomorrow

[Rgv20]

It's almost 1pm late March and it's around 48 degrees. Don't see it getting above 50 at this rate. Where is spring?

In the Rio Grande Valley....had a high of 94 and tomorrow a forecast high of 101 with blowing dust

[weatherdude1108]

Yikes! That is depressing considering it is only third day of SPRING.

[weatherdude1108]

Bob Rose has severe weather tips and a discussion of drought. Nothing new in drought front.
http://www.lcra.org/water/conditions/we ... olumn.html

[horselattitudesfarm]

NOT what I would like to see for Spring.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... php?lead=1

I dug a little deeper into the enso and pdo/amo indexes. Like I've stated before in the tropical thread last year and a couple times in the winter thread, even with El Nino or a hurricane hit it's only going to be relief for a couple of months and maybe a year until the cold PDO/+AMO wins out in the background. I do think 2011 was the peak of the drought/warmth but the steady course still goes on. We are riding the 1950s train for the next 4-8 years until the AMO flips.

Only now we are riding it in a state with 6X the population of the 50's all trying to water big thirsty lawns.

[ravyrn]

Had two bouts of thunder with a little pea sized hail this afternoon in Little Elm, just north of Dallas. Not much rain or hail though.

[Rgv20]

Had a high of 104 at my backyard!! Just getting a little bit of taste of summer in spring