Texas Spring 2025

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1281 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 5:45 pm

DFW may get missed to the north this time. Left Abilene just before the storms popped luckily,
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1282 Postby wxman22 » Sun May 18, 2025 5:46 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1283 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 6:07 pm

Abilene cluster might be moving a bit more east so will see..
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1284 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun May 18, 2025 6:16 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Abilene cluster might be moving a bit more east so will see..


Ch 8 said we have a cap and they should/could weaken.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1285 Postby txtwister78 » Sun May 18, 2025 6:33 pm

Definitely a cap over DFW as showers and a few elevated storms have been unable to breach that today. Convective inhibition will increase as you get into the late evening hours so storms should weaken out west as they move further east.

They definitely mean business out west though. Isolated tornado risk continues
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1286 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun May 18, 2025 6:36 pm

Quite the radar hook on that storm north of Eastland.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1287 Postby wxman22 » Sun May 18, 2025 6:50 pm

Yep that supercell means business. :double:

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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1288 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun May 18, 2025 6:53 pm

wxman22 wrote:Yep that supercell means business. :double:

https://i.ibb.co/zTxycvWz/IMG-0418.jpg


Peak heating is just about done, and our cap I think will keep us safe in DFW.

But if IRRC supercells can sometimes make there own weather or something along those lines. Can't remember what it's called.

Edit: self sustaining supercell
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1289 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 7:09 pm

That’s a really narrow area of instability to have a cap over DFW.

But, they are the experts.

Confirmed tornado north of Ranger.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1290 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 8:09 pm

Moderate area in Kansas is busting. Lots of tornadoes but well west of moderate risk. Amazing this happens in 2025
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1291 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 8:11 pm

Also it’s really quiet here with that long tracking tornado out west.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1292 Postby Brent » Sun May 18, 2025 8:16 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Also it’s really quiet here with that long tracking tornado out west.


Yeah I'm shocked this thread isn't hopping. Is everyone just expecting the cap to hold?
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1293 Postby WacoWx » Sun May 18, 2025 8:18 pm

Santo looks like it took a direct hit. That thing is nasty
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1294 Postby txtwister78 » Sun May 18, 2025 8:29 pm

Man that's a large tornado based on velocity presentation. Hopefully this weakens but Fort Worth is running out of time.

Still expect inhibition to strengthen and eventually end this threat but it's getting too close to an obviously well populated region. Folks in western Tarrant county need to be prepared to take shelter
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1295 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun May 18, 2025 8:32 pm

The storm was to me and Ponder we can see skylight through it, it's almost as if it's weakening as it's getting closer to us or I could be way off my basis.

Anyone down south please stay safe
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1296 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 8:33 pm

Tornado watch extended east.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1297 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun May 18, 2025 8:34 pm

Now a PDS warning Lipan.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1298 Postby Brent » Sun May 18, 2025 8:40 pm

Cars tossed on 20 near Lipan apparently
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1299 Postby txtwister78 » Sun May 18, 2025 8:44 pm

Tornadic circulation has occluded. Have to watch to see if this cycles but it has definitely weakened which is good sign for the time being.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025

#1300 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun May 18, 2025 8:47 pm

txtwister78 wrote:Tornadic circulation has occluded. Have to watch to see if this cycles but it has definitely weakened which is good sign for the time being.

Looks like it’s trying. This storm has held together better than I would have expected. Not sure if loss of daytime heating will kill this off in time for southern dfw to avoid being affected
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