STORM2K

That was a hairy drive through the storm on I-20 ahead of Abilene. HEAVY rain. Phew. Going to the wife’s family for Mother’s Day. It’s expanding as it moves east so I think DFW may get lucky. Hope so.

Interesting….just more than a hundred years ago.

 https://twitter.com/tracesoftexas/status/1657211560845266951

Converging lines of slow moving storms across central Texas… from OK to MX border.

Radar reminds me a lot of 2015.

Feels like the models didn’t get this even close. Looks like a rain out event.

Big storms to my NW... This is the most promising all week for sure and the models have been struggling here too

Brent wrote:Big storms to my NW... This is the most promising all week for sure and the models have been struggling here too

Man, you’re not lying. Those are some pretty big storms. Especially just north of OKC.

Kingfisher, OK is getting flooded.

Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Big storm in SA a few hours ago brought some much needed widespread 1-3 inch rainfall totals to the city! I'm thankful

I think even Edwards Limestone got some heavy rain from that storm

Brent wrote:Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Yeah was a sight to see fortunately my area received almost 2 inches of rain but I couldn’t believe the rain didn’t make it into DFW.

Gotwood wrote:

Brent wrote:Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Yeah was a sight to see fortunately my area received almost 2 inches of rain but I couldn’t believe the rain didn’t make it into DFW.

When I went to bed the line of storms were on the edge of western Tarrant county. I woke up at 6 to dry ground. WTH!!!

DFW airport picked up 0.00" of rain last night lol

Gotwood wrote:HRRR better not verify basically has everything falling apart into DFW.

Stunning to watch that happen overnight. Looked great on radar, and then it just evaporated as it hit the Tarrant/Parker county line. Another batch tried to make a run at DFW from the south, but that too just evaporated as it got into Ellis/Johnson Counties. New development to the SE heading our way looks to be suffering the same fate.

Oh well. Glad to see the folks who needed it most are cashing in so far. It's still early, and DFW can usually catch a few NW Flow MCS events as we get into June. Plenty of time!

Woke up in Abilene after going to bed after midnight. Checked my home station. Shocking zero inches. Looked good even late for DFW. It was getting less intense and skinny but still moving fast. Crazy.

Goes to show you can’t rely on even CAM models as gospel. Both the NAM and HRRR were wrong in different ways.

This is the craziest radar precip total graphic:

rwfromkansas wrote:Woke up in Abilene after going to bed after midnight. Checked my home station. Shocking zero inches. Looked good even late for DFW. It was getting less intense and skinny but still moving fast. Crazy.

Goes to show you can’t rely on even CAM models as gospel. Both the NAM and HRRR were wrong in different ways.

This is the craziest radar precip total graphic:

https://i.imgur.com/BvPef6V.png

Agreed, both have awful the last couple weeks with these systems that have weak forcing

Cpv17 wrote:

Brent wrote:Big storms to my NW... This is the most promising all week for sure and the models have been struggling here too

Man, you’re not lying. Those are some pretty big storms. Especially just north of OKC.

I could not sleep properly because of that, lol.

I got 1.1 inches

Unfortunately, the San Antonio Force Field has moved to DFW. It's now the DFW Force Field.

gpsnowman wrote:

Gotwood wrote:

Brent wrote:Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Yeah was a sight to see fortunately my area received almost 2 inches of rain but I couldn’t believe the rain didn’t make it into DFW.

When I went to bed the line of storms were on the edge of western Tarrant county. I woke up at 6 to dry ground. WTH!!!

I knew it was over when I saw that big outflow boundary spit out with the line still west of Tarrant County.

On the bright side, FWD has updated the forecast, they went from an 80% chance of storms this afternoon and tonight for DFW to 30% & 60%... oh wait

Yesterday was muggy as hell. Air much drier today with dews about 10 degrees lower than yesterday.

Just posted this video, it was taken on May 11th



Link: https://youtu.be/hQ6iCv3iQbs

Could be a wet week ahead. Some models keep the low pressure sticking around for a few more days.