Texas Fall 2025

[Iceresistance]

It was crashing and banging this morning, I had around 1 inch of rain

[wxman22]

Most of the Global Models now show a decent front moving in on Tuesday. The only model not onboard yet is the GFS. FWIW

12z GFS now has the front moving through also. And is pretty wet next week. For what it’s worth.

[Stratton23]

Even though its not reflected in models, im watching a super typoon in the western pacific that could potentially recurve east of japan, that could have big downstream effects on the pattern over the central US in early october ( maybe a stronger fall front, if the typoon ends up recurving )

[wxman22]

Tuesdays front looks to bring temps back down to seasonal.With highs in the low to mid 80's and lows in the upper 50's to low 60's here.

[Brent]

Still no rain in the middle of the metro wow. Getting dusty

I know the pattern stays active and it will eventually I think but I'm quite surprised

[Iceresistance]

Even though its not reflected in models, im watching a super typoon in the western pacific that could potentially recurve east of japan, that could have big downstream effects on the pattern over the central US in early october ( maybe a stronger fall front, if the typoon ends up recurving )

I think Neoguri could be the one that recurves, Ragasa is heading for the Philippines and Hong Kong

[TomballEd]

Not true autumn weather, but high near 90F with mid 60s dewpoint is not true summer either.

Dewpoints a smidge higher closer to the coast, enough for a few showers. I wish it'd rain here before late Wednesday, been a couple of PM storms around, none on my lawn lately.


Out of region but perhaps relevant- rainy season in California seems a month early. Good for the fires but the Mario associated rains caused mudslides. They can't seem to win, no rain and wildfires, then rain and mudslides, then more months of no rain. Wondering if the early California rainy season implies anything for deeper into autumn and winter.

[Brent]

Finally some heavy rain and lightning after dark

The seasons are changing slowly

[wxman22]

Over 3 inches has fallen in some spots in Wichita County overnight with more heavy rain moving in…

[JDawg512]

Well nothing here but hot and dry. With all the Rain that fell this summer, the south central part of Austin just didn't get as much. Hopefully we see a pacific storm move up from Mexico around the start of October.

[wxman22]

I'm at over 3 inches of rain now! And over 4 inches has fallen on the north side of town.

Could see some Hailers in parts of north Texas this evening. The Fall severe weather season is beginning...

[South Texas Storms]

Finally some heavy rain and lightning after dark

The seasons are changing slowly

I'm afraid it's going to be a long time until it starts to feel more like fall consistently around here. Latest long range models continue to indicate above to well above normal temperatures continuing through much of October.

[Golfisnteasy7575]

I guess you guys are waiting until much later to start a winter topic lol. I know in the past it was started many months ago. My opinion is it will come down to the pacific if we can get any -epo/wpo tendencies to provide cold east of the rockies. Last winter wasn't bad but wasn't great either here. We did manage a few winter events.

[snownado]

Per the latest SPC MCD, there may be a Severe Thunderstorm Watch incoming for North Texas (including DFW).

[snownado]

Per the latest SPC MCD, there may be a Severe Thunderstorm Watch incoming for North Texas (including DFW).

And there it is, in effect until 10pm...

[wxman22]

Severe thunderstorms are developing. Not expecting anything here locally as the boundary is to the South & East of me. Could be a busy evening for portions of North Texas though.

[wxman22]

It's pretty busy out there... That's a nasty hail core heading towards Denton.

[snownado]

It's pretty busy out there...

https://i.ibb.co/XfDF8WqR/KFeWS-0.gif

That is one nasty-looking cell north of Denton.

Wouldn't be surprised if there's Baseball-sized hailstones in it.

[funster]

Strong winds in addition to hail:

Storm Damage (Denton County) Major damage with multiple overturned campers at the McClain KOA on I35 near View Road. Injuries reported!

https://x.com/DFWscanner/status/1969900072096911493

[snownado]

Very odd movement with the cells too, moving due south.