Convective Feedback Issues? You bet...

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Stormsfury
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Convective Feedback Issues? You bet...

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Apr 11, 2004 1:22 pm

The GFS convective feedback issues are clearly evident ... and highly overdoing the 48 hour QPF outputs across Florida ... with a maxima of 7.98" across West Central FL. Again, the GFS is overemphasizing the convectively induced mesoscale low within the large MCS currently in the GOM.

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The ETA is somewhat more believable ... and doesn't focus on the mesolow like the GFS does (which the GFS is trying to make that the primary low) ... and focusing on the SFC low pressure system ... the Central Carolinas are the target zone in the next 48 hours according to the ETA...

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