Severe Weather tonight..?

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Josephine96

Severe Weather tonight..?

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 10:39 am

I have been told that we may possibly have some severe weather here either tonight or early during the day tomorrow.

Any thoughts on this.
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weatherlover427

#2 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 8:35 pm

Orlando's outlook was talking about it earlier today ... let me see what they are saying now.
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weatherlover427

#3 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 8:38 pm

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 PM EST SAT DEC 13 2003

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-141100-
BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-LAKE-MARTIN-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60 NM-
500 PM EST SAT DEC 13 2003

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT:

A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...NEAR NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA EARLY THIS EVENING...WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST OVERNIGHT. THIS LOW WILL EVENTUALLY DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BE PRECEDED BY A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD REACH CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4...BETWEEN 500 AM AND SUNRISE. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS ABOVE 55 MPH...COIN SIZED HAIL...AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENINSULA DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR EARLY TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...GO TO http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

CRISTALDI

Tonight. Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday. Breezy with widespread showers and thunderstorms containing gusty winds. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.

Sunday night. Cooler. Partly cloudy in the evening then clearing. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 10 mph.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
830 PM EST SAT DEC 13 2003

.DISCUSSION...SQUALL LINE ASCD WITH DEVELOPING LOW JUST SOUTH OF PNS HAS FIZZLED THIS EVENING. WARM SECTOR NOT FULLY DEVELOPED ATTM OVER N FL DUE TO PRESENCE OF COOL SFC WEDGE THAT EXTENDS N OF STATE. CURRENT EWD EXPENSE OF SHOWERS ENTERING THE BIG BEND AND ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN GULF WL OVERSPREAD THE WRN PORTION OF PENINSULA OVERNIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY THE EARLY MORNING OVER NORTHERN ZONES. WITH LACK OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WILL EMPHASIZE SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST UPDATE. BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDER TO MATERIALIZE OVER AREA SUN MORNING AS UPPER FORCING BECOMES ORIENTED CLOSER TO THE REGION.

EVENING SOUNDING AT TBW SHOWS MODIFYING AIRMASS WITH PWATS INCREASING NEARLY HALF AN INCH SINCE THIS MORNING. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE INTO SUN AS WIND FIELDS ALSO INCREASE AT LOWER AND MID LEVELS WITH APPROACH OF STRONG JET.

&&
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:06 pm

You know.. I just noticed that.. The Weather Outlook warns of the possibilty, but the area discussion says that the squall line has fizzled..

I don't get it. lol.. Not saying I like severe weather, but I think the HWO makes sense. lol. I guess I'll have to wait and see what I wake up to in the morning. Plus it says in the discussion that wind fields will be increasing.
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#5 Postby therock1811 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:35 pm

uh...take a look at this radar:
Image

4 words...I don't think so... yes the heavier rain has diminished, but I don't think your severe threat is over by any means yet...stay safe and let us know what happens there...
Last edited by therock1811 on Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:36 pm

Hey rock.. Just for the record.. where did you get that radar? lol
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#7 Postby therock1811 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:52 pm

I think that's Tallahassee, John...
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Josephine96

#8 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:55 pm

Thank you rock... You're right.. all those yellows extend into the Gulf.. It may cause a secondary squall line.. The water is surely warm enough lol
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ColdFront77

#9 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 3:19 am

During the entire day (Saturday) and into the evening thunderstorms were expected to be strong to possibly severe overnight, more so toward dawn and during the morning hours across central Florida; this included the meteorologist on Action News at 10 PM on Action TV 27 (Orlando independent station, which is Channel 9's sister station) who said things could get interesting tomorrow morning.

However, WESH-TV 2's Leslie Hudson said that the dynamics that were expected earlier [the last couple days] are no longer in place. She didn't mention the upper level energy that is supposed to play a role in the development of thunderstorm activity within this area of rainfall in the Gulf of Mexico.
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Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 8:36 am

Hey Tom.. Thanks for the report. I can't stand Leslie Hudson though lol..

Jerry Steffen on Channel 6 said it's still possible, and last night I heard Joe Smith on channel 9 say it was possible.

Could still be an interesting day around here.. It's raining quite hard right now..
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ColdFront77

#11 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 3:45 pm

I had a feeling Joe Smith [couldn't think of his name last night/early this morning] on Channel 9 {WFTV-TV} (and 27) would stay with his forecast from an hour earlier; from Action News at 10:00 PM on WRDQ-TV.
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