Severe Weather Potential, 4/1, 4/2, 4/3 (Moderate), 4/4
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Re: Severe Weather Potential, 4/1, 4/2, 4/3 (Moderate), 4/4
This is the finest link of the evening: http://www.wfaa.com/video?id=139367478&sec=553117
Non-stop supercell action in this area, just nuts.
Non-stop supercell action in this area, just nuts.
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
234
WFUS53 KLSX 040123
TORLSX
ILC119-163-MOC189-510-040145-
/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0014.140404T0123Z-140404T0145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
823 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
CENTRAL ST. LOUIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
ST. LOUIS CITY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 816 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GLENDALE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SPOTTERS
REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR TWIN OAKS AT 810 PM CDT.
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CAHOKIA AND BROOKLYN AROUND 830 PM CDT.
EAST ST. LOUIS AND CENTREVILLE AROUND 835 PM CDT.
FAIRVIEW HEIGHTS AND CASEYVILLE AROUND 840 PM CDT.
O'FALLON AND SHILOH AROUND 845 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SAUGET.
THIS WARNING INCLUDES HORSESHOE LAKE STATE PARK AND SCOTT JOPLIN
HISTORIC SITE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
WFUS53 KLSX 040123
TORLSX
ILC119-163-MOC189-510-040145-
/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0014.140404T0123Z-140404T0145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
823 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
CENTRAL ST. LOUIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
ST. LOUIS CITY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 816 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GLENDALE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SPOTTERS
REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR TWIN OAKS AT 810 PM CDT.
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CAHOKIA AND BROOKLYN AROUND 830 PM CDT.
EAST ST. LOUIS AND CENTREVILLE AROUND 835 PM CDT.
FAIRVIEW HEIGHTS AND CASEYVILLE AROUND 840 PM CDT.
O'FALLON AND SHILOH AROUND 845 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SAUGET.
THIS WARNING INCLUDES HORSESHOE LAKE STATE PARK AND SCOTT JOPLIN
HISTORIC SITE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 55
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CARBONDALE ILLINOIS TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DYERSBURG
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 55
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CARBONDALE ILLINOIS TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DYERSBURG
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
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Probability of 2 or more tornadoes High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes Mod (30%)
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 55
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CARBONDALE ILLINOIS TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DYERSBURG
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 51...WW 52...WW 53...WW
54...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING FROM NRN AR INTO SE
MO/SRN IL IN A ZONE OF STRENGTHENING WAA. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE AREA...AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS ENHANCED
ALONG A STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...INCLUDING AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO...AS WELL AS LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...THOMPSON
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 59
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALABAMA
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 255 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA TO 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 55...WW 56...WW 57...WW
58...
DISCUSSION...BOW ECHO CONVECTIVE SYSTEM NOW IN NW MS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE GENERALLY ENE INTO PARTS OF AL AND MIDDLE TN LATER THIS
MORNING. WHILE LOW-LVL BUOYANCY SOMEWHAT DIMINISHES WITH EWD EXTENT
ACROSS WW...EXISTING ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND
STRENGTH/CHARACTER OF OBSERVED/FCST WIND FIELDS ON SE FRINGE OF
POTENT MID MS VLY SHORTWAVE TROUGH SUGGEST A CONTINUED RISK FOR DMGG
WIND AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...CORFIDI
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 59
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALABAMA
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 255 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA TO 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 55...WW 56...WW 57...WW
58...
DISCUSSION...BOW ECHO CONVECTIVE SYSTEM NOW IN NW MS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE GENERALLY ENE INTO PARTS OF AL AND MIDDLE TN LATER THIS
MORNING. WHILE LOW-LVL BUOYANCY SOMEWHAT DIMINISHES WITH EWD EXTENT
ACROSS WW...EXISTING ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND
STRENGTH/CHARACTER OF OBSERVED/FCST WIND FIELDS ON SE FRINGE OF
POTENT MID MS VLY SHORTWAVE TROUGH SUGGEST A CONTINUED RISK FOR DMGG
WIND AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...CORFIDI
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 335 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF
NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA TO 15 MILES EAST OF HOUSTON TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW
59...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT MOVING SE ACROSS E TX AND NRN LA. OTHER STORMS MAY FORM ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE OVER FAR E TX/WRN LA. UNDERCUTTING
NATURE OF COLD FRONT /GIVEN STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY/ SUGGESTS DEVELOPMENT OF A MORE OR LESS SOLID LINE OF
STORMS. WHILE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE MINIMAL ON SRN
FRINGE OF DEPARTING UPR TROUGH...COMBINATION OF AMPLE LOW-LVL
UPLIFT/MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WITH 40 KT WLY DEEP
SHEAR SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR FEW SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND.
A NON-ZERO POTENTIAL ALSO WILL EXIST FOR A TORNADO OR
TWO...PARTICULARLY IN CNTRL LA...WHERE UPDRAFTS MAY REMAIN MORE
DISCRETE FOR A GREATER LENGTH OF TIME ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE
ZONE. IF IT APPEARS THAT A MORE DISCRETE STORM MODE THAN IS NOW
EXPECTED WILL EXIST /BEFORE THE AREA WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH AROUND
12Z/...PARTS OF LA MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO A TORNADO WATCH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...CORFIDI
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 335 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF
NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA TO 15 MILES EAST OF HOUSTON TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW
59...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT MOVING SE ACROSS E TX AND NRN LA. OTHER STORMS MAY FORM ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE OVER FAR E TX/WRN LA. UNDERCUTTING
NATURE OF COLD FRONT /GIVEN STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY/ SUGGESTS DEVELOPMENT OF A MORE OR LESS SOLID LINE OF
STORMS. WHILE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE MINIMAL ON SRN
FRINGE OF DEPARTING UPR TROUGH...COMBINATION OF AMPLE LOW-LVL
UPLIFT/MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WITH 40 KT WLY DEEP
SHEAR SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR FEW SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND.
A NON-ZERO POTENTIAL ALSO WILL EXIST FOR A TORNADO OR
TWO...PARTICULARLY IN CNTRL LA...WHERE UPDRAFTS MAY REMAIN MORE
DISCRETE FOR A GREATER LENGTH OF TIME ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE
ZONE. IF IT APPEARS THAT A MORE DISCRETE STORM MODE THAN IS NOW
EXPECTED WILL EXIST /BEFORE THE AREA WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH AROUND
12Z/...PARTS OF LA MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO A TORNADO WATCH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...CORFIDI
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 61
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 AM EDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY
EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 600 AM UNTIL 1100 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 57...WW 58...WW 59...WW
60...
DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED BOW ECHO MCS WITH AND EMBEDDED VORTEX ON ITS
N END NOW IN MIDDLE TN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD WITH ASSOCIATED
50-60 KT 700 MB SPEED MAX. WHILE LOW-LVL BUOYANCY SOMEWHAT
DIMINISHES WITH ENE EXTENT...STRENGTH OF WIND FIELD AND EXISTING
ORGANIZED NATURE OF MCS SUGGEST A CONTINUED RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND
POSSIBLY A TORNADO BEFORE SQLN MOVES COMPLETELY BEYOND LOW-LVL
MOISTURE AXIS LATER THIS MORNING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25045.
...CORFIDI
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 61
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 AM EDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY
EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 600 AM UNTIL 1100 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 57...WW 58...WW 59...WW
60...
DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED BOW ECHO MCS WITH AND EMBEDDED VORTEX ON ITS
N END NOW IN MIDDLE TN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD WITH ASSOCIATED
50-60 KT 700 MB SPEED MAX. WHILE LOW-LVL BUOYANCY SOMEWHAT
DIMINISHES WITH ENE EXTENT...STRENGTH OF WIND FIELD AND EXISTING
ORGANIZED NATURE OF MCS SUGGEST A CONTINUED RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND
POSSIBLY A TORNADO BEFORE SQLN MOVES COMPLETELY BEYOND LOW-LVL
MOISTURE AXIS LATER THIS MORNING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25045.
...CORFIDI
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 62
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 525 AM UNTIL
100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF INTRACOASTAL
CITY LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...WW
61...
DISCUSSION...EXISTING COLD FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL TSTMS EXPECTED TO
FURTHER CONSOLIDATE INTO A SE-MOVING LINE AS COLD FRONT OVER NW LA
CONTINUES STEADILY SEWD. RESIDUAL BELT OF MODERATELY STRONG WSWLY
MID-LVL FLOW AND ASSOCIATED STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES MAY CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT A FEW SUSTAINED STORMS/SMALL BOWS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DMGG
WIND AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 28030.
...CORFIDI
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 62
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 525 AM UNTIL
100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF INTRACOASTAL
CITY LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...WW
61...
DISCUSSION...EXISTING COLD FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL TSTMS EXPECTED TO
FURTHER CONSOLIDATE INTO A SE-MOVING LINE AS COLD FRONT OVER NW LA
CONTINUES STEADILY SEWD. RESIDUAL BELT OF MODERATELY STRONG WSWLY
MID-LVL FLOW AND ASSOCIATED STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES MAY CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT A FEW SUSTAINED STORMS/SMALL BOWS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DMGG
WIND AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 28030.
...CORFIDI
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
-
apocalypt-flyer
- Category 1
- Posts: 468
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 11:51 am
Re: Severe Weather Potential, 4/1, 4/2, 4/3 (Moderate), 4/4
Just gonna dump the Tornado Watch for Louisiana and border regions in here - feels like like it belongs to the first couple of April days rather than starting an entire new thread for it.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 64
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF PORT
ARTHUR TEXAS TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 64
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF PORT
ARTHUR TEXAS TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
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It looks like a fairly strong tornado went through my state last night. http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/tor ... ppi-n73776
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