Texas Summer - 2013

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Portastorm
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#561 Postby Portastorm » Sun Sep 15, 2013 9:53 am

Tireman4 wrote:Ok, NTWX..talk to me. Look at your long range. When is the first "fall" front coming? Please tell me in the month of September. LOL


You know what fall fronts mean for us, right? Red Flag Watches and Warnings!! YAY. :roll:

(sorry ... I've succumbed to the drought depression)
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Re: Re:

#562 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Sep 15, 2013 10:00 am

Portastorm wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:Ok, NTWX..talk to me. Look at your long range. When is the first "fall" front coming? Please tell me in the month of September. LOL


You know what fall fronts mean for us, right? Red Flag Watches and Warnings!! YAY. :roll:

(sorry ... I've succumbed to the drought depression)


Snap out of it sir. Go Browns!!..You never know. It might just mean copious amounts of that thing the elders call...."RAIN"!!!
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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#563 Postby horselattitudesfarm » Sun Sep 15, 2013 11:01 am

Collin County now firmly established KBDI of 700-800 (The driest it can get on the scale). All my donut holes have added up :cry: .Of course, looking at this: all my friends in surrounding counties are in good company. Looking at the row of counties to our west, we are the westernmost county in the red. Our farm down in the circle to the south is also in that little spot of red surrounded by orange and yellow.
Image

The lucky people just to our south are all in greens and blues. (They get all the rain, and all the oil, for that matter)
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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#564 Postby horselattitudesfarm » Sun Sep 15, 2013 7:07 pm

NWS discusses 2 model solutions. Which one do you think will win?:


"THE FORECAST GETS INTERESTING TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
THE ECMWF SOLUTIONS INDICATES THAT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH
INTO NORTH TEXAS AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SAME TIME TROPICAL MOISTURE SPREADS
INTO THE REGION. IF THIS HAPPENS AS THE ECMWF INDICATES...A
BENEFICIAL RAINFALL WOULD OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION. THE GFS
SOLUTION DOES NOT BRING THE FRONT ANYWHERE CLOSE TO NORTH TEXAS
AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE LOW."

I choose the GFS due to the fact drought begets drought.
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#565 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Sep 15, 2013 7:12 pm

Been Raining on and off through out the day courtesy of Ingrid...We shall see how much Rain she gives us!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
644 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

TXZ249>253-160045-
HIDALGO-JIM HOGG-STARR-BROOKS-KENEDY-
644 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

BROOKS COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
HIDALGO COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
SOUTHEASTERN JIM HOGG COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
KENEDY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
EASTERN STARR COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 644 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
BAND OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS...FROM 21 MILES EAST OF SARITA TO 20
MILES SOUTHWEST OF HIDALGO...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LA HOMA.
CITRUS CITY.
PUERTO RICO.
RACHAL.
HAVANA.
SAN ISIDRO.

MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...OR WEATHER.GOV FOR
UPDATES. WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS
LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES. WHEN USING
WIPERS...TURN ON HEADLIGHTS. AVOID DRIVING THROUGH PUDDLES THAT
COULD HIDE POTHOLES OR CAUSE HYDROPLANING. MAKE SURE YOUR
HEADLAMPS...TIRES...AND WIPERS ARE IN GOOD CONDITION. KEEP AN
EMERGENCY KIT WHICH INCLUDES A FLASHLIGHT...FLARES...AND SIMPLE
HAND TOOLS. SEVEN THOUSAND PEOPLE DIE IN WEATHER RELATED AUTOMOBILE
ACCIDENTS EACH YEAR... MANY DUE TO POOR VISIBILITY AND WET ROADS.

&&

$$

61
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#566 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Sep 15, 2013 9:32 pm

This is more encouraging from the EWX!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
834 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

.UPDATE...
THIS EVENING EXTENSIVE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE OVERSPREAD
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE CLOUD COVER WAS ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC
HURRICANE INGRID AND PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM MANUEL. CONVECTION IS
ON THE WANE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION BUT WILL CONTINUE WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AND TOTAL
BLENDED PWATS BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2.00 INCHES. MOVEMENT OF THE CDO
AND LONG RANGE REFLECTIVITY FROM THE KBRO RADAR SUGGEST THAT
ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NEEDED TO THE CURRENT NHC TRACK OF HURRICANE
INGRID. ANY NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD
RESULT IN INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. GRIDS
AND TEXT PRODUCTS UPDATED.
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#567 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Sep 16, 2013 10:29 am

Wet day here in the Valley! :D

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
832 AM CDT MON SEP 16 2013

...RAIN BANDS OF INGRID INCREASING FLOOD RISK...

.RAIN BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM INGRID WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE
THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. SHOWERS MAY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND
COVERAGE THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL CONTINUES OVERNIGHT.

TXZ252>257-162145-
/O.NEW.KBRO.FF.A.0001.130916T1332Z-130917T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...
EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...
BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
832 AM CDT MON SEP 16 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...COASTAL CAMERON...COASTAL
WILLACY...HIDALGO...INLAND CAMERON...INLAND WILLACY AND STARR.

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* SOIL CONDITIONS IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY REMAIN VERY SATURATED.
URBAN AREAS CONTINUE TO HAVE AREAS OF STANDING WATER ON ROADWAYS
AND IN FLOOD DITCHES. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN WOULD LIKELY
LEAD TO URBAN OR FLASH FLOODING IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE
ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

JGG




SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
800 AM CDT MON SEP 16 2013

TXZ248>257-161700-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
800 AM CDT MON SEP 16 2013

...TROPICAL FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE TODAY...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TODAY. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
BE CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL FUNNEL CLOUDS. ANY
FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND SHOULD NOT REACH THE GROUND.
HOWEVER...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IN THE UNLIKELY
EVENT A FUNNEL DOES REACH THE GROUND.

$$

54
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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#568 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Sep 16, 2013 2:03 pm

Pouring at my house in SA as an outer rainband of Tropical Storm Ingrid moves through! Yeah!
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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#569 Postby Portastorm » Mon Sep 16, 2013 4:01 pm

I got a rock.

Image

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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#570 Postby Portastorm » Mon Sep 16, 2013 4:54 pm

OK, no more rocks ... now (4:55 pm) getting some candy (rain) in downtown Austin! :D
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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#571 Postby horselattitudesfarm » Tue Sep 17, 2013 7:56 am

Look guys, a meteorological way to describe the donut holes forming over our house:


SUBJECTIVELY...THE TROPICAL AIRMASS WAS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE 16
G/KG ISOHUME /LINE OF CONSTANT MIXING RATIO/ WHICH WAS LOCATED
ALONG A LINE FROM DEL RIO TO AUSTIN TO ALEXANDRIA...LA. THE 00Z
UPPER ANALYSIS AT THE 850 MB LEVEL INDICATED EASTERLY WINDS ALONG
THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS LIKELY THE REASON
THIS BOUNDARY HAS NOT MOVED MUCH OVER THE PAST DAY OR SO. THE
EARLY MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS ALSO OBSERVED AN AXIS OF RELATIVELY
DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR EXTENDING FROM THE TN VALLEY SOUTHWEST THROUGH
ARKLATEX AND INTO THE DFW METROPLEX. REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ALL AROUND NORTH TX EARLY THIS
MORNING...AND THIS AXIS OF DRY AIR WAS LIKELY THE REASON THIS
ACTIVITY WAS AVOIDING THE CWA/NORTH TX. :eek:
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Re: Texas Summer - 2013

#572 Postby Portastorm » Sun Sep 22, 2013 8:12 pm

So long Summer of 2013!
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