Click the link below for my forecast of the reminents of claudette for the SW USA...Showing that it may ride the high pressure in the four corners.
http://www.powow.com/sciencesky/claudette.html
Southwest USA effects from Claudette(flash i made inside)
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Aslkahuna
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Actually
the 2003 Monsoon is already here according to Tucson NWS with the onset date being July 11th. The storm will have to track as forecast to come in here though on paper right now it looks good. Based upon what we got from Beryl a couple or so years ago, I can expect a good hefty squalline here and some chaseable storms.
Steve
Steve
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weatherlover427
), we could both see some rain from her remnants by Saturday morning. That would be great news. -
Aslkahuna
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One Problem
is that Claudette is fighting shear which could have a detrimental effect upon the potential its remnants could bring to bear.
Steve
Steve
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MonsoonDude
,lol
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weatherwunder
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Aslkahuna
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Ironically
Claudette is still showing a better and more tightly wound circulation today past the Big Bend than it did during most of the time it was over water.
Steve
Steve
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Re: Ironically
Aslkahuna wrote:Claudette is still showing a better and more tightly wound circulation today past the Big Bend than it did during most of the time it was over water.
Steve
Steve..I mentioned early on her trek to the Yucatan that Claudette would hit Tejas as a Strong cat 1...the shallow eddy off the Gulf Coast and hot SSTs plus a nice Hi over her gave her the 'Mean Streak' that Sr Andrew displayed back in '92..albeit Andy was a badder boy.Much badder.
The NHC had a nice trophy to put up on the track...altho it seemed she was stubborn..the trof came on thru and threw her left,like a field goal kicker soccer style.The damage reports from the GALV area South are impressive for a Cat 1...and 97mph/111 G are unofficial..still the winds were dam impressive.The Storm Surge also.I'm not surprized at all that her circulation is intact..the 'Eye' was still well defined as she moved 40+inland.Now the Circ/Outflow shows clearly on the Unysis Wx Sfc loop that she is drawing massive amounts of moisture in from the GOMEX as we speak.IF this is the case...and we have plenty of drying out ahead of her +low/mid level moisture to recycle...we could have a disaster on our hands...RA amounts are still not being mentioned on the KTUS latest AFD of Spec Wx Statement..unacceptable for a system due in <19hrs.
The 'Casters are indeed having difficulty w/ RA amounts..I'll stick to 1.25-2.00in in the Valley and 3-5in up on the Mountain...not good at all!!!!!!
Any sudden 'bump' in the atmos could set off Tornadoes as well.The problem is exacerbated by a LACK of OBs from N MEX..as per usual.I've been B1tchin for yrs about the lack of cooperative efforts to get a handle on this...folks..NAFTA HAS the $$$!!!Some Remote Wx obs are NOT expensive!Shessh!Duh!The inflow from GOMEX is CLEAR on the Sat Loop.
hello NWS!Hello CNA!(national Mexican Atmos Meterologicos).K-Rist..they use the MM5 de Penn St down there still!WTF!Thats a WINTER MoD!
Wonder if the SPC has a Wx Sonde ready for TUS tonight?I sure as hell would.July Precip os only.55..so the soil is ready for a major runoff=FF.
Temp 108F/Dp 43/winds ese 12/clr
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