Slight Risk Upper Midwest/Plains Today

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PhillyWX
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Slight Risk Upper Midwest/Plains Today

#1 Postby PhillyWX » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:14 am

Image

Image

Looks like a scattered supercell event with potential for a line of storms to develop late from this. Should be interesting to watch. 30% severe potential on wind in Minneapolis in mid September is climatologically rare, despite there being tornadic activity near there two of the last three years.
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RL3AO
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#2 Postby RL3AO » Tue Sep 18, 2007 7:04 pm

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH MN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN ITASCA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 651 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR GRAND
RAPIDS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
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PhillyWX
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Re:

#3 Postby PhillyWX » Wed Sep 19, 2007 6:16 pm

RL3AO wrote:THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH MN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN ITASCA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 651 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR GRAND
RAPIDS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.


I don't know if I can remember the last time a tornado was that far north that late in the year. Wow.
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RL3AO
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#4 Postby RL3AO » Thu Sep 20, 2007 3:49 pm

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
KANDIYOHI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
MEEKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 325 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS 3 MILES WEST OF
SVEA...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILLMAR...AND MOVING EAST
TO NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. STORM SPOTTERS WERE CLOSELY WATCHING
THE STORM...AND WERE SEEING A WALL CLOUD.
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#5 Postby RL3AO » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:51 pm

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
547 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 543 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS JUST NORTHEAST
OF CHANHASSEN...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDEN PRAIRIE...
SHAKOPEE...
HOPKINS...
EDINA...
BLOOMINGTON...
RICHFIELD...
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#6 Postby RL3AO » Thu Sep 20, 2007 6:35 pm

3 funnels spotted in the Twin Cities in the past 30 minutes.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
622 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

MNC037-163-202345-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-070920T2345Z/
WASHINGTON MN-DAKOTA MN-
622 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR DAKOTA
AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 620 PM CDT...A FUNNEL CLOUD...VERY CLOSE TO THE GROUND...WAS
REPORTED IN NEWPORT.

AT 620 PM CDT... THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ST PAUL
PARK...OR ABOUT OVER COTTAGE GROVE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SUNFISH...MENDOTA...WEST ST
PAUL...ST PAUL PARK...SOUTH ST PAUL...ROSEMOUNT...NEWPORT...MENDOTA
HEIGHTS...INVER GROVE HEIGHTS AND HASTINGS.
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#7 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 21, 2007 12:31 am

New tornado watch, with pretty high numbers, to the west. Maybe a MDT risk at 0600Z?
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#8 Postby PhillyWX » Fri Sep 21, 2007 6:18 am

It's 75 degrees in Minneapolis at 5 AM on September 21st. I can't say I have ever seen the temperatures that high this early in the day.

Nothing like getting an October type storm in the latter third of September with abnormal warmth to begin with to the south. Great severe set up.

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#9 Postby RL3AO » Fri Sep 21, 2007 6:39 am

Still a slgt risk but there is a 10% chance of tornadoes in N WI.
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