I find the scenario below interesting:
SPC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
...CNTRL/SRN FL...
MODELS HAVE BEEN UNDERESTIMATING THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM
NOW CROSSING THE WRN GULF THE PAST FEW DAYS. THIS FEATURE SHOULD
INDUCE A MODEST FRONTAL WAVE ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN GULF BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. WARM FRONT STRENGTHENING NOW OVER CUBA SHOULD LIFT NWD
INTO SRN AND PERHAPS CNTRL FL BY MONDAY AFTN WITH WARM TROPICAL DEW
POINTS SURGING NWD. INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...PRESENCE OF LARGE
SCALE LIFT AND FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE
THREAT FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LATER
OUTLOOKS MAY ADDRESS AN UPGRADE TO SLGT RISK ONCE DETAILS OF THE
TIMING/STRENGTH OF THE UPPER WAVE ARE BETTER UNDERSTOOD.
Then it looks like the main storm will be moving through on the 14th.... could be interesting.
