it appears to me ( and i am no pro-met) that the low pressure system is moving more ENE than NE and that the heavier bands of snow may set up a bit further to the south and east than is currently forecast. however even if the storm were to track further east the cold air over the eastern great lakes is not that established so there could be more ice than snow even with a more southern track.
10 pm update the precip seems to be lifting more ne now that the ull and the surface low are combining the rain/freezing rain/ sleet/snow line seems to have stalled over south and eastern illinois and areas just south and east of chicago (26f) are around 35 and raining
will low track further east
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will low track further east
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