Interesting read from

[aggiecutter]

WGN's Meteorologist Tom Skilling...

http://wgntv.trb.com/news/weather/weblog/wgnweather/

[Extremeweatherguy]

looks like a good chance for a return to normal or colder for much of the nation.

[jkt21787]

looks like a good chance for a return to normal or colder for much of the nation.

Doesn't look too hopeful for the Southern United States. Most of the longterm climate models showing cold returning to the Northern Plains, into the Midwest and Northeast, of course including Chicago, where this is based.

You can even see the CFS model output on that excerptwhich remains near or above normal for the Southern U.S, from Texas to the Atlantic. The Ukie longterm model shows colder air working into the Southeast a bit, but not where you are in TX, it shows above normal.

[mike815]

i disagree as well especially for the south. it will and has been a warm winter nothing has really changed my thinking on this. im sry i have to disagree with that statement. any way it never sticks gets cold maybe a day or 2 thjan shoots right back up.

[Portastorm]

looks like a good chance for a return to normal or colder for much of the nation.

Doesn't look too hopeful for the Southern United States. Most of the longterm climate models showing cold returning to the Northern Plains, into the Midwest and Northeast, of course including Chicago, where this is based.

You can even see the CFS model output on that excerptwhich remains near or above normal for the Southern U.S, from Texas to the Atlantic. The Ukie longterm model shows colder air working into the Southeast a bit, but not where you are in TX, it shows above normal.

Not sure I agree ... today's 0z run of the Euro shows a plunge of Arctic air straight into the southern Plains by next Saturday. GFS hints at it but shunts the coldest air eastward. Guess it'll depend on whether or not the trough progression slows down enough to allow amplification.

[amawea]

J.B. is really talking up a return to cold now for North America, with a strong ridge over the west and a trough digging in around 80 or 90 west. This, along with cross polar flow would mean much colder from the rockies east. He's talking snow all the way to OKC by Friday.
amawea

[Extremeweatherguy]

looks like a good chance for a return to normal or colder for much of the nation.

Doesn't look too hopeful for the Southern United States. Most of the longterm climate models showing cold returning to the Northern Plains, into the Midwest and Northeast, of course including Chicago, where this is based.

You can even see the CFS model output on that excerptwhich remains near or above normal for the Southern U.S, from Texas to the Atlantic. The Ukie longterm model shows colder air working into the Southeast a bit, but not where you are in TX, it shows above normal.

Not sure I agree ... today's 0z run of the Euro shows a plunge of Arctic air straight into the southern Plains by next Saturday. GFS hints at it but shunts the coldest air eastward. Guess it'll depend on whether or not the trough progression slows down enough to allow amplification.

Not sure I agree either. Joe Bastardi has been hinting at a return to cold for weeks, and now the models are starting to agree with him. He also says that the look of the current pattern and modeling shows that it may even get colder than he previously suggested. Also, with the coldest air in 20 years in China, which should filter into the poles and Canada making them much much colder, that is what we need to watch for the potential of a devastating arctic blast. The coldest air in 20 years for the U.S. was probably 1989, so I repeat is not completely out of the question..and now that it is January (the heart of winter), any cold shot can be much colder than those we saw in early December of last year. Fasten your seatbelts America! A pattern change is on the way!

[amawea]

I agree extremeweatherguy. Based on the trend the models are showing I feel the worst is yet to come.

[Portastorm]

Yeah extremeweatherguy, you may get your wish after all ... it certainly is looking more promising for some kind of major pattern shift starting next weekend!

[deltadog03]

we all know that wx balances itself out....I feel like the southern plains and SE will be the big target of some MUCH BELOW temps with some precip!!! around 7-10days out

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

One of our weatheguys here in Corpus so much said we were going to pay for this record breaking warm stuff later in the month in a big way. Still kind of hard to believe and I'll believe when I feel it considering it is going to be in the Mid 80's and very desert like (low RH) the next few days.

[brandybugg4180]

IM in no way an expert but something tells me that its going to get really cold even down into the southeastern states where IM at ....Its collllddd her to me today its 45 degrees and doesnt seem tobe getting any warmer. We may have a few more mild days but by February I think we are gonna be freezing our booties off especially up in the northeast states. JUst a feeling not based off of any models or anything meteorological....I could wind up being extremely off!!!

[pawxguy]

Well said.

we all know that wx balances itself out....I feel like the southern plains and SE will be the big target of some MUCH BELOW temps with some precip!!! around 7-10days out