Whats Don's Though on this upcoming weekend event?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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donsutherland1
- S2K Analyst
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
- Location: New York
Re: Whats Don's Though on this upcoming weekend event?
Jrodd312,
It's a little soon for details. At this time, I'd be very hesistant to write off any areas in the Tennessee & Ohio Valleys/Mid-Atlantic and Northeast from the prospect of seeing at least some frozen precipitation. I think the Mid-Atlantic, parts of the Ohio Valley, Tennesse Valley, and southern New England are very much in the game for snow/ice. This could be more a MA than NE event or vice versa but perhaps the second one might be more suppressed or widespread as the blocking is even stronger?
Too soon for details, but at this point in time I don't believe this will be a relatively warm and rainy scenario for many of the areas described above. I should offer greater details either in a separate post by Friday or possibly my next pattern discussion (late Friday/early Saturday?).
FWIW, NWSFO Taunton just came out with the following in its AFD this afternoon:
Potentially interesting scenario Sunday night into the beginning of next week as gfs/ecm prog waves of lopres riding to the south of the cwa. Jury is still out here, but signals for a wintry precip event (perhaps prolonged) are strengthening.
Finally, there remain decent signals on the ensembles for at least one significant event. For now, the long-heralded pattern change is poised to occur. That's the first step and a necessary one.
It's a little soon for details. At this time, I'd be very hesistant to write off any areas in the Tennessee & Ohio Valleys/Mid-Atlantic and Northeast from the prospect of seeing at least some frozen precipitation. I think the Mid-Atlantic, parts of the Ohio Valley, Tennesse Valley, and southern New England are very much in the game for snow/ice. This could be more a MA than NE event or vice versa but perhaps the second one might be more suppressed or widespread as the blocking is even stronger?
Too soon for details, but at this point in time I don't believe this will be a relatively warm and rainy scenario for many of the areas described above. I should offer greater details either in a separate post by Friday or possibly my next pattern discussion (late Friday/early Saturday?).
FWIW, NWSFO Taunton just came out with the following in its AFD this afternoon:
Potentially interesting scenario Sunday night into the beginning of next week as gfs/ecm prog waves of lopres riding to the south of the cwa. Jury is still out here, but signals for a wintry precip event (perhaps prolonged) are strengthening.
Finally, there remain decent signals on the ensembles for at least one significant event. For now, the long-heralded pattern change is poised to occur. That's the first step and a necessary one.
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