Philadelphia Area Forecast:

[iCez2003]

Talking to other people as well as looking at the latest models (the 12z ETA should commence around 9, will tweak forecast then), but here goes:

Tonight moderate sleet will begin, this will last on and off through the night, meanwhile an EXTREMELY intense ULL will be diving down from the OV. This will dive far enough south to produce a significant/major snowstorm for Philadelphia area....

Tonight: 1-2 inches of sleet/snow/freezing rain

Secondary Storm: Mix bag changes to all snow, period of 6-12 hours of heavy intense snow, total accumulations of 8-12 inches

Total Storm Accumulation on the ground by end: 12-16 inches.

I expect 12z models to trend south with secondary development, the cold air in 50/50 is just too strong, thats why I even think Boston might get screwed a bit.... Enjoy!

[thstorm87]

wow, wouldnt that be awesome. But unfortunatley I dont think we will se that much atleast not in the city, maybe well north and west. Prob like 3-5 in city, 2-4 in sjersey, and maybe 4-8 north and west. But I hope your right.
By the way you dont know the backup wwwb do you?

[iCez2003]

MM5= Just about 1 inch of QPF for PHL
ETA = 8-10
GFS = 8-12

[JCT777]

icez - Normally I would say that type of forecast is wishful thinking, but the way things are trending you might end up being exactly correct.

Bring it on!

[thstorm87]

I am just having doubts, I mean I know joe b is perfect, but just heard his latest videos, and he barely has 3 inch line in philly.

[Tip]

06Z GFS puched out some impressive QPFs - between 1.25 - 1.50 inches of liquid for central Jersey.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_060l.gif

Also here is a little eye candy for later probably a GFS fantasy storm but nice to look at.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_216l.gif