I'm Liking It

Anonymous · #1 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 4:46 pm

my local met, channel 7 abc New York, among other from this site and others along also with other news stations are saying 4-6 in the city with high amounts to the south and east. this is good, i think that here in my location that there will be 6 or so. King says that my location will be in the "sweet spot" I think that sounds just about right. what are your thoughts.

Colin · #2 Postby **Colin** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 4:53 pm

Your area looks good right now...I'm thinking 3-6" for your area!

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 5:04 pm

so you think that 4-8 would be most accurate. mabey more like 6-8 for central southern NJ

JCT777 · #4 Postby **JCT777** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 5:24 pm

Colin wrote:Your area looks good right now...I'm thinking 3-6" for your area!

I am still thinking 3 to 6 for our area as well, Colin. I think the 12z models that lowered precip amounts and took the storm farther north were incorrect,. IMO, the storm's track and intensity should be similar to the depiction of the earlier 0z runs.

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 5:27 pm

Then the WS Watch gets screwed!!!

LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL!!!!

Only Time will tell................................

-JEB

JCT777 · #6 Postby **JCT777** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 5:29 pm

Jeb - let's wait and see how things play out. The 12z runs moved the storm fairly far north with less moisture, but the 18z GFS has shifted south somewhat. If the 0z runs are farther south, then I would think the 12z runs were more of a hiccup than a trend.

Anonymous · #7 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 5:32 pm

JCT777 wrote:Jeb - let's wait and see how things play out. The 12z runs moved the storm fairly far north with less moisture, but the 18z GFS has shifted south somewhat. If the 0z runs are farther south, then I would think the 12z runs were more of a hiccup than a trend.

Okay------------but I have more screws in the maintenance room just off the weather center. Don't dismantle that WS Watch just yet lol

BTW folks-----I'm NOT crying in my soup-------I never expected the snow anyway

I'm actually laughing it up about the Winter Screw Watch LOL!!

-JEB

Cheesy_Poofs · #8 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 6:21 pm

I'm not likeing it! ( After looking at the new EURO!!!!

)

Anonymous · #9 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 6:30 pm

why

Cheesy_Poofs · #10 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 6:37 pm

1evans- Because after looking at the new UKMET, And EURO, it doesn't look good for the middle atlantic states! :cry:

Colin · #11 Postby **Colin** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 6:39 pm

Yes, right now it's not looking good for DC south.

Cheesy_Poofs · #12 Postby **Cheesy_Poofs** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 6:43 pm

It doesn't look good at all South of the MD/PA line! :cry:

Enjoy the snow Colin.

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 6:58 pm

so your saying anything noth of the PA/MD line will see good totals 4-8

#14 Postby **Dave C** » Mon Jan 12, 2004 9:01 pm

We need to watch the model runs this eve and then see what Tues am runs follow-up with. Gary Gray mentioned a good point in his new discussion, the storm system will be moving inland soon and should hopefully give the models better data to work with. It's very interesting following these systems as we get closer to the event. Makes me wish I was a pro. forecaster (talk about getting gray hairs!) :lol:

JCT777 · #15 Postby **JCT777** » Tue Jan 13, 2004 10:08 am

The 0z runs and today's 12z ETA have taken the storm further south than yesterday's 18z runs. This seems logical, and looks like DC/BWI could very well see a few inches of snow Wednesday night into early Thursday (which did not seem too likely per the 12z runs yesterday).

#16 Postby **Lowpressure** » Tue Jan 13, 2004 11:26 am

JCT777 wrote:The 0z runs and today's 12z ETA have taken the storm further south than yesterday's 18z runs. This seems logical, and looks like DC/BWI could very well see a few inches of snow Wednesday night into early Thursday (which did not seem too likely per the 12z runs yesterday).

NWS D.C is sticking to "several inches of snow" as a forecast for Wed p.m. through Thursday mid morning. Stating Thursday morning commute could be a mess here. They have mentioned model shifts, but have stuck to their guns, we will see how it pans out.

Look at that glob over Mexico, if that is to become the Gulf Storm it will be fun for many.

I'm Liking It

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