I have a question

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Colin
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I have a question

#1 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 04, 2004 12:53 pm

Are these two possible snow events (1/9 - 1/10 and 1/12 - 1/14) going to stay south of DC? Because I'm really starting to get mad being up here and getting rain, and when it finally gets cold, all the storms stay south of me.

Like I said before, Winter is OVER at least here for another month.
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Stormsfury
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Re: I have a question

#2 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Jan 04, 2004 1:06 pm

Colin wrote:Are these two possible snow events (1/9 - 1/10 and 1/12 - 1/14) going to stay south of DC? Because I'm really starting to get mad being up here and getting rain, and when it finally gets cold, all the storms stay south of me.

Like I said before, Winter is OVER at least here for another month.


The 1/9-1/10 looks suppressed but the 1/12-1/14 event looks like the POTENTIAL for EAST COAST (from SC northward into New England) ... again, it's 10 days out, but this again, bears POTENTIAL...

SF
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#3 Postby verycoolnin » Sun Jan 04, 2004 1:11 pm

If those snow events do occur they should stay at or south of DC, the jet stream in the east will be digging deep until atleast the 19th. There's always the posibility of a low preasure system riding up the coast and hitting the NE along with the MidAtlantic.
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Jan 04, 2004 1:15 pm

verycoolnin wrote:If those snow events do occur they should stay at or south of DC, the jet stream in the east will be digging deep until atleast the 19th. There's always the posibility of a low preasure system riding up the coast and hitting the NE along with the MidAtlantic.


Yes, and the 1/9-1/10 event could very well end up being a TEMP 50/50 low which would lock in the cold air ... at least long enough and set up the 1/12-1/14 event.

SF
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donsutherland1
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Re: I have a question

#5 Postby donsutherland1 » Sun Jan 04, 2004 2:17 pm

Colin,

The probability is high that the 1/9-10 event is suppressed, but there is still a chance that at least some light snow moves across parts of PA.

The latter event appears to have a better chance at coming farther north. With the ensembles pointing to a NAO of -2 and PNA of +2 around that time, the possibility for a storm bringing snow into New England cannot be ruled out.

To be sure, if the NAO is below -2 e.g., -3, a more suppressed pattern might result but this does not seem poised to occur until probably after mid-month when I believe prospects for an outbreak of severe cold will be growing.
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#6 Postby Colin » Sun Jan 04, 2004 2:28 pm

OK...thanks SF and Don. :)
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