12z GFS/ETA ????

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12z GFS/ETA ????

#1 Postby Guest » Thu Dec 11, 2003 11:32 am

Can you say NW Trend!!!! Intresting run to say the least. Wants to bring the RN/SN line to west of the i95 corridor and as well track our lows a bit farther north and west dragging up a bit more precip into the OV????

BTW it is way under doing the cad sig as usuall. Either way a intresting run to say the least...

No matter what this is looking to be a decent size 6+ event out this way in OH........
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#2 Postby WEATHERGURU » Thu Dec 11, 2003 11:54 am

Do you think with the nw movement of the storm we might get 3-6 inches in Detroit, Mi?
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wrkh99

#3 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Dec 11, 2003 11:59 am

Remember that the trend is your friend :)
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#4 Postby WEATHERGURU » Thu Dec 11, 2003 12:00 pm

Do you think the NW trend will continue with the ridge over Spain and the telliconection to the southeast ridge gaining strength to move it even farther NW?
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#5 Postby JCT777 » Thu Dec 11, 2003 12:32 pm

I hope this NW trend stops, or reverses somewhat. I hate rain in December.
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#6 Postby WEATHERGURU » Thu Dec 11, 2003 12:33 pm

Yea tell me about it we got an inch of rain yesterday.
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#7 Postby Guest » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:02 pm

I would go as high as 2-4 perhaps WEATHERGURU
for your area............This looks to be a heavier event for areas to your south into IN and especially OH. The i70 corridor looks to be the prime areas as of right now in IN and OH. I will have a couple of maps out later on what i think will happen.......
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#8 Postby Colin » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:11 pm

What do you think for around Allentown KOW?
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#9 Postby roarusdogus » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:15 pm

Colin wrote:What do you think for around Allentown KOW?


When you come to this board, you turn into the king of weenies. :wink: You just asked the classic question, only for Allentown instead of Philly.
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#10 Postby roarusdogus » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:17 pm

You guys better hope that NW trend stops. You don't want to get too much warm air into your area. I think RNS is really going out on a limb, big time. We'll see if he can pull off a victory here.
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#11 Postby JCT777 » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:19 pm

Agreed roar that the NW trend is troubling for those in DC through NYC corridor who want to see decent snow from this event. Perhaps the trend will stop or reverse slightly. We shall see.
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#12 Postby RNS » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:32 pm

If i ned to adjust i will...for now though i see no reason to.
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RNS

#13 Postby d » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:43 pm

[quote="RNS"]If i ned to adjust i will...for now though i see no reason to.[/quote]

did you see 12z GGEM (minus the temp profile because it's awful) major winter storm track for MA to NE
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#14 Postby RNS » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:49 pm

got the link???
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#15 Postby RNS » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:51 pm

and one other thing...this waffeling with every run of the models needs to stop. if theres anything that causes a forecast to bust its taking that approach.

Assess the trending in the runs and forget about the specifics.
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#16 Postby d » Thu Dec 11, 2003 1:57 pm

[quote="RNS"]got the link???[/quote]

http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_am ... _panel.gif
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#17 Postby RNS » Thu Dec 11, 2003 2:01 pm

thanks...and the UKMET supports me as well though may be too weak)

http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/ukmettc2.cg ... =Animation
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#18 Postby RNS » Thu Dec 11, 2003 2:03 pm



looks about on track...IMO though the low could be closer to the coast.
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#19 Postby RNS » Thu Dec 11, 2003 2:05 pm

and even still with that strong of a high the amount of CAD will be greater than what the models are hinting at currently.
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Agreed

#20 Postby d » Thu Dec 11, 2003 2:06 pm

[quote="RNS"][quote="d"][quote="RNS"]got the link???[/quote]

http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_am ... _panel.gif[/quote]

looks about on track...IMO though the low could be closer to the coast.[/quote

but the trends are becoming apparent in what I'm seeing!!
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