Harris / Mann Winter Prediction

[Anonymous]

Zone #2: S.E. Canada & Northeast U.S.
NOVEMBER 9 (FULL MOON) - DECEMBER 23 (NEW MOON)

The collisions between alternating cooler and warmer than normal ocean currents in the Pacific waters west of the entire North and South American Coastlines should result in a snowy and cold northwesterly jet stream flow across the northern third of the U.S. and much of southern Canada during this particular pre-Christmas six-week cycle. We’ve already seen this pattern develop in late October and early November producing some of the coldest early season readings since the mid-1930s in the northern Great Plains and the Inland Pacific Northwest. Unusually heavy pre-winter snows will be likely across eastern Washington, northern Idaho and western Montana, especially after Thanksgiving into the "full moon" cycle of December 8-15.

We may see some of these heavy snows migrate eastward across the northern Great Plains and the Upper Midwest in the following "last quarter" and "new moon" cycles of late December around the Christmas holidays.

The drought-plagued, wildfire-ravaged southwestern corner of the U.S., including hard-hit southern California and much of northern Mexico, will likely remain warmer and drier than usual this late fall and early winter period eastward into much of the Deep South and portions of Dixie, including Florida. Valley rains and mountain snows should gradually move southward into northern and central California, perhaps reaching drought-parched, fire-ravaged southern California by mid-to-late December.


DECEMBER 23 (NEW MOON) - FEBRUARY 6 (FULL MOON)

Considering the fact that we have a "patchwork"-type sea-surface temperature pattern in the waters of the Pacific Ocean, the upcoming Winter of 2003-04 could be both COLDER and SNOWIER than normal across much of Canada and the northern half of the U.S. probably extending as far south as I-70 or even I-40 by the middle to the end of this 6-week cycle.

The Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada will probably see the biggest increase over last winter in total snowfall. This will be a good time to preview the snowy weather conditions that we’re expecting for the Winter Olympics to be held in the Vancouver, British Columbia in 2010.

The southern half of the U.S. from central and southern California and Arizona eastward to Georgia and the Carolinas will likely see widely-pendulating weather patterns this Winter of 2003-04. A rather fickle sea-surface temperature pattern in the Pacific should at least slightly increase the overall probabilities of a damaging freeze in the Florida orange groves occurring sometime around the early January "full moon" cycle of the 7th through the 14th. As things now stand, we would put the chances of crop losses at somewhere around 35%, in other words, about a 1 in 3 shot.

FEBRUARY 6 (FULL MOON) - MARCH 20 (NEW MOON)

This particular 6-week cycle should be both WETTER and COOLER than normal in the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada. Snowfall amounts will likely be heavier than usual southward into the Lake Tahoe area of California eastward to the Wasatch Mountains east of Salt Lake City, particularly around the "new moon" cycle of February 20 -27.

East of the Rockies, it should be cool, but rather dry across much of the still-parched Great Plains and much of the Midwest Corn and Soybean Belt northward into the Prairie Provinces of Canada until at least the end of the February 20-27 "new moon" phase.

The eastern third of the U.S. and southeastern Canada will see rapidly changing weather patterns as will much of the Deep South. The Desert Southwest, including the southern half of California, may finally turn a bit wetter and cooler than normal, especially from mid-February to the period around the official start of the Spring of 2004 (March 20).



Any thoughts?