"HOLY CRAP!"

azsnowman · #1 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 7:30 am

CHECK OUT THESE "LOW" TEMPS :eek:

Where I live, I'm ALWAYS 5-8° COLDER than the forecast lows :eek:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ

402 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2003

TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY... SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. HIGHS 51 TO 60 ABOVE 7000 FEET...59 TO 68 BELOW 7000 FEET.
TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR... WINDY... SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH... LOWS 26 TO 36 ABOVE 7000 FEET...32 TO 39 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY... VERY WINDY... SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. MUCH COLDER WITH HIGHS 34 TO 44 ABOVE 7000 FEET...39 TO 48 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY. LOWS 9 TO 19 ABOVE 7000 FEET...12 TO 22 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY... NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS HIGHS 32 TO 39 ABOVE 7000 FEET...38 TO 45 BELOW 7000 FEET.
SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR... LOWS 5 TO 15 ABOVE 7000 FEET...8 TO 16 BELOW 7000 FEET.

:eek:

Dennis

rainstorm · #2 Postby **rainstorm** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 8:29 am

#3 Postby **Lowpressure** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 8:38 am

AZ, I may have missed this at some point, but what is your elevation?

azsnowman · #4 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 8:44 am

I'm at 7200' here at the house....the reason for my low temps being even colder, I live down in a valley and as we all know, the cold air drains to the lowest point, "That's ME!" This could be, without a doubt, one of the coldest weekends since 1969.....I had a low temp of -42° on 3 Feb. 69!!!

Dennis

LMolineux · #5 Postby **LMolineux** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 8:56 am

congrats now send some of that my way hehe. But yes congrats this might be your turn to start posting good news for yourself/your area. I am just waiting here near Philly to see temps like those but each run of the models it is either held back or not even going to happen at all. Its frustrating after having such a fluke winter season as of last winter to have one heck of a great winter the very next one especially here on the EC MA area. Trends are our friends if tey are in good but trends are our enemies when its against us. Right now i am netural. Because somethings are not to very clear to me about the PNA and NAO and their forecasts. Usually Neg NAO and Pos PNA equal trough in the east not mid west. Thus the reason why i am confused to think that the NAO and PNA are forecasted to go their repected ways. Untill i see all the forecast models going trough or deep trough in the east i do not believe any of them like taking with a grain of salt.

Hey if you do get snow please take come pics and post them for us to view. Thank you.

JCT777 · #6 Postby **JCT777** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 9:12 am

Dennis - You could be flirting with zero degrees on Sunday night, if your temp is 5 to 8 degrees colder than what was indicated in your post. Now that's some cold weather! 8-)

#7 Postby **Stephanie** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 9:42 am

I'm glad to hear that winter is paying a visit to your neck of the woods in the SW!!

azsnowman · #8 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 10:52 am

They even have a heavy freeze warning for those folks *down yonder* in the Valley of the Sun! Warning them to cover their plants, protect their "PIPES" even.......I've NEVER seen a warning to THAT extent for Phoenix!

Dennis

azsnowman · #9 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 10:55 am

Here's the SWS issued for the Phoenix and outlaying areas :eek:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
440 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2003

...BREEZY TO WINDY AND MUCH COLDER WEATHER FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND...

...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDER DESERT AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA
INCLUDING THE PHOENIX AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
NIGHT...

A STRONG COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL MOVE
THROUGH SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA
SATURDAY. IT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AND BREEZY TO WINDY WEATHER TO
THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. FURTHER COOLING WILL TAKE PLACE
SUNDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE DRY THIS FAR SOUTH.

LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR FREEZING IN
COLDEST LOWER DESERT AREAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD
BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO THE COLDEST READINGS SO FAR
THIS SEASON.

PROTECTION FOR TENDER FROST SENSITIVE PLANTS WILL BE NECESSARY IN
COLDEST DESERT AREAS INCLUDING COLDEST LOCATIONS IN THE GREATER
PHOENIX AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD PROTECTION
NECESSARY SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. NOW IS THE TIME TO
DRAIN WATER FROM EQUIPMENT AND PIPES NOT IN USE SUCH AS EVAPORATIVE
COOLERS AND POOL PUMPS.

Dennis :eek:

azsnowman · #10 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 11:29 am

The temps have already started their downhill spiral as I post this...the temp just 15 minutes ago was 55.6°, now......it's 48.3° with a STIFF breeze out of the SW @ 19 gusting to 25 already.......HOOOODOOOGIES, this is GONNA BE FUN!

Dennis

azsnowman · #11 Postby **azsnowman** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 6:52 pm

"THIS AIN'T GOOD FOLKS!" WIND GUSTS TO "OVER" 65 MPH STARTING TONIGHT :eek:

HIGH WIND WATCH
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RVR VLY IN APACHE CO-
LITTLE COLORADO RVR VLY IN NAVAJO CO-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
326 PM MST FRI NOV 21 2003

...WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WATCH SATURDAY 6 AM TO NOON...

SOUTHWEST WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH SATURDAY MORNING...
THUS THE HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 6 AM TO NOON.

Dennis :cry:

weatherlover427 · #12 Postby **weatherlover427** » Fri Nov 21, 2003 10:06 pm

Ouch! :o That is gonna sting with the cold air and all!! :o :o

azsnowman · #13 Postby **azsnowman** » Sat Nov 22, 2003 8:26 am

Well....the winds have picked up in a BIG WAY.....I've already had a peak gust over 52 MPH :eek:

and it's only 0630 MST. The NWS has updated the snowfall to start this morning, we'll see, I don't see any snow with winds this strong!

Dennis

weatherlover427 · #14 Postby **weatherlover427** » Sat Nov 22, 2003 12:52 pm

Supposed to get windy here too, maybe winds 40 MPH plus later (with chilly temps, that won't feel good :o ).

azsnowman · #15 Postby **azsnowman** » Sun Nov 23, 2003 8:31 am

Well.....this is PERFECT snowman weather I'm tellin' ya's! I'm sittin' at 6° at the moment with another 30 minutes till sunrise......no problem hitting the forecasted 3° AND tonights suposse to be EVEN COLDER....pushing MINUS 3 :eek:

Haven't had time to figure the windchill, I've got a BLUE, BLUE North breeze of 19 MPH at the moment :eek:

Dennis

HurricaneGirl · #16 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Sun Nov 23, 2003 10:15 am

Holy Crap!! :crazyeyes:

Stormsfury · #17 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sun Nov 23, 2003 10:24 am

HurricaneGirl wrote:Holy Crap!!

Yep, that's your line .. :lol:

weatherlover427 · #18 Postby **weatherlover427** » Sun Nov 23, 2003 12:51 pm

It got down to 41.9° here last night, which is our coldest of the season so far ... our heater kept clicking on and off all night, so I knew it was cold out.

Lindaloo · #19 Postby **Lindaloo** » Sun Nov 23, 2003 5:38 pm

WOW!!

weatherlover427 · #20 Postby **weatherlover427** » Sun Nov 23, 2003 5:51 pm

Lows tonight to be bewteen 36° and 47° :o !

"HOLY CRAP!"

"HOLY CRAP!"

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