What Season Is It Anyway?
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- Stormsfury
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What Season Is It Anyway?
November feels like June today in Lower SC ... even worse, Beaufort, SC, at 1 pm today is recording an 82º with a 78º dewpoint! ... HEAT INDEX of 92º. CHS already reported being as high as 85º today with dewpoints in the lower 70's.
BEAUFORT PTSUNNY 82 78 88 E9 30.09F
6HR MIN TEMP: 70; 6HR MAX TEMP: 82;
Record heat continues today across the Eastern States
BEAUFORT PTSUNNY 82 78 88 E9 30.09F
6HR MIN TEMP: 70; 6HR MAX TEMP: 82;
Record heat continues today across the Eastern States
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- therock1811
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Re: What Season Is It Anyway?
Stormsfury wrote:November feels like June today in Lower SC ... even worse, Beaufort, SC, at 1 pm today is recording an 82º with a 78º dewpoint! ... HEAT INDEX of 92º. CHS already reported being as high as 85º today with dewpoints in the lower 70's.
BEAUFORT PTSUNNY 82 78 88 E9 30.09F
6HR MIN TEMP: 70; 6HR MAX TEMP: 82;
Record heat continues today across the Eastern States
SF Kinda Stumach Turning isnt it?
Honestly this weather is nutz and insane.
Now i am posting here and finally gonna get my act together and post here as well.
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Shoot today it is currently 1:50pm and the temp is 68°F with the dewpoint of 58°F with a raw ENE wind finally it shifted back ENE from WSW earlier. The Temp got up to 73 already on that WSW wind now it at 1:51 is down to 65 in the matter of minutes on the heal fo the ENE winds at 12Mph with gusts to 17Mph.
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- therock1811
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- therock1811
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- therock1811
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- southerngale
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- S2K Analyst
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Re: What Season Is It Anyway?
Currently, a sharp contrast in temperatures and conditions exists with readings in the northern Mid-Atlantic region running much above normal and those from north of central New York and central New England were running below normal.
At 2pm, the following conditions were available:
<b>North of the warm front:</b>
Albany: 40 Cloudy
Montreal: 28 Light Sleet
Portland, ME: 38 Light Rain
Sherbrooke: 27 Heavy Snow
<b>South of the warm front:</b>
Baltimore: 76 Mostly Sunny
Millville, NJ: 77 Sunny
Philadelphia: 70 Mostly Sunny
Washington, DC: 78 Sunny
For the remainder of the day, this front will continue to push slowly northward. However, given easterly and northeasterly winds along and to the north of this front, look for temperatures to hold steady or slowly fall during the afternoon and evening hours.
Overnight, though, readings could actually begin to rise toward morning, especially from central New England southward. There, a warm day lies ahead for tomorrow with readings in the 60s and higher.
In the medium-range, the ECMWF remains consistent that a sharply colder air mass will move into the Northeast for the weekend. The ECMWF may be overdone to some extent. Nevertheless, a brief but impressive chill comparable to that of October 22-24 relative to normal appears quite likely; the chill should be somewhat less in the Mid-Atlantic region given the weak but not dead ridge. This means that temperatures could run 8 to 13 degrees below normal for the weekend.
Taking this into consideration, I believe one can expect the coldest temperatures to date in the major cities.
Best estimates for lowest readings during the weekend:
Boston: 30
NYC: 32
Philadelphia: 31
Finally, all indications continue to point to the NAO turning toward negative by mid-month with amplification in the 11/13-18 period followed by a transition to a new pattern. That transitional period should see a more zonal jetstream configuration
At 2pm, the following conditions were available:
<b>North of the warm front:</b>
Albany: 40 Cloudy
Montreal: 28 Light Sleet
Portland, ME: 38 Light Rain
Sherbrooke: 27 Heavy Snow
<b>South of the warm front:</b>
Baltimore: 76 Mostly Sunny
Millville, NJ: 77 Sunny
Philadelphia: 70 Mostly Sunny
Washington, DC: 78 Sunny
For the remainder of the day, this front will continue to push slowly northward. However, given easterly and northeasterly winds along and to the north of this front, look for temperatures to hold steady or slowly fall during the afternoon and evening hours.
Overnight, though, readings could actually begin to rise toward morning, especially from central New England southward. There, a warm day lies ahead for tomorrow with readings in the 60s and higher.
In the medium-range, the ECMWF remains consistent that a sharply colder air mass will move into the Northeast for the weekend. The ECMWF may be overdone to some extent. Nevertheless, a brief but impressive chill comparable to that of October 22-24 relative to normal appears quite likely; the chill should be somewhat less in the Mid-Atlantic region given the weak but not dead ridge. This means that temperatures could run 8 to 13 degrees below normal for the weekend.
Taking this into consideration, I believe one can expect the coldest temperatures to date in the major cities.
Best estimates for lowest readings during the weekend:
Boston: 30
NYC: 32
Philadelphia: 31
Finally, all indications continue to point to the NAO turning toward negative by mid-month with amplification in the 11/13-18 period followed by a transition to a new pattern. That transitional period should see a more zonal jetstream configuration
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Don
Its been a roller coaster here today earlier the high was 73 then less then an hour later it was 63 with the movement of the backdoor cold front. But it is showing signs of moving back north as a warm front and i am expecting it to bounce back to near 70 by 5pm. ok now my Therm. is reading at 62 with ENE winds at 15Mph with gusts to 20Mph its holding tough south west of me that front. But if it moves north its gonna change alot of temps here. But finally it will push through as a nice cold front with at least 1.5 inches of rain maybe up to near 2 inches i wouldnt be surprised to hear a rumble or 2 of thunder. Shoot how it has been going this Fall i wouldnt be surprised to see a line of Severe Weather again as how it has been.
Its been a roller coaster here today earlier the high was 73 then less then an hour later it was 63 with the movement of the backdoor cold front. But it is showing signs of moving back north as a warm front and i am expecting it to bounce back to near 70 by 5pm. ok now my Therm. is reading at 62 with ENE winds at 15Mph with gusts to 20Mph its holding tough south west of me that front. But if it moves north its gonna change alot of temps here. But finally it will push through as a nice cold front with at least 1.5 inches of rain maybe up to near 2 inches i wouldnt be surprised to hear a rumble or 2 of thunder. Shoot how it has been going this Fall i wouldnt be surprised to see a line of Severe Weather again as how it has been.
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Colin wrote:An unexpected shield of cloud cover moved into my area...we now have a cool breeze with temps in the 50s-60s here! :o Highs were predicted to be 70-75°! :o
Colin this backdoor cold front was underestimated actually alot of clouds are moving in here as well. I am from Villanova Ardmore areas and clouds have gotten a bit thicker and lower which si shocking me and temps continue to drop. I was thinking by now the temps would of been jumping back up with it moving north as a warm front which it hasnt to my surprise. As they say Weather is not an exact sceince. But still its holding really tough. Glad to see it holdign tough and still droppign the temps.
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therock1811 wrote:Louisville (SDF)just hit 81°...that will probably break the all time record...which is 80° set in 1987...
That is crazy!

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- StormCrazyIowan
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Well let's see.......last night, it was cloudy and cold around 40-45 or so. 10am it was sunny and in the low 70's, currently it is cloudy and 57°F and the temp will be dropping the rest of the day and into the night eventually stopping around 35°, and highs are expected to only hit mid 40's tomorrow!! This has been my weather pattern for about a month now, anyone else want to talk about a roller coaster ride???? 

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