Winter Outlook.......Snowfall for some cities!

[Guest]

Well here is my idea of who may get what as far as snow goes for the entire season! If your town and or area is missing let me know and i will add it! I just request that you add in your normal snowfall for your location when doing so....................I will add them (Edit) to this list as i get more!


Minneapolis, MN (normal 50"), 03-04: 55"
Chicago, IL (normal 40"), 03-04: 50"- 55"
Detroit, MI (normal 40"), 03-04: 55"- 60"
Cleveland, OH (normal 63"), 03-04: 85"
Pittsburgh, PA (normal 40"), 03-04: 65"
Philly, PA (normal 20"), 03-04: 35"
NYC, NY (normal 25"), 03-04: 40"
DC (normal 15"), 03-04: 25-30"
Boston, MA (normal 40"), 03-04: 65"
Mount Vernon, OH(normal 40"), 60"- 65" (My Location)
Columbus, OH (normal 27.7") 50"-55"
Rehoboth Beach, DE (normal 15) 03-04: 20-25"
Houston, TX (normal .4") 03-04: 1"- 10"
Dallas, TX (normal 2.6") 03-04: 10"-15"
Charleston, SC (normal 1/2inch) 03-04: 5"- 10"
Lexington, KY (normal 17.5) 03-04: 30"- 35"
Cincy, OH (rocks Location in N.KY) (normal 26.5) 03-04: 35"- 40"
Quad Cities, IA (normal 35) 03-04: 40"- 45"
PineTop, AZ (AZsnowmans location) (normal 132") 03-04: 125" - 130"
Monett, MO (normal 13.2) 03-04: 20"- 25"
Atlanta, GA (normal 2") 03-04: 5" - 10"
Buffalo (Southside), NY (normal 97") 03-04: 105"- 110"
Charlotte,NC (normal 5.5") 03-04: 10"- 20"
Raleigh, NC (normal 7.5") 03-04: 10"- 20"
Richmond, VA (normal 13.8") 03-04: 20"- 30"
Nashville,TN (normal 10") 03-04 10"- 20"
Birmingham, AL (normal 1.5") 03-04 5"- 15"
Topeka, KS (normal 20.7") 03-04: 25"- 30"
Green Bay, WI (normal 47.7") 03-04: 60"- 65"
Tupelo, MS (normal 2.8") 03-04 5"-15"
Lafayette, LA (normal .5") 03-04 1" -10"

[WoodstockWX]

I agree with your thinking that CHICAGO will see above normal snowfall.

[Colin]

AWESOME job man!!!! I agree with most of that stuff... good job!

[JCT777]

Harry - I hope that you are right. It would be nice for my area to get 35"+ of snow this winter.

[GAStorm]

Hey KOW,

How about Atlanta, GA? Normal totals are 2". I think Birmingham, AL is about the same as well. I'm sure bkhusky2 would know the norm there.

[GAStorm]

Looks good!! Thanks KOW!!

[stormraiser]

Ahem, how about the Buffalo area, KOW?

[StormCrazyIowan]

I hope you are right too, we need the extra moisture!!!

2001- 13.5" of snow
2002- 27.7" of snow

Normal is 35", need I say more? We haven't seen but maybe 15" so far for 2003, so we will have to see a lot before the turn of the year to be normal!!

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!!

[Stormsfury]

KOW is REALLY bullish on Charleston, SC, snowfall, this winter. Honestly, I hope that actually verifies but since the records for Charleston are as follows.

Charleston, SC - average snowfall - 0.5" per year

Most snowfall in one storm - 8.0" (December 22nd-24th, 1989)
Most snowfall in the 24 hour period - 6.9" (February 1973)
Most snowfall in a calendar year - 8.9" (1989)

My guess is that KOW is thinking that one blockbuster snowstorm has the potential this winter to form and give the CHS area a nice coastal, sorta reminiscent of the 1989 storm. Just my $0.02.

SF

[StormCrazyIowan]

Well, I hope it happens for ya Mike!

[NJwx15]

KOW is REALLY bullish on Charleston, SC, snowfall, this winter. Honestly, I hope that actually verifies but since the records for Charleston are as follows.

Charleston, SC - average snowfall - 0.5" per year

Most snowfall in one storm - 8.0" (December 22nd-24th, 1989)
Most snowfall in the 24 hour period - 6.9" (February 1973)
Most snowfall in a calendar year - 8.9" (1989)

My guess is that KOW is thinking that one blockbuster snowstorm has the potential this winter to form and give the CHS area a nice coastal, sorta reminiscent of the 1989 storm. Just my $0.02.

SF

Stormsfury, how did you do in Charleston on Jan. 25th 2000??? I know you guys had heavy snow falling at one point

[Stormsfury]

Me too, Jacki. The 1960's were a very wintery time for the state of South Carolina. The 1990's basically couldn't have been more dead for South Carolina winter weather wise.

Based on past climatological data I've seen for Charleston, it seems that a pretty significant snowstorm or winter storm hits CHS on average once every 15 years. These are some of the more significant events (from the CHS snow events page)

The last several are as follows.

1963 - February 26th-27th - most of South Carolina gets hit by a significant ice storm. 1"-2½" of ice north of a line from Anderson, SC to Georgetown, SC.

1964 - New Year's Day - Most of South Carolina hit by a severe icestorm - high winds also accompanied the icestorm with Aiken, Bamberg, Edgefield, Orangeburg, and Anderson counties the hardest hit.

1966 - Double event - within a week with the second being severe.
1/20-22.......Trace of snow over areas of coastal SC.
1/25-27.......Severe ice storm..Dillon to McCormick & southward. Snow accumulations up to 3" in southern SC. Areas north of the line received 3-6" snow.

1968
1/24-25.........Snow across entire state of SC.
2/8................Snow over extreme southern tip SC...1-4" snow from Ridgeland southward.
2/18..............Trace of snow at Ridgeland and Edisto Island.
2/22-25........Up to 6.8" of snow fell across midlands and coastal plains of SC. Greatest amounts in Colleton and Hampton counties.

1970
1/23-24........Snow over all of SC. Trace of snow along the coast.

1973
1/7-9.............A combination of snow and ice spread across all of SC. Trace along south coast to several inches in northern half.
1/11...............Trace of snow at Charleston.
2/8-11...........A record snowstorm dumped up to 2' of snow in the midlands of SC. Amounts ranged from 2-10" along the immediate coast, to 8-15" in the coastal plains. Six foot snow drifts in some areas.
2/18..............Trace at Charleston.
12/17............Snow.Bamberg to Charleston. 1-6" over north central & northeastern SC.


1979
2/6-9.............Snow over most of SC. Trace of snow in eastern portion.
2/12..............Trace of snow at McClellanville.
2/17-19.........Up to 12" of snow in northern SC. Snow, sleet, & freezing rain mixture in central SC. Severe ice damage in Charleston.

(2/17-2/19 was the President's Day Blizzard)

1989
2/23/24.............0.9" snow/frozen precipitation at Charleston Airport.
12/22-24...........Heavy snowfall over Southeast. Northern FL to the Carolinas. 2-5" snow over coastal GA. 4-15" over eastern NC & SC. Most recent major snowstorm for coastal SC/GA.

1993 - March 13th - Superstorm brought a trace of snow to the Lowcountry - light to moderate snow with very high winds fell for 5 hours but only a dusting of accumulations.

1995
11/5..................Ice pellets at Charleston Airport. (Had to include this oddball due to the date and also the surface temperature when the ice pellets fell were in the mid/upper 40's)

2000 - Awesome stuff here .. 1/25 was the Carolina Crusher, the next night was a small upper impulse separate from the Carolina Crusher and for the first time in Charleston history, two snowfall days from two separate storms on back to back nights.

1/25................. 1" snow officially at Charleston International Airport. Big storm for SE and Mid-Atlantic. 1-2" across Charleston and Beaufort areas. Over 12" in parts of the upstate between Greenville-Spartanburg and Charlotte. Up to 20" in Raleigh-Durham, NC. (I picked up 2" of wet snow/sleet/freezing rain - slush basically - before the changeover, there was heavy rain and thunderstorms with temperatures running around 36º)
1/26..................2" snow officially at Charleston International Airport. 1-3" across Charleston, Berkeley and Dorchester counties. Little elsewhere, very localized.. I picked up 3" of heavy snow, most falling in 3 hours. Not bad for a localized impulse that spanned only an area 30 miles by 50 miles.

(Edited after I saw NJwx15's post after compiling these stats). Welcome to the boards, NJwx15, BTW.

More information and satellite loops on the Carolina Crusher can be found HERE ... http://www.stormsfury1.com/Weather/Wint ... CSnow.html

2002
1/2-3................. Trace snow officially at Charleston International Airport.
Significant Freezing Rain Event for Inland Counties northwest of Charleston and Beaufort. 4-8" Snow Accumulation for the Midlands and Upstate.
Visible Satellite Imagery of Snow Cover across the Carolinas from 1/04/02.

[HuffWx]

Hard to guess snow averages so I will pass for now...

Give me until Nov 1 and I will throw my ideas in the ring.

Huff

[IndianaWx]

Here is what I think:

My Location ( Normally 45" ): 55-60" Depending on whether LES is great this year or not.

Break Down:

2 Inch or Less Storms: 5
Significant Storms ( 4-8 ): 3
Major Storms ( 8-12 ): 1
Blockbuster Storms ( 12+ ): 1
Lake Effect Snow: 2

Yes I DO think we will finally get our chance at a 12+ storm this winter season. The last 12 or more inch snow we had was 2000-2001. It dumped around 14-15 inches in 2 systems but since they were so close together, they were considered 1 by most people.

Now Lake Effect Snow could screw up my totals so I am not going to add more inches to my fcst due to LES because it would make it too difficult.

[wx247]

Thanks for the total KOW. One of our local mets has actually predicted 34-38" for us this year. Last year was the 3rd snowiest on record with 44.5".

[StormCrazyIowan]

Last year was one of our least snowiest, 9th I think, not positive though, I forget! You stole all the snow last year Garrett, and I want it back! BTW< I forgot to mention, that was awesome of you to break it down into all our locations KOW!!!

[wx247]

Last year was one of our least snowiest, 9th I think, not positive though, I forget! You stole all the snow last year Garrett, and I want it back! BTW< I forgot to mention, that was awesome of you to break it down into all our locations KOW!!!

You can have it. I want my snows in the 3-6" variety -- not the 13" and 18" ones we had last winter. :o

[StormCrazyIowan]

*sniffle* I think I was in 7th grade the last time we had one of those!! Or at least I was still in high school!!!

[therock1811]

Cincy, OH (rocks Location in N.KY) (normal 26.5) 03-04: 35"- 40"

35"-40"??? I don't know... sounds like you think there's a abig storm or 2 coming here this winter...

[Miss Mary]

Cincy, OH (rocks Location in N.KY) (normal 26.5) 03-04: 35"- 40"

35"-40"??? I don't know... sounds like you think there's a abig storm or 2 coming here this winter...

Hey Jeremy....check out Lexington's forecast!!!

>>Lexington, KY (normal 17.5) 03-04: 30"- 35"<<

That's important info for your area too, if you ask me!!! I've always said it seems like Dayton and/or Lexington/Louisville get more snowfall than Cincy does. Even though KOW has forecasted we may get 5" more than Lexington will. We're in a valley over here and protected. So many times I've read where Dayton or Columbus have inches and we have flurries. That makes sense to me, they're farther north. But Lexington and Louisville? It's not fair if you ask me. You watch Jeremy, you'll get a little more snowfall than I get and you're not that far south of me. Oh well......I still liked the forecast for Cincy KOW....

Mary

PS - I'm still envious of Buffalo's snowfall.....LOL I'm sure folks up there are tired of it. Our next door neighbor was born and raised there. When he shovels his driveway, he dumps all the snow in the street. So when you drive past his driveway/property, you have to drive thru several feet of snow. Every single time he does this (we pile it up on the sides of our driveway, never the street), my husband says - that must how they do it in Buffalo? LOL