Texas Winter 2010-2011

[gpsnowman]

warming trend to continue through the next 7-10 days, warm pacific air to make it's way across the entire country by next weekend.

Nothing on the map as far a another winter event here in NTX till maybe around the 26th, and thats a BIG maybe.

Wow, the 26th. That is an eternity. Maybe we could get some rain showers in between. Outside of snow and ice, this area has had no wet weather at all. Late Feb has had winter for us before but who knows?

[txagwxman]

It's snowing very lightly this morning around lake livingston.... Cool!

little lake effect...

[/quote]
Maybe... sure didn't expect it..


Just asking, how can you get a lake effect flurry off of such a small lake. If that is the case, why don't they get lake effect flurries off of Lake Pontchartrain to the north of New Orleans?? Just curious.[/quote]

There was some lake effect snow in the rio grande valley last week..

Here you go...

Lake effect snow in East Texas?
http://www.kltv.com/Global/story.asp?S=13955338[/quote]

They had lake effect last week on Lake Zapata in extreme S. Texas....NWS Brownsville had a write up about it, and had pictures of the snow cover.

I like the way they misspelled phenomenon.

[jerryh421]

day 12 looks intresting gfs, models def showing a possible patter change once again day 10 day 12 see if this trend continues until the higher res

What about the other models?

[wxman57]

12Z GFS is just showing a passing storm system across the Central to Southern Plains around the 25th of the month, dropping some snow in KS/NE but keeping temps above freezing across most of TX in its wake. Post frontal airmass looks mostly Pacific with a little modified Canadian air.

[South Texas Storms]

Ntxw, with the warming off the Pacific Ocean starting, does that mean El Nino could be returning next winter?

[txagwxman]

ECMWF has a shallow Arctic front into Texas day 10...winter ain't over.

With freezing drizzle/precip Abilene.

[wxman57]

ECMWF has a shallow Arctic front into Texas day 10...winter ain't over.

With freezing drizzle/precip Abilene.

240hr hasn't loaded yet on Penn State's ewall, though the 216hr map is there. Are you looking at that low res shot on the ecmwf model site? From the day 9 panel, it's looking like the main cold may push east rather than south to the Gulf coast. At least, I hope it pushes east rather than south.

[txagwxman]

ECMWF has a shallow Arctic front into Texas day 10...winter ain't over.

With freezing drizzle/precip Abilene.

240hr hasn't loaded yet on Penn State's ewall. Are you looking at that low res shot on the ecmwf model site? From the day 9 panel, it's looking like the main cold may push east rather than south to the Gulf coast.

I get it from somewhere else...

2m temps are 30F Abilene day 10 with precip...it would be a very, very shallow front.

[Portastorm]

ECMWF has a shallow Arctic front into Texas day 10...winter ain't over.

With freezing drizzle/precip Abilene.

240hr hasn't loaded yet on Penn State's ewall. Are you looking at that low res shot on the ecmwf model site? From the day 9 panel, it's looking like the main cold may push east rather than south to the Gulf coast.

I get it from somewhere else...

2m temps are 30F Abilene day 10 with precip...

Psshaw! The Portastorm Weather Center says winter is over south of Fort Hood. The Magic 8-ball said so.

[wxman57]

240 hr is in now. It does look like the main push is east rather than south. 850mb freeze line isn't advancing much south through OK from days 9-10:

[txagwxman]

As a test last night I put a data logging therm inside my head cover for my outdoor faucets:

my actual low temp was 21F, inside the head cover with blankets around it got to 29F!

So it still got to freezing.

[txagwxman]

240 hr is in now. It does look like the main push is east rather than south. 850mb freeze line isn't advancing much south through OK from days 9-10:
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMW ... z/f240.gif

Whatever that is, it will be short-lived.

[Metalicwx220]

Lol snow in phoenix

[wxman57]

Though the Euro does show a front in Texas on the 21st, temps behind it are not very cold. Yeah, 30 in Abilene but only 20 in Amarillo and 15 in northern Kansas with below-zero temps in the Dakotas spreading east into Minnesota. To put that 20 in Amarillo perspective, an air parcel reduced to sea level (Houston) dry-adiabatically from Amarillo's elevation would experience a 20F degree rise. So the 20F low in Amarillo would equate to a 40F deg low in Houston post-frontal (if it makes it to Houston). I believe the factor for Abilene is around +12F to convert Abilene's temperature to a Houston (sea level) temperature.

[Turtle]

Look at the temp departure for Texas!



I can't upload this since ImageShack forces me to register to get the direct link.

[Ntxw]

It's amazing to think how all of that has the opportunity to get wiped out back to average by the end of the month! Shows you how much it takes to get cold in these parts and how easy it is to warm things up.

DFW Airport never got to single digits throughout the entire event(s) but one wouldn't know it if they went through it. Craziest 10 days of winter for me (3 snow/ice events in a week (plus a day) and so many missed school days.

[downsouthman1]

It's amazing to think how all of that has the opportunity to get wiped out back to average by the end of the month! Shows you how much it takes to get cold in these parts and how easy it is to warm things up.

DFW Airport never got to single digits throughout the entire event(s) but one wouldn't know it if they went through it. Craziest 10 days of winter for me (3 snow/ice events in a week (plus a day) and so many missed school days.

Ya. This change of pace feels quite good. We only got to like 39 or so yesterday & I was lamenting how good it felt outside. Today, we're back in the 50s. Tomorrow, 60s. Sunday & for the foreseeable future, 70s. I'm glad. But I'm still looking over my shoulder for Old Man Winter's return with a vengence.

[vbhoutex]

It's amazing to think how all of that has the opportunity to get wiped out back to average by the end of the month! Shows you how much it takes to get cold in these parts and how easy it is to warm things up.

DFW Airport never got to single digits throughout the entire event(s) but one wouldn't know it if they went through it. Craziest 10 days of winter for me (3 snow/ice events in a week (plus a day) and so many missed school days.

Ya. This change of pace feels quite good. We only got to like 39 or so yesterday & I was lamenting how good it felt outside. Today, we're back in the 50s. Tomorrow, 60s. Sunday & for the foreseeable future, 70s. I'm glad. But I'm still looking over my shoulder for Old Man Winter's return with a vengence.

I was thinking the same thing yesterday when we got up to 40F. We're expecting about the same or a little warmer here in Houston. But like you

[Jarodm12]

well i would say, that we should prepare for a very active severe weather season here in texas. which will be alot of fun but i hope no one gets hurt

[wxman57]

well i would say, that we should prepare for a very active severe weather season here in texas. which will be a lot of fun but i hope no one gets hurt

We'll see. Last winter was quite cold on average. This winter has been colder but for shorter periods. There wasn't much of a severe weather season last year in Texas in big part because the western Gulf had been chilled so much during the winter that moisture was severely limited. This year, the western Gulf is even colder than last year. That may limit heat/moisture transfer from the Gulf to TX/OK this spring.