Texas Winter 2025-2026

[wxman22]

Currently 22F here with a windchill of 10F. We're now officially at 12 freezes for the season so far.

[Wthrfan]

If y'all remember, most years before an arctic blast I will post a Troy Dungan weather report from January 1985. You'll see just how cold it was and the huge difference in the way weather was forecasted and presented. If I post it again this season something good is about to happen.

I grew up in Dallas and watched Troy and Harold Taft every night. The reporting and technology (or lack thereof) was markedly different. Harold would still would hand draw his weather maps!

[TomballEd]

If y'all remember, most years before an arctic blast I will post a Troy Dungan weather report from January 1985. You'll see just how cold it was and the huge difference in the way weather was forecasted and presented. If I post it again this season something good is about to happen.

I grew up in Dallas and watched Troy and Harold Taft every night. The reporting and technology (or lack thereof) was markedly different. Harold would still would hand draw his weather maps!

My Dad knew Harold Taft from American Airlines back in the day of Love Field being the big airport.

[Golfisnoteasy75]

Euro also isnt keeping the SE ridge of death permanently locked in for weeks lol, of course this all means nothing if the ensembles dont make any changes, but i do think there were some positive changes in the overnight global mode guidance, mainly for potentially better chances at rain but also a better blocking pattern in the pacific ( - EPO ), beyond christmas

Stratton, I know you don't like hot weather. When you get older, you can't tolerate the cold as much as you used to when you was younger. LC Is trying to be optimistic in his weather america newsletter. I hope he is correct. He is a smart guy

[Wthrfan]

Euro also isnt keeping the SE ridge of death permanently locked in for weeks lol, of course this all means nothing if the ensembles dont make any changes, but i do think there were some positive changes in the overnight global mode guidance, mainly for potentially better chances at rain but also a better blocking pattern in the pacific ( - EPO ), beyond christmas

Stratton, I know you don't like hot weather. When you get older, you can't tolerate the cold as much as you used to when you was younger. LC Is trying to be optimistic in his weather america newsletter. I hope he is correct. He is a smart guy

I call LC the Oracle! I started reading his weekly weather outlooks a few years back and he has been right far more than anyone else I've followed. He has some thinly veiled disdain for the internet/twitter weather types! In his most recent blog, he said don't make assumptions based on the MJO predictions. There might be some cold between Christmas and New Years and then again a week or so after. He believes there will be a "thaw" into mid-January but predicts things will turn cold around the last 1/3 of January lasting possibly through February. We are just going to have to be patient it appears.

[txtwister78]

No question where the chill is being felt across the state this morning. Stuck in the low 50's here but manageable as we avoid the brunt of the arctic air to our NE.

High res models have even backed off on the threat of a freeze locally within the metro.

Big warmup mid week and beyond.

[Stratton23]

Just as i suspected, ensembles are starten to weaken the - PNA and slowly trend back towards neutral, their was never much evidence this pattern was going to stick around long despite the total apocalyptic meltdown on X by weather weenies, yet again models are too aggressive with the Se Ridge in the long range, real shocker, it will be warm on christmas, but this is looking more like a transition pattern than a permanent one, starting to look for big changes around the turn of the new year

[starsfan65]

Just as i suspected, ensembles are starten to weaken the - PNA and slowly trend back towards neutral, their was never much evidence this pattern was going to stick around long despite the total apocalyptic meltdown on X by weather weenies, yet again models are too aggressive with the Se Ridge in the long range, real shocker, it will be warm on christmas, but this is looking more like a transition pattern than a permanent one, starting to look for big changes around the turn of the new year

how warm will it be?

[Stratton23]

Like mid 70’s to near 80 on christmas, but i do not thing this is a pattern that stays locked in for weeks on end, im targeting new years for changes to be underway, and im pretty confident in this

[Iceresistance]

I fell to 15°F this morning, brrrrrr