Texas Winter 2014-2015
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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TheProfessor
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Radar sure seems to be blowing up right now... that lull over the metro is filling in quick with at times heavy precip.
I'm about tired of models anyway... nothing beats a radar.
I'm about tired of models anyway... nothing beats a radar.
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DFW Stormwatcher
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Re: Re:
Ralph's Weather wrote:DFW Stormwatcher wrote:I believe he's looking at 0Z and misinterpreting it as midnight, instead of 6am. Just a hunch, who knows?
29.8 degrees here in south Frisco, few ice pellets hitting the roof as I type. Some media downplaying this in DFW, of course when in doubt always go with Steve McCauley.
Good to be able to log back in, was locked out for a bit during the ice/snow storm last week. So I am frequently a one of the guests here, lol.
0Z is 6PM. on the 20Z HRRR watch the precip dissipate quickly between hours 11 and 12.
Models are all over the place with this storm so all we can do is watch the radar and temps.
right you are, my bad and apologies....I was thinking 12z but that's not what I wrote was it:)
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Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
32.5 here in University Park...
With the temps dropping steadily as the sun sets and the radar filling in nicely... I'd say that we in DFW are right on track for a very significant winter event.
With the temps dropping steadily as the sun sets and the radar filling in nicely... I'd say that we in DFW are right on track for a very significant winter event.
Last edited by brewskymc on Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
345 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015
...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH NOON THURSDAY...
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-014-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-138-051130-
/O.EXT.KSHV.WS.W.0005.150305T0000Z-150305T1800Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-OUACHITA-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-HARRISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO...
SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MINDEN...HOMER...RUSTON...
FARMERVILLE...MONROE...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...
MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...
GILMER...JEFFERSON...MARSHALL
345 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015
...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY...
* EVENT...RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN AND EVENTUALLY
TO SLEET AND SNOW AS COLD AIR DEEPENS OVER THE FOUR STATE
AREA.
* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING HOURS
FOLLOWED BY A TRANSITION TO MIXED SLEET AND SNOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS WILL VARY AROUND ONE QUARTER
WITH AN ISOLATED HALF INCH POSSIBLE FOLLOWED BY SLEET AND OR
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...MAKING DRIVING
CONDITIONS EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
345 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015
...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH NOON THURSDAY...
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-014-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-138-051130-
/O.EXT.KSHV.WS.W.0005.150305T0000Z-150305T1800Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-OUACHITA-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-HARRISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO...
SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MINDEN...HOMER...RUSTON...
FARMERVILLE...MONROE...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...
MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...
GILMER...JEFFERSON...MARSHALL
345 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015
...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY...
* EVENT...RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN AND EVENTUALLY
TO SLEET AND SNOW AS COLD AIR DEEPENS OVER THE FOUR STATE
AREA.
* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING HOURS
FOLLOWED BY A TRANSITION TO MIXED SLEET AND SNOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS WILL VARY AROUND ONE QUARTER
WITH AN ISOLATED HALF INCH POSSIBLE FOLLOWED BY SLEET AND OR
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...MAKING DRIVING
CONDITIONS EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
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Ralph's Weather
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Re: Re:
DFW Stormwatcher wrote:Ralph's Weather wrote:DFW Stormwatcher wrote:I believe he's looking at 0Z and misinterpreting it as midnight, instead of 6am. Just a hunch, who knows?
29.8 degrees here in south Frisco, few ice pellets hitting the roof as I type. Some media downplaying this in DFW, of course when in doubt always go with Steve McCauley.
Good to be able to log back in, was locked out for a bit during the ice/snow storm last week. So I am frequently a one of the guests here, lol.
0Z is 6PM. on the 20Z HRRR watch the precip dissipate quickly between hours 11 and 12.
Models are all over the place with this storm so all we can do is watch the radar and temps.
right you are, my bad and apologies....I was thinking 12z but that's not what I wrote was it:)
No problem, just baffling how temps and precip could work out so horribly for me though the RAP does not look nearly that bad.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Ntxw,
Looks like the radar is depicting either sleet or heavy rain in your neck of the woods... anything to report?
Looks like the radar is depicting either sleet or heavy rain in your neck of the woods... anything to report?
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Tcu101
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Just drove home from mid cities to West Fort Worth. Really heavy downpours with no sleet. Temp gauge on my truck actually rose 2 degrees under heaviest precip .. Must be decent warm nose to get that heavy of a rain with no sleet
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
15z SREF has total QPF for Texarkana at around an inch while temperatures are below freezing.
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Ralph's Weather
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Anyone giving the NAM credence or has everyone lost hope in getting heavy precip?
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Parker_County1
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aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
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Yukon Cornelius
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EWX says this could be the worst event so far this winter and posts a warning but my point forecast says little or no accumulation expected....isn't this inconsistent?
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Any opinions stated are those of an amateur, please take with several grains of salt and for official forecast refer to the National Weather Service.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
For a lull there sure is a lot of precip... 
Freezing rain/sleet here.
Freezing rain/sleet here.
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#neversummer
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TheProfessor
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aggiecutter
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