Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Cpv17]

For the first time in quite awhile, the 12Z Euro Ensemble members look quite interesting day 9-10 Feb 4-5th...I've been following these members for years and just witnessed something I've never witnessed before - one member shows a 1070mb HP dropping into Montana with single digit highs into parts of North Texas Feb 4th. Now, it's just one measly ensemble member but shows the extreme potential this pattern could go towards

That would go right up there with the all-time record cold snaps imagining it has lows below 0. I believe -10 Fahrenheit is the all-time record low in the DFW area recorded in 1899.

[Yukon Cornelius]

We break heat records all of the time, maybe for the very few times we can break a cold record.

[Cpv17]

Hmmm I see the CPC today has shifted the threat east for cold weather. Still think it looks okay for cold in Texas though, but not as good as it looked yesterday.

[Brent]

It'll be 30 years soon since DFW went below zero... Quite a stretch

[Ntxw]

It'll be 30 years soon since DFW went below zero... Quite a stretch

Below zero is still ok I think. The return rate for that is astronomical (1989 was a freak anomaly). Before 1989 you had to go back to 1949 which is a 40 year gap.

Single digits is another story, way behind schedule. That should happen once or twice a decade at least.

But the 2010s have been kinder to DFW than the 2000s where teens were even rare.

[perk]

Hmmm I see the CPC today has shifted the threat east for cold weather. Still think it looks okay for cold in Texas though, but not as good as it looked yesterday.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... ntours.png

Which makes me wonder what will they show a few days from now.

[TheProfessor]

What a great day today, 55 degrees and sunny. It felt great to have a break before the North Pole mounts a counterattack.

[dhweather]

Another Arctic blast will continue helping to cool the Gulf down, in turn, reduces chances of a CAT 5 IN THE GULF!!


I have mixed feelings about this.

[gboudx]

Another Arctic blast will continue helping to cool the Gulf down, in turn, reduces chances of a CAT 5 IN THE GULF!!


I have mixed feelings about this.

Don't despair. 57 will have those Gulf temps pushing 90 by mid-July.

[Ntxw]

18z GFS is a bit slower than the Euro but...is this it? Is this the promised wxman57 storm??? Oh how we hope it is...

[gpsnowman]

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather- ... y/70003968

I don't follow Accuweather much but Google had this as a recommended read on my phone. I am intrigued by the frequency of storms the writer mentions. Just wish the snow line graphic was more south than depicted though it is still quite early obviously.

[lrak]

Speaking of 1989 the Gulf waters were super cold. I remember the Ice Cream headaches as you went under every dark cold wave out to the line up. By the time you got out it took at least 5 min. for the headache to slow. Just imagine sucking down a Sonic slush with no break and then here it COMES OUCH.

In 1989 it was 48 to 50 degrees, we had a small swell a few weeks ago and I only stayed out for about 45 min. The Ice Cream headaches were as bad as 1989's.

Also got the darn flu from that last session, it was fun but not worth a cold or flu Arg.

[Brent]

Winter storm at the very end of the gfs

[bubba hotep]

Winter storm at the very end of the gfs

There are a couple of misses but it finally scores!

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Another Arctic blast will continue helping to cool the Gulf down, in turn, reduces chances of a CAT 5 IN THE GULF!!


I have mixed feelings about this.

Doesn't matter if the gulf is completely frozen over, the gfs and cmc would still show cat 5's destroying major cities along the coast every week

[Tireman4]

Another Arctic blast will continue helping to cool the Gulf down, in turn, reduces chances of a CAT 5 IN THE GULF!!


I have mixed feelings about this.

Doesn't matter if the gulf is completely frozen over, the gfs and cmc would still show cat 5's destroying major cities along the coast every week

CAT 5 IN THE GULF! Would not be Winter without it!

[bubba hotep]

Winter storm at the very end of the gfs

There are a couple of misses but it finally scores!

Surprisingly strong support from the 18z GEFS for some kind of winter wx event across Texas in the longer range.

[bubba hotep]

00z 3k NAM would be nice

[Haris]

EVERYONE NEEDS TO SEE THE 00Z GFS!!!

Edit: Discard this post. The cold misses us

[Hookem5Vac]

WHy!!! ????