Texas Winter 2016-2017

[weatherdude1108]

It's really starting to drop out there and the winds are kicking up, endless summer is over

HRRR visual to get those chestnuts roasting on an open fire going

http://i66.tinypic.com/e81xn6.png

Is that a cat 5 in the Gulf ???

[Ntxw]

It's really starting to drop out there and the winds are kicking up, endless summer is over

HRRR visual to get those chestnuts roasting on an open fire going

http://i66.tinypic.com/e81xn6.png

Is that a cat 5 in the Gulf ???

Of course! but then again 15hours in HRRR world is about the same in GFS 384hrs...years.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I think you guys will see flurries in the Dallas area, looing more and more convincing

[aggiecutter]

Ashdown is about 15 miles NW of Texarkana.

[Brent]

Oh that wind is starting to sting...

Winter has come to DFW

I thought it was never going to get cold for awhile there lol

GFS rolling and Tuesday's arctic front has temperatures dropping from the 60s to the 30s Tuesday afternoon at DFW

Mid 20s already at DFW at 6z Wednesday

Has lows near 20 next Wednesday morning

[ronyan]

It looks like the PV anomaly isn't moving to the east as quickly on the 0z GFS, more direct shot of cold for TX.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Y'all seen the GFS next week?

[Brent]

I wonder if the Euro is gonna drop the hammer at 0z... it's been colder than the GFS in the prior runs

[JayDT]

I think you guys will see flurries in the Dallas area, looing more and more convincing

I sure hope so! It's kind of sad that i would actually be satisfied with flurries at least lol.

[JayDT]

Ohhh man! Im liking the GFS so far! If the Euro comes in even colder.....

[ThunderSleetDreams]

[Brent]

now can we get some moisture lol

[weatherdude1108]

Bring on the freezing drizzle!!

[Ntxw]

Bring on the freezing drizzle!!

KAUS

[ronyan]

Comparison with 18z 150 hr vs 0z 144hr 500mb heights.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Looks like cross polar flow to me. The GFS isnt handling the density of the high well i think, it should be building drastically with that type of pattern. The Low could pull some of the cold air in with it east though. Yeah this run is pretty cold.

[Ntxw]

Comparison with 18z 150 hr vs 0z 144hr 500mb heights.

https://s27.postimg.org/5a4qi9mgz/gfs_z ... mer_26.png

https://s27.postimg.org/oqpg4shkz/gfs_z ... mer_25.png

That ridge bomb in Alaska. Not quite 1983's 580dm+ but 560+ is nothing to sneeze at.

[ronyan]

Looks like cross polar flow to me. The GFS isnt handling the density of the high well i think, it should be building drastically with that type of pattern. The Low could pull some of the cold air in with it east though. Yeah this run is pretty cold.

This run shows a 1050mb high in Colorado driving into TX as 1045mb, not too shabby.

[Ntxw]

That's a McFarland signature, textbook

[Brent]

cold reloading at day 10...

this run has all kinds of potential