Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8932
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6381 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 23, 2022 6:35 pm

orangeblood wrote:
GeauxTigers wrote:So, will NTX be getting any more precip?


Yes, heaviest starting after midnight thru late morning

From NWS-Fort Worth

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1496594515095924738


0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

GeauxTigers
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2018 5:35 pm
Location: Tioga, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6382 Postby GeauxTigers » Wed Feb 23, 2022 6:40 pm

orangeblood wrote:
GeauxTigers wrote:So, will NTX be getting any more precip?


Yes, heaviest starting after midnight thru late morning


Thank u so much! Not wanting power outages or accidents on roadways, but do love any type of winter precip weather & love learning from all the smart people here who are willing to teach & be patient with our questions.
0 likes   

GeauxTigers
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2018 5:35 pm
Location: Tioga, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6383 Postby GeauxTigers » Wed Feb 23, 2022 6:41 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
GeauxTigers wrote:So, will NTX be getting any more precip?


Yes, heaviest starting after midnight thru late morning

From NWS-Fort Worth

https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1496594515095924738?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet


Thank u for sharing that!
2 likes   

User avatar
Haris
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1808
Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6384 Postby Haris » Wed Feb 23, 2022 6:53 pm

Freezing drizzle def increasing coverage now along 35. Seeing increased returns from I10 towards Austin. Also in DFW
3 likes   
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4442
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6385 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Feb 23, 2022 6:57 pm

Haris wrote:Freezing drizzle def increasing coverage now along 35. Seeing increased returns from I10 towards Austin. Also in DFW


Here where I am it’s more of a mist/patchy fog mixed in with some occasional drizzle. Getting really close to freezing here at 34°.
1 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8089
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6386 Postby jasons2k » Wed Feb 23, 2022 7:14 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:And based on those model trends as mentioned above, we now have some Houston NWS counties added to a WWA

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMTuIp7VkAAmPZO?format=jpg&name=medium


It's knocking on Jasons2k's Door, it's only the next county away from The Woodlands, TX.

It also sounds like that Heat Miser's wall has gotten a Huge Leak. :eek:

NWS still calling for a low of 37 here tonight and a low of 38 tomorrow. And we’re supposed to have a baseball game tomorrow. We’ll see….

My weather station is offline but surrounding stations already show 36-37 in the area.
0 likes   

UTSARoadrunner4
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 165
Age: 27
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:19 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6387 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Wed Feb 23, 2022 7:19 pm

Light Freezing Rain has commenced in Northern SA. Been straddling 27-28 Degrees for the past hour. A light glaze is already starting to form on cars and other elevated metal structures. Weather apps are anticipating a sudden 5 degree rise in temperatures overnight. Not banking on it, but is that even possible? Also, I keep seeing this mention of a 2nd Wave, does anyone know where that is at right now?
2 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8932
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6388 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 23, 2022 7:27 pm

Winter Storm Warning out for OKC Metro, but I'm still under the Winter Storm Warning until Thursday Evening, with additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2969
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6389 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 23, 2022 7:35 pm

SHV counties expanding the WWA south.
1 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2969
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6390 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 23, 2022 7:52 pm

Hi Res models trending towards warning level icing from Austin to Waco to Canton to Paris.
0 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2969
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6391 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:01 pm

And there goes FTW with the beginning of a major expansion of warnings which will eventually cover a large swath of the state by morning from Hill Country to Northeast Texas.
1 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 896
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Albany, Texas
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6392 Postby EnnisTx » Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:01 pm

WSW expanded to Johnson and Ellis Counties and to the East a few Counties.
0 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8932
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6393 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:04 pm

EnnisTx wrote:WSW expanded to Johnson and Ellis Counties and to the East a few Counties.

McCurtain County in far SE Oklahoma is now under the Winter Storm Warning
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

cstrunk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 520
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6394 Postby cstrunk » Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:28 pm

The dreaded 33F and cold rain in Longview. SHV doesn't think temps drop much more tonight and may eventually start rising again.
2 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5610
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6395 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:47 pm

How the mighty have fallen. I remember a time when every run of the Euro was taken as gospel on weather boards. Now we don't even mention it...

If anyone was wondering, the 18z run was pretty juiced up.

Image
2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2035
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6396 Postby HockeyTx82 » Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:49 pm

bubba hotep wrote:How the mighty have fallen. I remember a time when every run of the Euro was taken as gospel on weather boards. Now we don't even mention it...

If anyone was wondering, the 18z run was pretty juiced up.

https://i.ibb.co/0fXNmjn/18zEuro.png


I know what you mean by juiced up, but that looks low for DFW, or is that juiced up because that's freezing rain and that's alot?
0 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1085
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6397 Postby txtwister78 » Wed Feb 23, 2022 9:44 pm

Clear that with the latest 0z WRF members in along with NAM/RAP/HRRR that DFW is looking "better" by the hour (in particular Fort Worth) than it was earlier today in terms of additional ice potential tomorrow morning. Definitely not out of the woods completely with those cold surface temps but I have a feeling we might see additional expansion of the WSW further S & SE with time based on model trends.
1 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 730
Joined: Mon Oct 19, 2015 12:06 pm
Location: N. Dallas & Cedar Creek Lake

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6398 Postby Texas Snow » Wed Feb 23, 2022 9:49 pm

txtwister78 wrote:Clear that with the latest 0z WRF members in along with NAM/RAP/HRRR that DFW is looking "better" by the hour (in particular Fort Worth) than it was earlier today in terms of additional ice potential tomorrow morning. Definitely not out of the woods completely with those cold surface temps but I have a feeling we might see additional expansion of the WSW further S & SE with time based on model trends.


Haven’t had a chance to look yet. Is that due to more sleet to west vs freezing rain or less qpf to the west?
1 likes   
"Don't let wishcastin get in the way of your forecastin"

Image

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6399 Postby orangeblood » Wed Feb 23, 2022 9:55 pm

txtwister78 wrote:Clear that with the latest 0z WRF members in along with NAM/RAP/HRRR that DFW is looking "better" by the hour (in particular Fort Worth) than it was earlier today in terms of additional ice potential tomorrow morning. Definitely not out of the woods completely with those cold surface temps but I have a feeling we might see additional expansion of the WSW further S & SE with time based on model trends.


Yep, system is a lot weaker than progged….cold is picking more of a punch but QPF is dwindling by the hour
0 likes   

User avatar
Haris
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1808
Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6400 Postby Haris » Wed Feb 23, 2022 9:56 pm

orangeblood wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:Clear that with the latest 0z WRF members in along with NAM/RAP/HRRR that DFW is looking "better" by the hour (in particular Fort Worth) than it was earlier today in terms of additional ice potential tomorrow morning. Definitely not out of the woods completely with those cold surface temps but I have a feeling we might see additional expansion of the WSW further S & SE with time based on model trends.


Yep, system is a lot weaker than progged….cold is picking more of a punch but QPF is dwindling by the hour


Yea the drizzle even in Austin is not surviving.
0 likes   
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests