Texas Winter 2022-2023

[wxman57]

Ah, a February "death ridge". Maybe it'll be like 1986 when we hit 90s in late February? I remember that winter well. Warm and dry with such a warm February. Perfect winter!

[bubba hotep]

Euro Weeklies point towards a cool, wet March, esp. the 2nd half and into April.

[Gotwood]

Ah, a February "death ridge". Maybe it'll be like 1986 when we hit 90s in late February? I remember that winter well. Warm and dry with such a warm February. Perfect winter!

Don’t put that evil on us lol.

[Yukon Cornelius]

I mean... Come on! We can't get cold into Texas with that sitting over the Northern Rockies?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps-fast/2023021612/eps-fast_T850a_namer_8.png

Historically, doesn’t the arctic cold usually win out with the SE ridge?

[Ntxw]

I mean... Come on! We can't get cold into Texas with that sitting over the Northern Rockies?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps-fast/2023021612/eps-fast_T850a_namer_8.png

Historically, doesn’t the arctic cold usually win out with the SE ridge?

They will likely trend somewhat colder (this is beyond 144 hours) if the depiction of near 1050hp or greater is sitting in the northern plains. It's not often a bulldozer high sits up there and it's shorts weather.

At the same time though the west coast trough needs to be a little more south and few hundred miles more east, that will drain some of the surface cold.

[Brent]

I will say it was cold today here never saw us above 35 and the wind picked back up

[orangeblood]

I mean... Come on! We can't get cold into Texas with that sitting over the Northern Rockies?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps-fast/2023021612/eps-fast_T850a_namer_8.png

Historically, doesn’t the arctic cold usually win out with the SE ridge?

They will likely trend somewhat colder (this is beyond 144 hours) if the depiction of near 1050hp or greater is sitting in the northern plains. It's not often a bulldozer high sits up there and it's shorts weather.

At the same time though the west coast trough needs to be a little more south and few hundred miles more east, that will drain some of the surface cold.

https://i.imgur.com/Rty5qBj.gif

Negative EPO too weak and short duration to make any meaningful push into Texas. Combined with positive AO, wasted Arctic HP. At least we cashed-in on a couple this winter!!!

[South Texas Storms]

Looks like our threat for frozen precip this winter is quickly diminishing. I could still see a freeze possibly occurring down to the IH-10 corridor over the next few weeks, but winter is likely just about over for us.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Looks like our threat for frozen precip this winter is quickly diminishing. I could still see a freeze possibly occurring down to the IH-10 corridor over the next few weeks, but winter is likely just about over for us.

What a depressing statement.

[Iceresistance]

Historically, doesn’t the arctic cold usually win out with the SE ridge?

They will likely trend somewhat colder (this is beyond 144 hours) if the depiction of near 1050hp or greater is sitting in the northern plains. It's not often a bulldozer high sits up there and it's shorts weather.

At the same time though the west coast trough needs to be a little more south and few hundred miles more east, that will drain some of the surface cold.

https://i.imgur.com/Rty5qBj.gif

Negative EPO too weak and short duration to make any meaningful push into Texas. Combined with positive AO, wasted Arctic HP. At least we cashed-in on a couple this winter!!!

I think the thing that denied most of the cold here is the SE Ridge...

[bubba hotep]

Historically, doesn’t the arctic cold usually win out with the SE ridge?

They will likely trend somewhat colder (this is beyond 144 hours) if the depiction of near 1050hp or greater is sitting in the northern plains. It's not often a bulldozer high sits up there and it's shorts weather.

At the same time though the west coast trough needs to be a little more south and few hundred miles more east, that will drain some of the surface cold.

https://i.imgur.com/Rty5qBj.gif

Negative EPO too weak and short duration to make any meaningful push into Texas. Combined with positive AO, wasted Arctic HP. At least we cashed-in on a couple this winter!!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/oscillation/ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg/epo/box/1676592000-rpn0B04ExKQgrb2.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/oscillation/ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg/ao/box/1676592000-YMdIwT54g2Egrb2.png

-NAO that I talked about a few days ago is finally starting to show up in modeling. Then the Euro Weeklies also take the AO & WPO negative in March. The only thing holding back an Epic March is the EPO. I think we will get an EPO push and we should see 1-2 weeks of legit winter wx in March.

[Brent]

People are starting to cancel winter here so maybe that will help get things moving

[Iceresistance]

People are starting to cancel winter here so maybe that will help get things moving

Just wait until March...

[Brent]

People are starting to cancel winter here so maybe that will help get things moving

Just wait until March...

Yeah exactly. I don't for a second believe its over here. Heck it was 21 at the airport this morning. People are talking about spring stuff blooming already

[orangeblood]

They will likely trend somewhat colder (this is beyond 144 hours) if the depiction of near 1050hp or greater is sitting in the northern plains. It's not often a bulldozer high sits up there and it's shorts weather.

At the same time though the west coast trough needs to be a little more south and few hundred miles more east, that will drain some of the surface cold.

https://i.imgur.com/Rty5qBj.gif

Negative EPO too weak and short duration to make any meaningful push into Texas. Combined with positive AO, wasted Arctic HP. At least we cashed-in on a couple this winter!!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/oscillation/ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg/epo/box/1676592000-rpn0B04ExKQgrb2.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/oscillation/ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg/ao/box/1676592000-YMdIwT54g2Egrb2.png

I think the thing that denied most of the cold here is the SE Ridge...

Strong - EPO, with some help from -AO, can overtake that Ridge…saw it in December and just a few weeks ago.

[weatherdude1108]

Looks like our threat for frozen precip this winter is quickly diminishing. I could still see a freeze possibly occurring down to the IH-10 corridor over the next few weeks, but winter is likely just about over for us.

What a depressing statement.

Yeah but, down here, we had a couple of strong events. The first one right before Christmas with the pipe-busting cold down to 13 at my house. Then the ice machine went crazy with the constant freezing light rain/mist/drizzle, with a couple of moderate to heavy freezing rain episodes thrown in, which created the ARBORGEDDON down here with more downed limbs and whole trees than I can count.

I think I'm good with Winter being over at this point, at least that kind of Winter.

But I'm good with a few more upper 20s to low 30s light freeze before we call it quits.

[bubba hotep]

[aggiecutter]

2 years ago this week:

TEXARKANA - Texarkana received between 18 to 20 inches of snow during last week's two winter storms with some locations just northeast of the city receiving between 20 and 22 inches.

The official snow accumulations were included in a weather summary released by the National Weather Service in Shreveport, Louisiana.

Portions of Texarkana received about 10 inches during the first storm. Areas in Texarkana, Arkansas, along with Fouke, Arkansas, received more than eight inches during the second storm and Texarkana, Texas, received 10.5 inches, according to the summary.

The air mass was one of the coldest air masses to ever reach the region and, for some locations, it was the coldest ever.

[Yukon Cornelius]

People are starting to cancel winter here so maybe that will help get things moving

Just wait until March...

Yeah exactly. I don't for a second believe its over here. Heck it was 21 at the airport this morning. People are talking about spring stuff blooming already

It was 21 here this morning as well. Stuff blooming? Where? Not around here.

[Cpv17]

2 years ago this week:

TEXARKANA - Texarkana received between 18 to 20 inches of snow during last week's two winter storms with some locations just northeast of the city receiving between 20 and 22 inches.

The official snow accumulations were included in a weather summary released by the National Weather Service in Shreveport, Louisiana.

Portions of Texarkana received about 10 inches during the first storm. Areas in Texarkana, Arkansas, along with Fouke, Arkansas, received more than eight inches during the second storm and Texarkana, Texas, received 10.5 inches, according to the summary.

The air mass was one of the coldest air masses to ever reach the region and, for some locations, it was the coldest ever.

Texarkana gets the most exciting weather in Texas pretty much every year.