![Image](http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/extremeweatherguy/GFS_3_2010022112_F144_SNOWIN_SURFAC.png)
And the second system arrives in about 7-8 days:
![Image](http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/extremeweatherguy/GFS_3_2010022112_F192_SNOWIN_SURFAC.png)
![Image](http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/extremeweatherguy/GFS_3_2010022112_F204_SNOWIN_SURFAC.png)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
A BRIEF RESPITE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY BEFORE THE FIRST OF WHAT NOW
LOOKS LIKE THREE MORE SYSTEMS APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WE WILL KEEP POPS IN THE W AND S... BUT LATEST TRENDS SUGGEST THIS
ONE MAY STAY MOSTLY TO OUR S. ANOTHER WAVE SWINGS THROUGH THU-FRI
AND IS STRONGER ON THE LATEST MED-RANGE MODELS. WE WILL SPREAD LOW
POPS AREAWIDE FOR THIS ONE. THE THIRD ONE MAY BE THE WORST OF THE
LOT AND SHOULD AFFECT US OVER THE WEEKEND. FOR NOW WE WILL FAVOR THE
DEEPER AND SLOWER ECMWF OVER THE GFS... THUS KEEPING POPS BELOW 20
PCT UNTIL AFTER SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY WE MAY BE LOOKING AT ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IN PARTS OF THE AREA IF IT REMAINS COLD
ENOUGH... OR HEAVY RAIN IF IT DOESN`T. OR BOTH. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT THIS ONE APPEARS TO HAVE THE MAKINGS OF ANOTHER MAJOR
WINTER STORM FOR PARTS OF THE EAST DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF MARCH.
THIRD SYSTEM ARRIVES LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONCE AGAIN
IT LOOKS LIKE A RACE BETWEEN THE BEST LIFT AND THE COOLER AIR...
AND THE QUESTION IS WHETHER THEY WILL JUXTAPOSE. THIS TIME IT
LOOKS LIKE THE COLD AIR EVENTUALLY WILL ARRIVE IN TIME FOR A
CHANGEOVER... AND THUS A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW. WE WILL RUN CHANCE
POPS ALL AREAS SUNDAY-MONDAY AND GO WITH RAIN OR SNOW ACROSS MOST
OF CENTRAL/N OK AFTER SUNDAY. ECMWF DEPICTS AN EVOLUTION WITH SOME
CLASSIC CHARACTERISTICS OF HEAVY SNOW EVENTS IN OK. STILL A LONG
WAY OUT... BUT ONE WEEK FROM TODAY IS MARCH 1 AND SO MARCH MADNESS
COULD BEGIN IN CLASSIC FORM.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
541 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010
.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN UNCERTAINTIES IN THIS SET OF TAFS IS THE EXTENT OF THE
SNOW... AND THE MVFR-LEVEL CLOUDS. THE CLOUDS WILL LIKELY COME AND
GO OVERNIGHT... AND WILL BE VERY HARD TO PREDICT ACCURATELY. SNOW
NOW OVER THE PANHANDLES WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST... AND MAY AFFECT A
FEW SITES... SUCH AS KGAG AND EVEN KOKC/KOUN... THAT DO NOT HAVE
-SN MENTIONED IN THE TAF. IF SNOW DOES OCCUR AT THESE SITES... IT
COULD START AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING AT KGAG... AND AROUND SUNRISE
AT KOKC AND VICINITY. VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE MVFR
CATEGORY AT THESE SITES.
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