Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5098
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#521 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:21 am

Ntxw wrote:Look at what the GFS has been doing. Oklahoma is gonna be a freeze box for a couple of days. This is not LaLaland this is later this week that's had some substantial changes.

https://i.imgur.com/Gbhmwsr.gif

https://i.imgur.com/uC2Qrp0.png


That’s gonna be insanely cold for Iowa, holy crap.
1 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22973
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#522 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:28 am

Another cold 1045mb+ high coming down behind it, same trajectory. The dome of cold is centered in Chicago but expansive enough I think warm ups will be muted or shortened followed by below normal, again the closer you are to that center of cold gravity. -WPO.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38323
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#523 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:29 am

GFS suddenly has freezing temps to the coast :spam: :lol: single digits just east of me :eek:
1 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22973
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#524 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:31 am

If you remember the first cold wave in mid November it was similar path as these coming waves, so I guess we did get shown the hand early. So temps/anomalies a little colder than that given date.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22973
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#525 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:34 am

Brent wrote:GFS suddenly has freezing temps to the coast :spam: :lol: single digits just east of me :eek:


It's also getting into the true medium range (144 or less is my metric) so there's still plenty of time changes to occur.
2 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38323
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#526 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:34 am

There's a clear trend towards Texas if you run the loop

Still a week out who knows it could be over us by then :lol:
2 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22973
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#527 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 06, 2025 11:36 am

Brent wrote:There's a clear trend towards Texas if you run the loop

Still a week out who knows it could be over us by then :lol:


Dry, but having a 1040mb+ overhead is ideal for radiational cooling. Also relative to averages that's pretty decent amount of cold, it's likely to outdo the positive anomalies for sure. It's late December when you see the extreme numbers from the blasts of the past.
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Stratton23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2974
Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
Location: Katy, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#528 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Dec 06, 2025 12:03 pm

Even in the long range the GFS has trended colder, also looks like a complete split of the PV on the GFS
1 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Harp.1, Stratton23 and 63 guests