Texas Winter 2016-2017

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BrokenGlassRepublicn
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4441 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:59 pm

I just moved my palms and ferns back to the patio and have a few spring bulbs I'm going to plant today. Angling for a reverse jinx that has me hauling things to the garage as winter's last gasp drives through NoTx.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4442 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Feb 07, 2017 10:32 pm

The cold is coming back folks for the end of the month. :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4443 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:55 pm

The 12z Euro run today cut way back on any Texas rain event but the Euro EPS really didn't support that shift. However, the 00z GFS keeps beating the drum:

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4444 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 08, 2017 2:06 am

Has DFW really not had a freeze since January 8th? The day after it was 14 degrees? Am I hallucinating? :lol: All I see on weather underground since is some 33's...

It just can't be over... there's like no way. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4445 Postby GalvestonWXGeek » Wed Feb 08, 2017 5:12 am

Texas Snowman wrote:@NWSHouston - Galveston has reached 80 today. This is the earliest 80 degree day for Galveston on record, breaking the prev record of Feb 21 back in 1993.


Oh yes....and it was very nice!! Gotta admit, I'm getting accustomed to the warmth!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4446 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 08, 2017 7:55 am

GalvestonWXGeek wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:@NWSHouston - Galveston has reached 80 today. This is the earliest 80 degree day for Galveston on record, breaking the prev record of Feb 21 back in 1993.


Oh yes....and it was very nice!! Gotta admit, I'm getting accustomed to the warmth!!




Oh you will just love today. Even warmer. 88 for IAH...ughh. ..
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4447 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Feb 08, 2017 8:34 am

Another day of record high temps across SE TX with mid to upper 80s. Expect daily record highs to be surpassed today and could approach all time February highs at Intercontinental and Hobby this afternoon.

IAH all time Feb high is 91F set in 1986
HOU all time Feb high is 89 set in 1940

Areas of dense fog along the Upper TX Coast will lift later this morning. Tonight's cool front will drop high temps down a little into the low to mid 70s for the rest of the week but remain above normal. Temps warm again for the weekend with increasing moisture off the GOM leading to some showers.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4448 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Wed Feb 08, 2017 8:56 am

I hate SE Texas :grr:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4449 Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 08, 2017 9:32 am

My cold-mongering coworker is conspiring with South Texas Storms to bring some cold Canadian air down here later this month. I'm still not seeing it. Three weeks ago, that cold was going to arrive the first week of February. Hmm, 86 was a little chilly yesterday...
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4450 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Feb 08, 2017 9:35 am

Brent wrote:Has DFW really not had a freeze since January 8th? The day after it was 14 degrees? Am I hallucinating? :lol: All I see on weather underground since is some 33's...

It just can't be over... there's like no way. :lol:



Yep, the last official freeze recorded at DFW airport was Jan 8th, 20 degrees. We hit 33 for a low on the 26th and 27th....sucks.. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4451 Postby Portastorm » Wed Feb 08, 2017 10:29 am

wxman57 wrote:My cold-mongering coworker is conspiring with South Texas Storms to bring some cold Canadian air down here later this month. I'm still not seeing it. Three weeks ago, that cold was going to arrive the first week of February. Hmm, 86 was a little chilly yesterday...


Any chance we could collect some funds and send you and the missus away for a nice two-week vacation to end February?! :cheesy:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4452 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:46 am

We can all look enviously at the northeast corridor who will get dumped on yet again. Seems like every year good or bad they always get a major snowstorm. While we stare at brown ground. Did I mention how much I dislike the +PNA pattern :roll: ?
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4453 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Feb 08, 2017 12:36 pm

Portastorm wrote:
wxman57 wrote:My cold-mongering coworker is conspiring with South Texas Storms to bring some cold Canadian air down here later this month. I'm still not seeing it. Three weeks ago, that cold was going to arrive the first week of February. Hmm, 86 was a little chilly yesterday...


Any chance we could collect some funds and send you and the missus away for a nice two-week vacation to end February?! :cheesy:


He's leaving for a few days next week so our cold-mongering coworker and I will be taking back the thermometer for a few days!

The latest 12z GFS run shows that :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4454 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:32 pm

wxman57 wrote:My cold-mongering coworker is conspiring with South Texas Storms to bring some cold Canadian air down here later this month. I'm still not seeing it. Three weeks ago, that cold was going to arrive the first week of February. Hmm, 86 was a little chilly yesterday...


Ahh man here he goes. I swear..I swear if we see a summer like 2011...dadgum heck fire..I hate to curse on this family program, but gosh dang it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4455 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:33 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
wxman57 wrote:My cold-mongering coworker is conspiring with South Texas Storms to bring some cold Canadian air down here later this month. I'm still not seeing it. Three weeks ago, that cold was going to arrive the first week of February. Hmm, 86 was a little chilly yesterday...


Any chance we could collect some funds and send you and the missus away for a nice two-week vacation to end February?! :cheesy:


He's leaving for a few days next week so our cold-mongering coworker and I will be taking back the thermometer for a few days!

The latest 12z GFS run shows that :wink:


Is the 12z GFS posted?
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4456 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:33 pm

Ntxw wrote:We can all look enviously at the northeast corridor who will get dumped on yet again. Seems like every year good or bad they always get a major snowstorm. While we stare at brown ground. Did I mention how much I dislike the +PNA pattern :roll: ?


It hurts even more here knowing you're so close, yet so far away.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4457 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:46 pm

TheProfessor wrote:
Ntxw wrote:We can all look enviously at the northeast corridor who will get dumped on yet again. Seems like every year good or bad they always get a major snowstorm. While we stare at brown ground. Did I mention how much I dislike the +PNA pattern :roll: ?


It hurts even more here knowing you're so close, yet so far away.


I feel for you. Snowfall rates will be ripping in the I-95 corridor.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4458 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 08, 2017 2:53 pm

bubba hotep wrote:It is getting harder and harder to deny this current MJO propagation and that probably puts a nail in N. Texas February cold. There will likely still be a shot of cold between the 7 - 10th but ultimately the warmth will rule. We needed the MJO to fizzle and for non MJO convection to linger over portions of the IO. The current MJO looks to kick off the process of extending the Pacific jet and all the joys that go along with it.

On the bright side, this possibly signals the end of la nina and more MJO action to follow. If the +PDO and +QBO continue then Texas might see an exciting spring and then avoid the typical la nina summer hangover.



Right on schedule but an embarrassment of a "cold" front...

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4459 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 08, 2017 3:05 pm

The 12z Euro flipped back to wetter look with portions of N . Texas getting 2-3" more rain than the last couple of runs.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4460 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 08, 2017 3:11 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:It is getting harder and harder to deny this current MJO propagation and that probably puts a nail in N. Texas February cold. There will likely still be a shot of cold between the 7 - 10th but ultimately the warmth will rule. We needed the MJO to fizzle and for non MJO convection to linger over portions of the IO. The current MJO looks to kick off the process of extending the Pacific jet and all the joys that go along with it.

On the bright side, this possibly signals the end of la nina and more MJO action to follow. If the +PDO and +QBO continue then Texas might see an exciting spring and then avoid the typical la nina summer hangover.



Right on schedule but an embarrassment of a "cold" front...

Cold Front? Cold Front? Back in my day, this was a windshift...LOL
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