Texas Winter 2025-2026

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Tammie
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4221 Postby Tammie » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:35 am

The front just cleared Sherman!
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Tammie - Sherman TX

rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4222 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:37 am

I haven't even been watching radar and just realized my station at home has recorded .13 so already the most rain since Dec. 1. Lol.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4223 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:39 am

Stratton23 wrote:Now next weekend really has my attention despite this storm being impactful , oh boy GFS and CMC…..


Let's go!

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

TomballEd
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4224 Postby TomballEd » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:44 am

HEB area NWS has less than a tenth, followed by 2 up to .2, followed by less than a tenth. Bedford, TX could get over 4 tenths per NWS.

3km NAM gets frozen precip really close to Houston. Will have to keep an eye on temps.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4225 Postby Harp.1 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:44 am

Enjoy your snow folks! Next weekend is OUR turn!! lol!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4226 Postby DonWrk » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:47 am

So are we believing these temps from the gfs that’s been consistently showing at or below freezing for dang near 6-10 days for parts or north Texas?
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4227 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:49 am

bubba hotep wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Now next weekend really has my attention despite this storm being impactful , oh boy GFS and CMC…..


Let's go!

https://m1l.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2026012312/237/snku_acc-imp.us_sc.png



No big deal, Montgomery, AL checking in with 38 inches of snow. :double:
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#NeverSummer

I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4228 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:49 am

rwfromkansas wrote:I haven't even been watching radar and just realized my station at home has recorded .13 so already the most rain since Dec. 1. Lol.

Seriously, I went to a packed Kroger and drove home in the most rain I've seen in months.
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mmmmsnouts
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4229 Postby mmmmsnouts » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:50 am

bubba hotep wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Now next weekend really has my attention despite this storm being impactful , oh boy GFS and CMC…..


Let's go!

Image


38 inches of snow in the middle of Alabama, that is hilarious. :lol:
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4230 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:51 am

DonWrk wrote:So are we believing these temps from the gfs that’s been consistently showing at or below freezing for dang near 6-10 days for parts or north Texas?


With a good "sleet pack", fresh Arctic HPs every few days and no significant west/southwest winds to really warm things up...I think it looks realistic. This will rival 2021 for parts of the state, just different dynamics
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4231 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:53 am

Wow, this CMC upper level chart looks phenomenal for late next week...can't draw it up much better for a Texas Snow Storm!!! GFS similar as well

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4232 Postby txtwister78 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:54 am

Pretty bullish signal coming from the CMC 7 days out.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4233 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:54 am

All these road treatments being washed away...
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4234 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:59 am

Ntxw wrote:All these road treatments being washed away...

Those are ridiculous and ineffective in my opinion. If the ice and cold are there, nothing will stop frozen roads. It's just something for the cities and the local news to report.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4235 Postby WacoWx » Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:59 am

WacoWx wrote:Hourly temp forecast for Dallas via weather.com. This is my benchmark for temp watching throughout the day.

At 8a 1/23/26:
9a 50°
10a 49
11a 50 Actual = 47.1°
12p 49
1p 48
2p 47
3p 46
4p 43
5p 41
6p 40°
7p 38
8p 37
9p 37
10p 36
11p 36
12a 35
1:00a 34
2a 33
3a 32
4a 32
5a 31
6a 30°
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4236 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:00 pm

txtwister78 wrote:Pretty bullish signal coming from the CMC 7 days out.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gem-all/conus/instant_ptype/1769169600/1769839200-hqjqkCMl4pc.png


AIGFS is a match, different pressure chart but upper levels look great!!! :double:
Image
Last edited by orangeblood on Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4237 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:09 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:All these road treatments being washed away...

Those are ridiculous and ineffective in my opinion. If the ice and cold are there, nothing will stop frozen roads. It's just something for the cities and the local news to report.


Kansas seemed to be more effective since they used sand and salt (it helped that nearby my hometown there was one of the biggest salt mines in the country). That stuff wasn't as prone to leaving it seems as the liquid.

I may have to see if we can move our spa delivery to Thursday, but they wanted a few days to dry out the ground. But the snow potential on Friday is....interesting. I would love it since this will be more sleet though.
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gboudx
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4238 Postby gboudx » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:19 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:All these road treatments being washed away...

Those are ridiculous and ineffective in my opinion. If the ice and cold are there, nothing will stop frozen roads. It's just something for the cities and the local news to report.


I suspect it's used, at least in part, due to liability and threats of litigation if they did nothing.
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downsouthman1
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4239 Postby downsouthman1 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:28 pm

Only a handful of Texas counties are currently not under some sort of winter weather alerts.
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4240 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:31 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:I haven't even been watching radar and just realized my station at home has recorded .13 so already the most rain since Dec. 1. Lol.

Seriously, I went to a packed Kroger and drove home in the most rain I've seen in months.


Hopefully this snow/ice melt will make a nice dent in the drought that was becoming a bit alarming up here. Kill the weeds and the drought in one swoop
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