My latest (hoping my laundry room and shed don't flood out again)
Today Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Southwest wind around 9 mph.
Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday Rain, snow, and sleet likely before 4pm, then rain, possibly mixed with sleet. High near 40. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday Night Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 40. East wind around 6 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Rain. High near 45. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Night A chance of rain and snow showers before 11pm, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thanksgiving Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 33.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
tomboudreau
- Category 5
- Posts: 1869
- Age: 48
- Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2003 6:07 pm
- Location: Carnegie, PA
- Contact:
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
At home:
Today A chance of rain, snow, and sleet before 3pm, then rain and sleet. High near 38. South wind around 6 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tonight Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 48 by 5am. East wind 5 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to near 50 by 8am, then falling to around 40 during the remainder of the day. Southwest wind 7 to 16 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Night Rain and snow showers likely before 1am, then a slight chance of snow showers between 1am and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Blustery, with a west wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thanksgiving Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Breezy, with a northwest wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Today A chance of rain, snow, and sleet before 3pm, then rain and sleet. High near 38. South wind around 6 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tonight Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 48 by 5am. East wind 5 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to near 50 by 8am, then falling to around 40 during the remainder of the day. Southwest wind 7 to 16 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Night Rain and snow showers likely before 1am, then a slight chance of snow showers between 1am and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Blustery, with a west wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thanksgiving Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Breezy, with a northwest wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
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tomboudreau
- Category 5
- Posts: 1869
- Age: 48
- Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2003 6:07 pm
- Location: Carnegie, PA
- Contact:
Already have about 3 inches of snow on the ground. All accumulation is on grassy surfaces. Looks like we will mix with rain/sleet/freezing rain this afternoon and go back over to all snow this evening with heavy snow. Between 5 and 9 inches when all said and done out of this system.
Pittsburgh is currently standing at 6 inches of snow for the month of November, which is 10th snowiest all time. This snow will no doubt push us into the top 5 all time. Probably won't come to the snowiest November ever as that happened in 1950 when 32.3 inches fell.
Pittsburgh is currently standing at 6 inches of snow for the month of November, which is 10th snowiest all time. This snow will no doubt push us into the top 5 all time. Probably won't come to the snowiest November ever as that happened in 1950 when 32.3 inches fell.
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
WGUS61 KPHI 262043
FFAPHI
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
...A STRONG NOR'EASTER WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
DEZ001-NJZ008>010-012-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-270930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0003.131127T0000Z-131127T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
343 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN...
GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...SALEM AND SOMERSET. IN SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN
MONTGOMERY...LOWER BUCKS...PHILADELPHIA...UPPER BUCKS...
WESTERN CHESTER AND WESTERN MONTGOMERY.
* FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* HEAVY RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN AXIS POSITIONING ITSELF
ACROSS THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES,
WITH HIGHER ISOLATED AMOUNTS, ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS RAINFALL MAY FALL WITHIN A 12 HOUR TIME PERIOD
CAUSING POOR DRAINAGE AND NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS TO FLOOD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
&&
FFAPHI
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
...A STRONG NOR'EASTER WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
DEZ001-NJZ008>010-012-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-270930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0003.131127T0000Z-131127T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
343 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN...
GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...SALEM AND SOMERSET. IN SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN
MONTGOMERY...LOWER BUCKS...PHILADELPHIA...UPPER BUCKS...
WESTERN CHESTER AND WESTERN MONTGOMERY.
* FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* HEAVY RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN AXIS POSITIONING ITSELF
ACROSS THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES,
WITH HIGHER ISOLATED AMOUNTS, ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS RAINFALL MAY FALL WITHIN A 12 HOUR TIME PERIOD
CAUSING POOR DRAINAGE AND NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS TO FLOOD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
&&
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tomboudreau
- Category 5
- Posts: 1869
- Age: 48
- Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2003 6:07 pm
- Location: Carnegie, PA
- Contact:
Snow mixed with and changed to rain yesterday afternoon and the rain came down moderately to occasionally heavy. A lot of the snow that accumulated on the ground melted during this. As the rain was changing back to the snow last night, the dry slot moved in, cutting off a lot of the precipitation. This morning, some more light snow has developed. We picked up about 3 and 4 inches of snow, but its hard to tell that because of the rain. If we had stayed all rain, we could probably be up around 8 to 10 inches on the ground. I dumped 1.02 inches of water out of the rain gauge from yesterday. Either the models didn't pick up on the dry slot or that was totally ignored for the forecast. Looks like its going to be a cold Thanksgiving with some lake effect snow flurries flying around. Areas to the north, up along and north of I-80 would appear to be under the gun for some significant lake effect snows if the winds align correctly. Earlier this week, some areas up there go close to 20 inches of snow from the lake effect machine. SOOOOO glad to not live up there anymore.
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Looks like big changes coming my way this weekend:
This Afternoon Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. West wind 3 to 5 mph.
Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind.
Wednesday A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday A chance of rain, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 52. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Sunday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
This Afternoon Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. West wind 3 to 5 mph.
Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind.
Wednesday A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday A chance of rain, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 52. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Sunday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Looks like wet stuff is going to start tonight but not the snow
Today Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Tonight A chance of drizzle, then a chance of rain or drizzle after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 45. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday A chance of drizzle, then a chance of rain, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 54. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Night Rain likely before 2am, then rain and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 42.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Sunday A chance of rain, snow, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night Rain, snow, and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Today Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Tonight A chance of drizzle, then a chance of rain or drizzle after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 45. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday A chance of drizzle, then a chance of rain, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 54. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Night Rain likely before 2am, then rain and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 42.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Sunday A chance of rain, snow, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night Rain, snow, and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Air Quality Alert
PAZ070-071-101>106-050500-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-WESTERN
MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 3 2013
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 4...
THE DELAWARE VALLEY REGIONAL PLANNING COMMISSION HAS ISSUED A
CODE ORANGE AIR QUALITY ALERT WEDNESDAY FOR THE PHILADELPHIA
METRO AREA.
A CODE ORANGE AIR QUALITY ALERT MEANS THAT AIR POLLUTION
CONCENTRATIONS WITHIN THE REGION MAY BECOME UNHEALTHY FOR
SENSITIVE GROUPS. SENSITIVE GROUPS INCLUDE CHILDREN...PEOPLE
SUFFERING FROM ASTHMA... HEART DISEASE OR OTHER LUNG
DISEASES...AND THE ELDERLY. THE EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION CAN
BE MINIMIZED BY AVOIDING STRENUOUS ACTIVITY OR EXERCISE OUTDOORS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON GROUND-LEVEL OZONE AND FINE
PARTICLES...VISIT http://WWW.AIRNOW.GOV.
$$
PAZ070-071-101>106-050500-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-WESTERN
MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 3 2013
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 4...
THE DELAWARE VALLEY REGIONAL PLANNING COMMISSION HAS ISSUED A
CODE ORANGE AIR QUALITY ALERT WEDNESDAY FOR THE PHILADELPHIA
METRO AREA.
A CODE ORANGE AIR QUALITY ALERT MEANS THAT AIR POLLUTION
CONCENTRATIONS WITHIN THE REGION MAY BECOME UNHEALTHY FOR
SENSITIVE GROUPS. SENSITIVE GROUPS INCLUDE CHILDREN...PEOPLE
SUFFERING FROM ASTHMA... HEART DISEASE OR OTHER LUNG
DISEASES...AND THE ELDERLY. THE EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION CAN
BE MINIMIZED BY AVOIDING STRENUOUS ACTIVITY OR EXERCISE OUTDOORS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON GROUND-LEVEL OZONE AND FINE
PARTICLES...VISIT http://WWW.AIRNOW.GOV.
$$
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Stephanie
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23843
- Age: 62
- Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
- Location: Glassboro, NJ
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Uh,
So, what the heck happened with the forecast for Winter Storm Dion? I get weather alerts on my android phone and at 2:00 pm there was a warning for 3 - 5 inches of snow. By 3:00 pm it was upgraded to 5 - 10 inches of snow. I ended up with 6.5 inches in my backyard.
This forecast reminds me of the one blown out of proportion by John Bolaris with the 2001 "Storm of the Century" which ended up giving us nada.
So, what the heck happened with the forecast for Winter Storm Dion? I get weather alerts on my android phone and at 2:00 pm there was a warning for 3 - 5 inches of snow. By 3:00 pm it was upgraded to 5 - 10 inches of snow. I ended up with 6.5 inches in my backyard.
This forecast reminds me of the one blown out of proportion by John Bolaris with the 2001 "Storm of the Century" which ended up giving us nada.
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3.5-4 inches at my house 
Great Snowy Sunday!
Looking @ 3-6" starting tomorrow morning
Great Snowy Sunday!Looking @ 3-6" starting tomorrow morning
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
NWS doesn't seem as excited though...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
635 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-102-
101145-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
635 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND MAY
PRODUCE A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOWFALL.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
635 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-102-
101145-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
635 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND MAY
PRODUCE A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOWFALL.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
$$
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
000
FXUS61 KPHI 091137
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
637 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WITH THE ONGOING WEATHER IN THE NEAR TERM DECIDED TO NOT ADJUST THE
LONGTERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST TOO MUCH BEYOND THURSDAY GIVEN THE
ARCTIC HIGH THAT WILL BE ENCOMPASSING THE REGION. INSTEAD WANTED TO
FOCUS A BIT MORE ON THE NEXT AND LAST EVENT IN THIS SERIES OF
SURFACE WAVES...TUESDAY.
THE GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT SHOWING ANOTHER
QUICK MOVING WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE VERY OLD BAROCLINIC ZONE TO
OUR SOUTHEAST. THIS CONDUIT HAS CONTINUED TO USHER MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL GIVE ONE LAST HOORAH
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON TUESDAY. THERMAL PROFILES ACROSS A
BETTER PORTION OF THE REGION SHOW WE ARE COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW
AND BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS CLOUD TEMPERATURES DROP TO -40C SO
THERE WILL BE ICE IN THE CLOUD...NEEDED FOR SNOW. DYNAMICALLY
SPEAKING THE REGION IS IN A PRIME LOCATION FOR LARGE SCALE LIFT WITH
A PASSING UPPER LEVEL JET AND US IN ITS RIGHT REAR QUADRANT AND THE
STRUNG OUT MID-LEVEL CHANNELIZED VORTICITY. DEEP SOUTHWEST SURGE IN
THE LOW AND MID-LEVELS SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A QUARTER INCH OF
LIQUID TO STREAM IN, THOUGH THE HIGHER RES GUIDANCE HAS MUCH MORE.
IN THE SNOW GROWTH REGION THERE IS A DECENT AMOUNT OF WIND TO ALLOW
FOR SOME CRYSTAL FRACTURING WHILE SOME OMEGA DOES EXIST JUST BELOW
THIS LAYER...GOOD FOR GROWTH. DID NOT WANT TO GO CRAZY WITH QPF AND
ULTIMATELY SNOW TOTALS AT THIS POINT...CAN`T MAKEUP FOR SUNDAYS
FORECAST NOW. EITHER WAY EXPECTING GREATER THAN THE 10:1 RATIO GIVEN
THE LIFTING AND COLDER PROFILES PLACE. TOTALS AS ALWAYS ARE SUSPECT
BUT IT DOES APPEAR THAT SOME 850-700MB FGEN FORCING WILL PUSH
THROUGH FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
THE CWA AND THIS WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL.
AFTER THE QUICK SHOT OF SNOW ON TUESDAY ANOTHER ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES IN AND CLEANS US OUT. TEMPERATURES REALLY TAKE A DOWNWARD
TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THURSDAY LOOKING TO BE THE
COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...MAY NOT REACH MUCH ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK
ACROSS A BETTER PORTION OF THE CWA. A SLIGHT MODERATION IS THEN
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AS THE FLOW BEGINS TO VEER SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE NEXT POTENTIAL SYSTEM LOOKS TO SKIRT BY THE
COAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY THROWING SOME MOISTURE BACK ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
FXUS61 KPHI 091137
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
637 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WITH THE ONGOING WEATHER IN THE NEAR TERM DECIDED TO NOT ADJUST THE
LONGTERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST TOO MUCH BEYOND THURSDAY GIVEN THE
ARCTIC HIGH THAT WILL BE ENCOMPASSING THE REGION. INSTEAD WANTED TO
FOCUS A BIT MORE ON THE NEXT AND LAST EVENT IN THIS SERIES OF
SURFACE WAVES...TUESDAY.
THE GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT SHOWING ANOTHER
QUICK MOVING WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE VERY OLD BAROCLINIC ZONE TO
OUR SOUTHEAST. THIS CONDUIT HAS CONTINUED TO USHER MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL GIVE ONE LAST HOORAH
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON TUESDAY. THERMAL PROFILES ACROSS A
BETTER PORTION OF THE REGION SHOW WE ARE COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW
AND BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS CLOUD TEMPERATURES DROP TO -40C SO
THERE WILL BE ICE IN THE CLOUD...NEEDED FOR SNOW. DYNAMICALLY
SPEAKING THE REGION IS IN A PRIME LOCATION FOR LARGE SCALE LIFT WITH
A PASSING UPPER LEVEL JET AND US IN ITS RIGHT REAR QUADRANT AND THE
STRUNG OUT MID-LEVEL CHANNELIZED VORTICITY. DEEP SOUTHWEST SURGE IN
THE LOW AND MID-LEVELS SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A QUARTER INCH OF
LIQUID TO STREAM IN, THOUGH THE HIGHER RES GUIDANCE HAS MUCH MORE.
IN THE SNOW GROWTH REGION THERE IS A DECENT AMOUNT OF WIND TO ALLOW
FOR SOME CRYSTAL FRACTURING WHILE SOME OMEGA DOES EXIST JUST BELOW
THIS LAYER...GOOD FOR GROWTH. DID NOT WANT TO GO CRAZY WITH QPF AND
ULTIMATELY SNOW TOTALS AT THIS POINT...CAN`T MAKEUP FOR SUNDAYS
FORECAST NOW. EITHER WAY EXPECTING GREATER THAN THE 10:1 RATIO GIVEN
THE LIFTING AND COLDER PROFILES PLACE. TOTALS AS ALWAYS ARE SUSPECT
BUT IT DOES APPEAR THAT SOME 850-700MB FGEN FORCING WILL PUSH
THROUGH FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
THE CWA AND THIS WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL.
AFTER THE QUICK SHOT OF SNOW ON TUESDAY ANOTHER ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES IN AND CLEANS US OUT. TEMPERATURES REALLY TAKE A DOWNWARD
TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THURSDAY LOOKING TO BE THE
COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...MAY NOT REACH MUCH ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK
ACROSS A BETTER PORTION OF THE CWA. A SLIGHT MODERATION IS THEN
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AS THE FLOW BEGINS TO VEER SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE NEXT POTENTIAL SYSTEM LOOKS TO SKIRT BY THE
COAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY THROWING SOME MOISTURE BACK ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Latest map I saw is where the 6+ banding may happen where I live..thining about taking tomorrow night off from work as I work in Philly at night
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
angelwing wrote:Latest map I saw is where the 6+ banding may happen where I live..thining about taking tomorrow night off from work as I work in Philly at night
What map were you looking @?
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
One of the mets that I follown on Facebook...I think it was from NJNYPA weather
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-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-101000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0009.131210T1100Z-131210T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...
* LOCATIONS...THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE I-95 CORRIDOR IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW
JERSEY.
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOWFALL.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.
* TIMING...BEGINNING BY DAWN TUESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER BY DUSK TUESDAY.
* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. ICY ROADS AFTER THE SNOW...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE TUESDAY...AND LAST FOR A FEW DAYS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-101000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0009.131210T1100Z-131210T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...
* LOCATIONS...THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE I-95 CORRIDOR IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW
JERSEY.
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOWFALL.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.
* TIMING...BEGINNING BY DAWN TUESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER BY DUSK TUESDAY.
* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. ICY ROADS AFTER THE SNOW...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE TUESDAY...AND LAST FOR A FEW DAYS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
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Snow started around 8AM here in Hightstown, NJ. Near White-Out now... 
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 63
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Working from home this AM and not going to the night job tonight:) Started snowing here around 6:30AM, I think we have about 2 inches now..it is a white-out
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