Texas Winter 2020-2021

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TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#281 Postby TropicalTundra » Tue Dec 22, 2020 8:16 pm

meh :lol:

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#282 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 22, 2020 8:22 pm

TropicalTundra wrote:meh :lol:

https://i.imgur.com/L8o9bXf.jpg


Same areas getting snow as usual nothing new there :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#283 Postby Texas Snow » Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:32 am

I don’t mind the same areas getting snow, as long as we occasionally get ours (like hey, maybe next week!)

It’s akin to springtime when folks west of 1-35 complain about missing out on as much rain when east of 35 gets more. You guys realize that y’all are closer to the desert side than the forest side right? But they get their share of rain so I want my occasional snow :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#284 Postby TropicalTundra » Wed Dec 23, 2020 5:06 am

Fingers crossed.. :spam:

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#285 Postby Texas Snow » Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:54 am

The 0z euro provides a super light dusting in DFW next Wednesday morning, nothing to get excited about but it’s the first time it’s shown up outside the Canadian so something to dream about if it can trend south
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#286 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Dec 23, 2020 11:04 am

January is looking legit for N. Texas with a number of snow lover years showing up as potential analogs.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#287 Postby harp » Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:22 pm

The CMC still gives you guys some hope.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#288 Postby Texas Snow » Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:35 pm

Texas Snow wrote:The 0z euro provides a super light dusting in DFW next Wednesday morning, nothing to get excited about but it’s the first time it’s shown up outside the Canadian so something to dream about if it can trend south


Also NWS thinks it may bear watching:


A strong cold front arrives next Wed Night/Thursday with colder temperatures. I only
advertise low chances of a cold rain at this time, however we will
need to monitor forecast thermodynamic profiles across the north
and west closely with this system as we move through this coming
holiday weekend as no way of knowing that right now. I do expect
this system may be delayed by a day and more toward New Years Eve
knowing model biases of moving such deep systems east too quickly
beyond Day 5. This system will bear watching closely.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#289 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:44 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Texas Snow wrote:The 0z euro provides a super light dusting in DFW next Wednesday morning, nothing to get excited about but it’s the first time it’s shown up outside the Canadian so something to dream about if it can trend south


Also NWS thinks it may bear watching:


A strong cold front arrives next Wed Night/Thursday with colder temperatures. I only
advertise low chances of a cold rain at this time, however we will
need to monitor forecast thermodynamic profiles across the north
and west closely with this system as we move through this coming
holiday weekend as no way of knowing that right now. I do expect
this system may be delayed by a day and more toward New Years Eve
knowing model biases of moving such deep systems east too quickly
beyond Day 5. This system will bear watching closely.

Well it is something to track. Is the proverbial plot thickening? We shall see. At least it will be cold around New Years. I still think we get a La Nina style arctic dump bookended with warmth this winter. Been reading about a potential SSW event. Just like every year. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#290 Postby Cerlin » Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:57 pm

Starting more to think that New Year’s might be the precursor to an event (setting the stage for colder weather) instead of the actual event!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#291 Postby harp » Wed Dec 23, 2020 1:08 pm

I'm in south Louisiana, y'all send me some love this winter! :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#292 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:38 pm

I still don’t really see any real strong high pressures on the models. I’m waiting for those 1045+mb highs to start showing up.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#293 Postby wxman57 » Wed Dec 23, 2020 4:29 pm

TropicalTundra wrote:Fingers crossed.. :spam:

https://i.imgur.com/o7Boe4w.jpg


12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#294 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Dec 23, 2020 5:13 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TropicalTundra wrote:Fingers crossed.. :spam:

https://i.imgur.com/o7Boe4w.jpg


12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.


A Winter Weather Christmas Carol:

Wxman57: “Bah, humbug!”

Texas Winter Weather Lovers: “I am sorry, with all my heart, to find you so resolute... But I have made the trial in homage to Winter, and I'll keep my snow and cold weather loving humour to the last. So A Merry Christmas, Wxman57!"


Wxman57: “Bah, humbug, and good afternoon!”

( :lol: I hope the Ghosts of Christmas Weather Past, Present, and Future all pay you a visit this week, kind sir, and help your heat miserly heart turn around as completely as old Ebeneezer Scrooge’s did! :wink:)
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#295 Postby starsfan65 » Wed Dec 23, 2020 6:41 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
TropicalTundra wrote:Fingers crossed.. :spam:

https://i.imgur.com/o7Boe4w.jpg


12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.


A Winter Weather Christmas Carol:

Wxman57: “Bah, humbug!”

Texas Winter Weather Lovers: “I am sorry, with all my heart, to find you so resolute... But I have made the trial in homage to Winter, and I'll keep my snow and cold weather loving humour to the last. So A Merry Christmas, Wxman57!"


Wxman57: “Bah, humbug, and good afternoon!”

( :lol: I hope the Ghosts of Christmas Weather Past, Present, and Future all pay you a visit this week, kind sir, and help your heat miserly heart turn around as completely as old Ebeneezer Scrooge’s did! :wink:)
I hope the heat miser is proved wrong next week!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#296 Postby hriverajr » Wed Dec 23, 2020 6:52 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TropicalTundra wrote:Fingers crossed.. :spam:

https://i.imgur.com/o7Boe4w.jpg


12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.


I agree with weatherman, systems too progressive. don't get the excitement with what models are currently displaying.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#297 Postby starsfan65 » Wed Dec 23, 2020 7:20 pm

hriverajr wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
TropicalTundra wrote:Fingers crossed.. :spam:

https://i.imgur.com/o7Boe4w.jpg


12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.


I agree with weatherman, systems too progressive. don't get the excitement with what models are currently displaying.

why?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#298 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 23, 2020 7:21 pm

hriverajr wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
TropicalTundra wrote:Fingers crossed.. :spam:

https://i.imgur.com/o7Boe4w.jpg


12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.


I agree with weatherman, systems too progressive. don't get the excitement with what models are currently displaying.


Yeah I see nothing to be excited about maybe the models will change but right now meh we can't get any sustained cold right now I mean look at this front it looked a lot better a week ago... It always looks good in the long range only to fall apart by verification
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#299 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Dec 23, 2020 7:28 pm

North texas could get flurries tonight. Seems there is more moisture behind the cold front than the models indicated.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#300 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 23, 2020 9:55 pm

I don't really see flurries around here but I will say one thing... this wind is kind of impressive :lol:
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