Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2381 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 11:51 am

I can confirm that the snow is sticking to the ground, it was hard to tell first since these snowflakes were really small, either way, it's still snowing outside & 22°F
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2382 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jan 15, 2022 11:54 am

So much for next weekend’s system, I guess storms disappear once I comment on them…
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2383 Postby harp » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:03 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:So much for next weekend’s system, I guess storms disappear once I comment on them…

Look at the CMC.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2384 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:06 pm

harp wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:So much for next weekend’s system, I guess storms disappear once I comment on them…

Look at the CMC.


& 12z GEFS
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2385 Postby harp » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:08 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
harp wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:So much for next weekend’s system, I guess storms disappear once I comment on them…

Look at the CMC.


& 12z GEFS

Can you post it?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2386 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:13 pm

harp wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
harp wrote:Look at the CMC.


& 12z GEFS

Can you post it?

Yes, this is the Ensemble Snowfall through +198 Hours. There is snow in Central & SE Texas from some members between +162 & +198 Hours

Image
https://s10.gifyu.com/images/12z-GEFS-Ensemble-Snowfall.png
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2387 Postby Cerlin » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:15 pm

harp wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
harp wrote:Look at the CMC.


& 12z GEFS

Can you post it?

Here’s some images from the 12z GEFS.

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2388 Postby Portastorm » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:15 pm

Pretty amazing non-convective winds this morning here. Gusting close to 50 mph!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2389 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:19 pm

Canadian is stupid cold for next weekend :lol:.

Regardless, there isn't consistency of what do with the western shortwave. Does it come out or not? Give it a few more days, we know some cold will come down again. But with an active STJ it's too chaotic to try and figure out the moisture portion.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2390 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:22 pm

Portastorm wrote:Pretty amazing non-convective winds this morning here. Gusting close to 50 mph!


Had gusts over 50 last night, it's now gusting close to Gale Force (40)

And it's snowing at my house, currently 22°F
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2391 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:22 pm

Radar shows snow around WF, but heading south. May go west of DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2392 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:28 pm

Finally some tiny snowflakes but we're gonna have to do a lot better if we're getting any accumulation
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2393 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:37 pm

GEFS, CMC and Euro ENS all trending colder with some type of frozen precip Thursday night into Friday next week

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2394 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:38 pm

Brent wrote:Finally some tiny snowflakes but we're gonna have to do a lot better if we're getting any accumulation


A moderate band is coming in from your northeast from wrap around. Finally you should get some at a good clip.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2395 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:39 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Pretty amazing non-convective winds this morning here. Gusting close to 50 mph!


Had gusts over 50 last night, it's now gusting close to Gale Force (40)

And it's snowing at my house, currently 22°F

65 mph gusts here last night. It’s amazing that I didn’t lose any tree branches or old barn and outbuilding roofs.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2396 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:41 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2397 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:46 pm

Brent wrote:Finally some tiny snowflakes but we're gonna have to do a lot better if we're getting any accumulation


The Tulsa Radar is lighting up a strong snowband coming your way from the North.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2398 Postby TropicalTundra » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:49 pm

https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/local ... 772648.php

...Is this the same thing they did last year?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2399 Postby SouthernMet » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:51 pm

Snowing in Bowie, Decatur & Montague.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2400 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 12:52 pm



No, someone caused the internet to go crazy with a model run.

Likely from the CMC model
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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